Ben White to cost Arsenal less than Raphael Varane and why transfer fees do not matter

£50million for Ben White.

Some people are really obsessing about that price.

And the biggest noise is actually coming from Manchester where Man U continually bring up Arsenal’s impending new signing to compare to their impending new signing Raphaël Varane.

Varane for a reported £35million + add ons  (totalling around £42million) is a fantastic bit of business for Manchester United. He is a World Class defender. Ben White probably is not.

But just because Man U are getting Varane “cheap” does not mean that Arsenal are getting a bad deal in White.

Football valuations are influenced by many factors. There is not sort of algorithm that sets every since players value.

Ability, age, contract status, willingness of buying club to buy, willingness of selling club to sell, willingness of player to leave and more impact a price.

In Varane, Man U came across a perfect storm.

The Frenchman had 1 year left on his contract and made it clear he had no intention to renew.

This straight away drops his value massively.

With Real Madrid’s current financial situation, they could not afford to let him run his contract down. They had to sell this summer and Man U were the sole interested party.

Meanwhile, White still has 3 years left on his contract. Unlike Madrid, Brighton were not desperate to sell. This in turn pushed what Arsenal had to pay up.

When it comes to how much a player is set to cost, you also have to factor in wages and length of contract.

Varane is reportedly set to sign a 4 year contract earning £10.5m a year.

By the time you amortise his transfer fee over 4 years, the yearly cost to Man U is £18.75m a year.

White’s deal is to be £80,000 a week 5 year deal. The total yearly cost to Arsenal for him including the amortised transfer fee is £14.1m.

So whilst if you are looking at just the transfer fee, White is costing Arsenal more than Varane; once you factor in wages and length of contract Varane is actually costing Man U around 33% more a year than White is costing Arsenal.

And ultimately, transfer fees and salaries should not really matter.

Arsenal probably are overpaying for Ben White. But that only matters if it impacts our ability to sign other targets.

Edu and his team will understand the bigger picture. How much the club has to add new players, their fees, agents fees, bonuses and salaries.

If spending an extra £10million on Ben White above what we perhaps wanted does not impact our ability to sign other targets, then what does it matter?

If that £10million left us short £10million of our next target, then it is in charge to decide whether to pay that extra £10million and then pursue different targets elsewhere.

Perhaps the club felt it was more important that we secured White than signed Maddison for £60million? Or they think they might be able to bully Leicester City down £10million to make a saving. Or they have other targets that are cheaper to Maddison?

There are many factors in play here.

As football fans we become obsessed with spend, net spend and all that bollocks.

Ultimately it does not matter what we spend. What matters is who we buy.

Keenos

Ben White to miss start of the season as Arsenal’s preparations ramp up

Ben White is expected to complete his transfer to Arsenal this week ahead of the Mind Series game against Chelsea.

The centre back will not be expected to take any part in that tournament having been given an extended break following England’s exploits at the Euro’s.

With a later than normal start to the season (Arsenal’s first game is August 13th), White will have an outside chance of getting back match fit for the Brentford game, however it is unlikely.

Most of this week will be taken up with medicals and promotion shots, so White is unlikely to join his new team mates for training until the later half of the week once his deal is completed.

That would leave 2 weeks until the Brentford game.

Arsenal could rush White back. A couple of weeks of intense training. But this would risk injury.

Slow and steady wins the race, so Mikel Arteta is more likely to start the season with Rob Holding with White to make his debut in the League cup 2nd round.

On the League Cup. It is the first time since 1995 that Arsenal have played I the 2nd round of the competition.

Traditionally those teams that qualify for Europe do not join the League Cup until the 3rd round.

As we know, this is the first time in 26 years Arsenal do not have European football. And the result is a 2nd round game.

Since English sides were readmitted to European competition for the 1990/91 season, this is only the 3rd year we would have not been in Europe – 95/96 and 1992/93 the other two.

Whilst that is an incredible record, we have come away from 27 seasons in Europe with just one triumph – the 94 European Cup Winners Cup.

We have lost 4 European finals in that time (I do not count the Super Cup as a defeat as it is a friendly trophy. Not a competitive match).

Our European failure really is a black spot on the club.

So other than the Ben White signing, what else can Arsenal expect this week?

We will probably play another friendly behind closed doors prior to Sunday’s friendly against Chelsea.

I imagine it will be a bit like the Millwall game where we are only told of opponents after the game, and the club will probably “delay live stream” the game again.

In terms of transfers, I would be surprised if other deals are confirmed this week.

Arteta and Edu are building a squad. We have other targets in sight but it is too early to make the decision to move on from them and aim for other targets.

I would still expect us to make another 2 or 3 signings – a new keeper, new central midfielder and new attacking midfielder. But we have a month to make these signings.

Would not be surprised if we are lining up with Thomar Partey and Mo Elneny in midfield for Brentford.

Enjoy your day.

Keenos

Emile Smith Rowe Easter Eggs

This will be geekish but did anyone else spot the Easter eggs in the Emile Smith Rowe contract announcement?

Firstly we have the new number announcement. Number 10.

This announcement was made on the anniversary of Arsenal’s last great number 10’s testimonial game – Dennis Bergkamp.

Not only was it the number, but look at the length of the video.

32 seconds.

Smith Rowe’s old number? 32.

It will mean nothing to most and the majority won’t care. But stuff like that I love.

Have a good day.

Keenos