So Reiss Nelson’s Arsenal journey is over.
Loads have criticised our decision to mutually terminate his contract, but the situation we were in is not due to the current leadership.
Nelson should have been sold in 2022 or 2023. He was still early 20s and had the “potential” tag. We probably could have got £20m for him. Instead we offered him a huge new deal on around £100k a week. I shook my head at the time.
He was clearly not good enough for Arsenal. Edu apparently wanted to tie him down to “protect his value”. That decision has cost us a lot of money.
In the end, we have had to terminate his contract as no one wanted to pay him the £100k a week. It is likely we have just paid him off the final year, costing us about £5m.
All in all, not selling Nelson in 2022 has probably cost us north of £40m. Thanks Edu!
Around the same time we had Ainsley Maitland Niles. I remember one transfer deadline, Wolves or Leicester came in offering us £20m. At the last moment we pulled the deal. Maitland Niles hardly payed the next season.
Whilst Edu is largely to blame, I will always question the involvement of Mikel Arteta in these decisions. Was he pushing Edu to keep these players, only to then decide not to play them?
Failing to sell AMN and Nelson cost us close to £50m in incoming transfer fees, and then £20-30m in wages on top. We ended up letting go of both for free.
Andrea Berta takes no blame for the Nelson situation. He tried to sell him, hawking him out to Turkey, West Ham and more. But none wanted a 26-year-old who had played so little football. Even when we reduced our asking price to just a couple of million, no one bit.
In the end, we have probably done what is best for us and the player. It may have cost us a couple of million in wages, but Nelson can now move on.
What Berta needs to ensure he does is not repeat Edu’s mistakes. And not allow Arteta to repeat his mistakes. And that is why we are where we are with Ethan Nwaneri.
Over the years, I will always point to Liverpool as the “gold star club” for selling academy players.
The have made millions cashing in on the likes of Jordan Ibe, Rhian Brewster and Fábio Carvalho (yes, I know he was Fulham). The recognise early on that a player does not quite have what it takes to make it at the highest level, and cash whilst others are still talking about “potential”. In recent memory, Liverpool have not sold a single youngster who has gone on to prove them wrong (unlike Man City).
Ethan Nwaneri is a talent. But is he good enough?
He reminds me a lot of a young Joe Cole. Plenty of talent but not really sure where he fits in.
Not quick enough to be a winger, not physical enough to play more centrally. it is a conundrum. And at Arsenal right now, he has a lot of players ahead of him.
He is not better than Bukayo Saka or Noni Madueke on the right wing. And Max Dowman has also leap frogged him despite being a couple of years younger.
More centrally we have Martin Odegaard and Eberechi Eze. Nwaneri is not on their level. The teenager would also be behind Kai Havertz and Mikel Merino. Arteta would also go for a midfield trip of Declan Rice, Bruno Guimaraes and Martin Zubimendi before Nwaneri would get a sniff.
So we have a player who is, at best, 4th choice right wing and 6th or 7th choice more centrally. We could get £40m for him in the current market. If we have learned from Nelson, we would sell.
The trick is now how we sell.
Ensure there is a buy back and sell on clause in his contract, even if that means we have to take £5m less.
Selling Nwaneri for £35m, having an option to buy him back for £60m, and a 20% sell on clause feels like it’s a good deal. It covers us for all eventualities.
Nwaneri does not kick on (like Brewster and Ibe), Arsenal have generated some decent profit. If he does kick on and become a £60-70m signing, we can either re-sign him, or further profit from his sale. A £60m sale with a 20% sell on clause would have us “break even” based on if we sold for £40m with no clause.
Whilst Nwaneri leaving will annoy many (especially for those who think he is the 2nd coming of Christ and better than Madueke and Eze). But it is the right deal, at the right time.
On a side note, I did laugh out loud this morning at Aston Villa fans.
Chelsea have turned up, signed their best player and first choice goalkeeper, and in return forced Villa to take Nicolas Jackson and Alejandro Garnacho. Villa fans celebrate this.
Meanwhile Arsenal sign a 28 year old centre back for £50m, without forcing Villa to take Reiss Nelson or Gabriel Jesus, and Man U triggered Youri Tielemans release clause. Villa fans cry about “the red cartel doing it again” and how “unfair” it is., and that it’s a disgrace that Mikel Arteta leaves his technical box.
Maybe next time we do dealings with Villa, we should offer them £100m for whatever player we want (if they have anyone decent left after this summer!), but as part of the deal force them to take Mikel Merino and Ben White for a combined £100m. They might then stop moaning about us!
Keenos


