“Reducing minutes” the key for Arsenal’s transfer window

PSG did not beat us because they had the better players, the better tactics, or were coached better. They beat us because during the course of the season, their key players played less minutes.

Whilst Arsenal had a real slog of a season in the Premier League, a competition were you simply cannot rest too many players, PSG strolled to the Ligue 1 title whilst being able to rest key players consistently keeping them fresh for the Champions League.

Talisman Khvicha Kvaratskhelia played more than 740 league minutes less than Bukayo Saka, whilst centre back Marquinhos played 1702 and 1566 minutes less than Gabriel and Saliba respectively. That is the equivalent of about 17/18 games less.

Seven of Arsenal’s starting XI in the semi final had played more than 2,000 Premier League- with Declan Rice and David Raya playing in over 3,000. Just 2 of PSG’s semi-final players had clocked up 2,000+ minutes in Ligue 1.

Throughout Mikel Arteta’s managerial career, he has always been able to recognise “what next” when building the team from finishing 8th, through to aiming for top 4, then title challengers, and then winners. He has continued to take Arsenal on a evolutionary journey rectifying any weaknesses from the previous season. And our biggest weakness last season was how many minutes key players had to play in comparison to PSG.

Last summer we did brilliant raising the floor of the squad. The likes of Piero Hincapie, Cristhian Mosquera, Noni Madueke and Eberechi Eze gave Arteta more options. But it was still not enough.

There are still pockets of the squad were players saw a lot of minutes. And crucially the biggest are was in the middle of the park, the engine room.

By the time the final whistle went in Budapest, Rice had clocked up 4,456 minutes for Arsenal, with Martin Zubimendi playing 4,299. Zubimendi was criticised towards the end of the season, which was unfair considering the exhaustion he must have been feeling in his toughest ever season.

Arteta can be criticised for not bringing in Myles Lewis Skelly enough, or playing Premier League stalwart Christian Norgard in a couple of games. But I am reluctant to criticise a man whose team selection lead us to our first league title in 22-years. He basically sacrificed the Champions League to ensure our tired, weary, injured troops dragged us to the league title.

This summers transfer window, I feel, will not be about buying starters. It will be about buying players who can better share the load – especially in those opening months of a season.

The likes of Bruno Guimaraes could come in for Declan Rice with the aim of sharing the 4,456 minutes. His acquisition could see Rice end up playing under 2,500 minutes next season, with Guimaraes playing around 2,000. That is similar minutes to what PSG’s midfielders player.

In defence we are being linked with the equally experience Ezri Konsa. He would be a good option to replace Ben White and has bundles of experience playing both right back and centre back in the Premier League. Konsa would certainly allow Arteta to rest Saliba and Jurrien Timber more.

What Arteta then needs to do is trust Madueke and Eze a bit more, and trust Myles Lewis Skelly more. Their development could easily see them playing 500-1000 more minutes this season, taking the pressure off Saka, Martin Odegaard and Zubimendi.

Another factor is just how many Arsenal players seem to be currently playing with an injury.

We got heavily criticised in the run-in to the title for players pulling out of international duty due to injuries – but it is clear that many players are struggling.

Saka has been managing a long-term achilles injury. Adfter the World Cup he could probably do with going on a beach for 6 weeks. A proper rest before slowly being eased back into The Arsenal team 5 or 6 games into the season.

Rice is also clearly not 100%. Nor is Saliba. Both could do with not playing in the first 6-weeks of the season, giving their bodies time to recover. They could then come back in later in the season, have their game time managed a bit better, and be that bit fresher come May.

It will also be interesting to see if Arteta decides to rest and rotate a bit more in Europe.

In 2024/25 and 2025/26, PSG finished outside the top 8 and thus had to play an additional round. They did “just enough” to finish in the top half of the 9-16 grouping, ensuring they got an easier tie in the Knockout phase play-offs. They faced Monaco and Brest in that round respectively.

Despite playing an additional game, key players had still clocked up less Champions League minutes than Arsenal come the quarter final. Accept a couple of “lesser” results in the aim of keeping players fresher.

It is quite clear that this transfer window needs to be about reducing the minutes for key players, especially in those opening 6-8 weeks of the season.

Arsenal were so close to winning the Champions League last season. For 2026/27 we need to ensure the players that turn up in Madrid are fresher, without sacrificing the league for a push at European glory.

Keenos


Should academy departures concern Arsenal fans?

Academy products are leaving Arsenal, and as usual fans are up in arms.

The rise of social media has led to 16-year-olds leaving the club to become a story. Back 30 years ago, we would not have heard of these players names, and then leaving would not have been noteworthy worthy.

Instead, with social media and the strive for content, these players get written about from when they are 14 / 15 and become overhyped household names before they have ever had a sniff of a first team squad.

One player set to leave us is Emerson Nwaneri. He is the younger brother of Ethan. I have to wonder if his impending departure would have become news if it weren’t for his surname.

The reality is, the junior Nwaneri is not as good as his elder brother. And as Ethan is struggling to kick on, it is highly unlikely that Emerson will ever get his chance.

What will probably happen is Ethan will move to Dortmund, or another German outfit. As part of the deal, whichever club signs Ethan will also be required to take Emerson. We saw this at Chelsea over a decade ago where the Hazard family required they take Thorgan alongside Eden.

This is perfectly normal. The Nwaneri’s will probably look to temporary relocate to German (or wherever he ends up) to provide him with support. And where his parents go, Emerson will also go.

When the situation arose a few years back for the Bellingham’s, Jude and Jobe’s mum moved to support Jude’s career, whilst his dad stayed in England to support Jobe’s. If the entire Nwaneri family move to support Ethan, it will show that even they do not think Emerson has the ability to make it at the top level. The will be going all in on the elder brother.

Another leaving us is Kyran Thompson.

The 16-year-old joined us 2-years ago for about £1m. He has decided not to sign professional terms.

Some will feel that losing Thompson is a huge blow to Arsenal. But then you remember Max Dowman.

Like Dowman, Thompson is a right winger who can also play inside. But whilst Dowman is in and around the first team, Thompson is only playing at U18 level, win just a single appearance in the PL2.

The reality is for any Arsenal winger right now is if you are not already playing at Dowman’s level, then there is no obvious route to the first team. We are also heavily linked with Jeremy Monga – the Leicester City winger is considered by many as equally as talented as Dowman. That then locks up the left and right wings. 

We need to ensure we are focusing our energy on the most talented academy products, those most likely to be able to influence the first team. And if other 16-year-old are not at the level of Monga or Dowman, then their departure is understandable.

In the short term, Ethan has become the barometer for players coming through the academy. If you are not showing his talent at the same age, you are unlikely to get a sniff.

Add in Dowman and Monga and the level players aged 16-20 to make our first team squad is clear and obvious.

These players leaving are not doing so because Arsenal have issues being able to show a pathway from Hale End to first team. They are leaving because that pathway is blocked by young players who are simply more talented.

Whenever I think about pathways being blocked, my mind always casts back to Henri Lansbury.

For a few years, we were hyping up this young teenage central midfielder coming through. He looked to have the ability to make it. A potential future captain. And then Jack Wilshre burst on the scene. Younger and performing at a higher level. Overnight, Lansbury was overtaken by Wilshere and his Arsenal career was basically over.

The same is happening with both Nwaneri’s and Thompson due to Dowman and The incoming Mongo.

Keenos

Arsenal set for tactical evolution

After winning the league, Mikel Arteta will be reluctant to change too much – especially after the example set by Liverpool last season in one of the worst title defences this century. However, in football if you stand still you go backwards.

What I think Arteta will do this season is more tactical tweaks rather than wholesale changes.

Arteta’s set up

Since coming in, Mikel Arteta’s tactics have been fairly static:

Starting ion midfield, Arteta has tended to play a single out and out defensive midfielder – firstly Thomas Partey and then Martin Zubimendi.

To ensure that man does not get over run in midfield, the fullbacks defend narrower, in the position that has become known as “inverted full backs”. First Oleksander Zinchenko, then Jurrien Timber, he has played with at least one of his full backs dropping inside to make the extra man in midfield.

Ahead of his sole defensive midfielder, Arteta has tended to play 2 central midfielders – Granit Xhaka and Martin Odegaard, with Xhaka then replaced by Declan Rice.

This hardworking midfield makes us hard to break down, allows us to press high, but also sacrifices some creativity to create defensive overloads across the pitch. It has also led to the misprofiling of Martin Odegaard.

The Norwiegian captain has never really played in the traditional 10 role for Arsenal – that being high up the pitch, behind a striker, playing centrally.

For much of his Arsenal career, he has played in that right hand side 6 pocket, coming deep to pick up the ball off the defensive midfielder, and progressing through the right hand side. You very seldom see Odegaard out on the left, our even central, and he rarely just loiters high up the field waiting for the ball to come to him in attacking positions.

I would argue that we have utilised Odegaard in his best position – he is more of a 8 than a 10.

On the right hand side, we then have Bukayo Saka who can go on the inside or out, creating an overload with Odegaard. That used to be a treble overload with Ben White acting as a more traditional overlapping full back.

Gabriel Martinelli tended to hug the touchline on the left, giving Declan Rice more space to play inside. Although recently we have seen Leandro Trossard play more in the inside pocket, with both Piero Hincape and Riccardo Calafiori playing as more traditional overlapping full backs – this was to be expected as the inverted full back began to be Timber of the right rather than one of the left backs.

So how do we move on from this set up, giving us more creativity, making use a greater threat, without an huge overhaul?

A return to 4231

I expect next season, Arsenal to return to the more traditional 4231 formation which worked so well for Jose Mourinho’s early days at Chelsea.

One reason I think we will see this change is due to two positions we look to recruit for – Morgan Rogers and another defensive midfielder.

Following the progress of Myles Lewis Skelly, I did not think we needed cover and competition for Martin Zubimendi anymore – the Hale Ender has shown on the highest level that he can compete with the best midfielders in the world.

Rice and Mikel Merino, Zubimendi and MLS, Odegaard and Eberechi Eze. I did not feel we need more than that. Two players for each position and plenty of options to either set up more attacking or more defensively. But we are still being linked to new midfielders.

Either journalists have not been updated by whoever provides their transfer gossip since the MLS breakthrough, or Arsenal are simply still in the market for someone. And I think it is still the latter.

The only conclusion, therefore is Arsenal are going back to playing two defensive midfielders. Think Petit/Gilberto and Vieira or Fabregas and Flamini. At Chelsea for so long it was Claude Makelele alongside Michael Essien. One player to sit, the other to drive forward.

Zubimendi and Rice will be out starters, and MLS is capable of playing both either the sitter role or in Rice’s driving role – however Merino is inefficient in the deeper role; to slow, doesnt cover the ground, not great driving with the ball.

The new midfielder, therefore, will either be a defensive minded passer like Zubimendi, or someone who can drive forward with the ball like Rice. I think it will be the later and we will sign someone who can put in the defensive shift of Rice, cover the ground, and be the line breaker in the middle. That would leave MLS to cover for Zubimendi.

But what for the defence?

Moving backwards, a two man midfield would mean we no longer need the full backs to drop inside to create the extra man. They return to being overlapping full backs, getting chalk on their boots and bombing forward.

This certainly suits Calafiori and Hincape as well as White, but not really Timber.

I still expect Timber to be first choice next season, but I think we can all expect us to sign a White replacement and have that option of a traditional full back to continue helping create an overload with Saka – and that will be especially important when you consider the future for Martin Odegaard.

Odegaard’s future

It will be harsh to “get rid of the captain” who has just helped his team to the league title for the first time in 22-years. Odegaard has been a hugely influential figure on and off the pitch. But this Arsenal team is about to outgrow him.

If we play with that double pivot of Zubimendi and Rice, we no longer need Odegaard to drop deep. Instead he will be expected to play that bit closer to the forward, and covering horizontally from left to right rather than vertically up and down.

That will mean less of a focus on creating the overloads with Saka (hence the importance of a right back that can get forward) and more sharing his support on both flanks.

Whilst still being involved in the defensive shape of the team – there is no point Viktor Gyokeres pressing if the midfielder behind him does not follow, the switch from two 8s to one 10 will mean that creating chances becomes that midfielders main job. And I am not sure that plays to Odegaard’s strangths.

It is interesting that this summer we are being linked with Julian Alvarez and Eli Kroupi. These are certainly forwards that prefer to play behind a striker rather than your out and out centre forward. You could certainly see the pair buzzing around Gyokeres, picking up on those knock downs and providing a goal threat from deeper.

And the wingers

If we do transition from 2 8s to an out and out 10, you then create a lot more space in the final 3rd. No longer will Saka and Martinelli have a midfielder within 10 yards almost every time they receive the ball.

Instead, they will look up and see inviting space inside them to drive into. And in turn, when they drag their full backs centrally it leaves the space for the overlapping fullbacks on the outside.

Saka is more than good enough playing in this sort of role – able to go inside and out he will thrive. But Martinelli is a speedster who does not look to go inside early and could not be involved in too much of the build up play. One man who would thrive is Morgan Rogers.

So you end up almost in the Arsene Wenger Invincible days, with two full backs looking to get forward (Cole and Lauren), a midfield 2 with one who sits and one who drives (Gilberto and Vieira), a second striker behind the centre forward (Dennis Bergkamp) and two wingers that look to get inside and support the second striker rather than hang on the fringes of the game (Freddie Ljungberg and Robert Pires).

Finally…

These changes are only subtle. Asking full backs to play wider and get forward a bit more, asking Rice to sit a bit deeper. All this will come naturally.

You then have the big evolution of the forward line with the recruitment of a left winger who can come inside, a someone who offers more than Odegaard behind a striker.

The changes will also suit the reserve players – Kai Havertz is an option both as the highest centre forward and someone to play just behind, Eze would be comfortable playing off that left hand side or as a back up 10, and Noni Madueke also offers a lot covering Saka.

It will be quiet evolution this summer rather than Liverpool-esque revolution. And this is the best way to make a championship winning team better!

Keenos