Author Archives: keenosafc

The logic behind Arteta’s “substituting your keeper mid-game” theory

“I felt that after 60 minutes and 85 minutes in two games, in this period, to change the keeper in that moment, and I didn’t do it. I didn’t have the courage to do it” Mikel Arteta said in a recent interview.

“Someone is going to do it and maybe it’s, ‘Uh, that’s strange.’ Why? Why not. Tell me why not. You have all the qualities in another goalkeeper to do something; something is happening and we want to change momentum, do it.”

Our boss was ridiculed by many for sharing his views on changing a goalkeeper during the game. But is it as ridiculous as it sounds?

Keepers for different situations

Like outfield players, not all goalkeepers are built the same.

Some are fantastic shot stoppers, others brilliant with the ball at their feet and some are dominant under the high ball. You have the “goal line keepers” like Petr Cech that are at their best when they remain within their 6-yard box, and then you have the sweeper keepers like Manuel Neuer whose starting position is on the edge of the box.

In Robert Enke’s post humorous book A Life Too Short, the German keeper described his struggles at Barcelona.

He was very much a keeper that liked to stay on his line, whilst a young Victor Valdes preferred to be on the edge of his box.

Whilst Enke out performed Valdes in every training ground metrick (reflexs, shot stopping, jumping, etc), it was the Spanaird who estabalished himself as the Catalan’s number one. And when Enke did deputise for Valdes, he was like a fish out of water being asked to play a goal keeping role that he was not comfortable.

That lead to heavy criticism and his Barcelona dream ended in a nightmare.

So if you understand that goalkeepers are different, then why is it so crazy to be of the view that a different keeper might be more suitable to different situations?

Outfield differences

“I am able to take a winger or a striker and put a central defender back and go to a back five to hold a result” Arteta continued during his interview.

We see managers make substitutions every match to allow them to change their tactics depending on the game situation.

Leading a game, you bring a more defensive midfielder on for an attacking one. You do not expect the attacking midfielder to play deeper. Likewise when trying to win the game, you might sacrifice one of your more defensive midfielders for someone with more attacking intentions.

If you are trying to defend a lead, you might take off your short, rapid striker for someone a bit more robust who can hold the ball up and provide an outlet winning free kicks. Or go the other way and take off your big striker for someone a bit pacier to try and play on the counter attack.

You might take a midfielder off for a central defender and go 5 at the back. What you do not do is say to Martin Odegaard “you are now playing in the defence”.

So if you agree that keepers are built differently, and that substituting players for in-game tactical reasons is correct, then is changing your keeper with 20 minutes to go when leading 1-0 (or losing 1-0) really that insane?

Attacking keeper

These days, most top teams look to dominate posession. As a result they want a goal keeper whose natural starting position is at the edge of the box and who is naturally gifted with their feet and decision making.

Manchester City are happy having someone like Ederson in goal who is not the best in the world at shot stopping and dealing with crosses, but is the best in the world with his ball at his feet.

Having a keeper who is comfortable on the edge of his box allows the defence to have their starting position on the half way line. That in turn pushes the midfield further forward and allows your front 3 to “camp” on the edge of the opponents box. A natural high press.

This allows you to overload the final third and create attacking positions by winning the ball higher up the pitch.

The defence do not need to drop deep as they know every ball played over the top will be cut out by the keeper. If the keeper prefers to stay on his goal line, the tactic is unworkable as it means that there is a huge gap between the defence and the stopper. Too easy for the opposition to put the ball into that space and get an attacker clean through.

A goal keeper who is comfortable with the ball at his feet also always you to have an “extra man” when playing the ball around the defence.

In yesteryear, clubs would play with a back 5, with the middle of them a sweeper.

The sweeper would sit deeper and was always available for a backwards pass if his team were in trouble, allowing sides to recycle possession and being again.

With a keeper doing that role, you can then have an additional attack minded player on the pitch.

Having a more attack minded keeper also means that if you are 1-0 down and pressing in the last 20 minutes to get a goal, you can push higher and overload those attacking positions.

Defensve keeper

Whilst having an attacking keeper is most top clubs preference, many lesser clubs prefer a more defensive keeper.

Teams like Newcastle who have their defences first position at the edge of their own box. They look to pack the defence and midfield, soak up pressure and then hit opponents on the counter attack.

Having a keeper big like Nick Pope, surrounded by giant defenders, makes them very hard to break down.

By the time you are through the back 4, you are close to the goal and have Pope with his giant figure smothering you. And do not thinkg getting it wide and putting crosses it solves the issue, the likes of Pope are also dominant in the air.

If you go 1-0 up and begin to defend deeper, having someone like Pope in goal is a benefit as opponents look to increasingly employ the long ball.

As you sit deeper, you will naturally give away more free kicks, more corners, giving the opposition more opportunity to swing high balls into the box.

A keeper that can come out and catch the ball at this point is a game changer. Holding onto it for 30 seconds releases pressure and slow down the opponents momentum.

Goal keeper substitution

So changing your goalkeeper with 20 minutes to go…

Say you are Manchester City, your first choice keeper is Ederson. you go out and buy Nick Pope as his cover. Leading 1-0 with 20 minutes left on the clock, Manchester City are under pressure to Brentford who are pumping high balls into the box.

Ederson is struggling with the physically of Ivan Toney jumping against him. Every free kick, every corner, is a heart in mouth moment for City fans.

Spo Pep takes Ederson off for Nick Pope. The Englishman, being a more dominant presence in the box, will not be as bullied as the man he replaced.

He comes out and claims everything. Every cross, every corner, every free kick is caught by him. Brentford lose the momentum they have built and become despondent. Their heads go down and Man City hold on for a 1-0 win.

“Genius move by Pep” would be the headline as his mid-game goalkeeper changed the momentum and helped his side secure the 3 points.

Why does it not happen?

When a manager makes defensive substitutions to see out a game, fans are used to it. It is a tried and test method so if it does not work supporters and the media do not say the manager made a tactical error.

On many occassion, Arteta bought on Rob Holding and went to a back 5 to see out a game. It worked on almost every occassion.

That meant that on the odd occassion it did not work and the opponent equalised (think Liverpool away last year), Arteta was was not condemned for his change.

But changing the keeper would be a new thing. Groundbreaking. Never been done before. And like Arteta says, the first manager to do it will have to be very brave.

If it does not work first time and you concede, you will have hours of punditry dedicated to criticising your decision. So managers stay in their comfort zone and stick with what they know.

But to go 1-1 bringing on a defender for a midfeilder than go to 1-1 swapping your goal keeper.

There is also the argument that keepers need to grow into a game. That it can take them a while to get fully up to speed and the adrenaline pumping. That sitting on the bench for 70 minutes could affect their alterness and supplety.

Final thoughts

Was this just Arteta theorising?

You can certainly picture the likes of Arteta, Guardiola, Arsene Wenger, Carlo Ancelotti and other great thinkers of our game sitting around with a whiskey and discussing it in depth.

I think the consensus would be that it makes a lot of sense, but the fall-out if it does not work is just too much

There is a lotof logic in changing your keeper depending on the match situation. But as Arteta said, it will take a manager with a lot of courage to do it…

Keenos

Who replaces Saka against City?

At the time of writing, the fear is that Bukayo Saka’s hamstring injury could be a serious one.

Tuesday night was the 3rd time in 3 games that Saka had hobbled off injured. However this was the first time he went off due to a muscle injury rather than a knock.

The negative amongst you will blame Mikel Arteta for overplaying Saka, and say that he should be rested more often. But as Arteta has said previously, world class players play 50 games a season.

Medical advances mean that clubs now have more data than ever one players fitness and could almost predict when muscle fatigue is close to cause a strain. When fatigue has set in, Arsene Wenger used to say they were entering the ‘Red Zone‘.

Every players red zone is different. If Saka was entering his, he would not have played on Tuesday. It was just one of those things.

So assuming that Saka is out this Sunday, who can replace him?

Fabio Vieira

When Saka hobbled off in France, Fabio Vieira came on.

The Portuguese midfield has looked good in his cameos this season, but his best performances have come on the left wing or more central.

Whilst he is a “like for like” replacement for Saka in terms of being left footed, he is not a natural winger.

He does not have the pace to ping back a full back and never looks to go on the outside.

Playing on the right he becomes predictable, looking to cut inside as soon as he receives the ball. This narrows the pitch and eats into Martin Odegaard’s space. It also slows down our progression up the pitch.

Lovely player, but I do not think the right wing suits him.

Kai Havertz

When we signed Kai Havertz, I spoke about how he gave Arteta 6 tactical options. One of these was as cover for Saka on the right wing.

Rumours are Thomas Partey could be fit to start on Sunday. Or at least play an hour. This could see Arteta push Declan Rice into a more attacking role and allow Havertz to be utilised out wide.

Havertz has played over 50 times on the right hand side, scoring 18 and assisting 11 as a right winger.

It is certainly a position he has played, but you do have to go back to 2019 for the last time he started on the right consistently. Considering the pressure he is under and his underwhelming performances in an Arsenal shirt thus far, a positional change might not be a good idea.

Gabriel Jesus

Jesus returned to the Arsenal squad with Gabriel Martinelli and Leandro Trossard out injured. He slotted in on the left wing as Eddie Nketiah started down the middle.

The versatile attack has spent time on both wings, but not as much as you would think – 23 games as a right winger with 8 goals and 10 assists.

If Saka is out, and with Martinelli’s injury, it would not make sense to then move the remaining of our first choice attacking trio away from his most natural position.

Jesus has to start up-front.

Reiss Nelson

Probably the most natural right winger in the squad, he played on that flank throughout most of his youth career. It is also where he has played the majority of his senior games for Arsenal, Feyenoord and Hoffenheim.

Arteta would have looked at the problems Pedro Neto gave Nathan Ake last weekend and be thinking that Nelson could replicate that.

Neto is quick and direct and gave Ake all sorts of problems as Wolves beat Man City. The only difference is Neto is left footed and Ake’s problems mainly came when the Portuguese winger got inside of him.

In the modern game, with “inverted wingers” Nelson is a bit of a throwback to when a right winger was right footed and would just look to beat their man and put a cross in.

More recently, Nelson’s best performances for us have come when he has played on the left. Picking up the ball and driving more centrally with pace. I feel he is better on this flank and a more natural replacement for Martinelli than Sake.

Emile Smith Rowe

There have been calls for a while for Smith Rowe to return to the starting XI.

He spent much of last season injured, and in that time Martinelli pulled away from him as a left wing option. We have also since recruited Trossard.

It is easy to call for a player to start, but not so easy to say who he should replace – some will say he should replace Havertz, but his performances in a number 8 role have been poor thus far.

Smith Rowe’s best performances for Arsenal came either as a left sided midfielder, or as a sole attacking midfielder with 2 more defensive minded players (Partey and Xhaka) in behind him.

He has rarely played right wing in senior football. Right now in his career, he is more of an option on the left wing.

Leandro Trossard

Mikel Arteta and his team took the risk this summer by not buying a top class right winger to cover Saka (although recruiting a player to play 2nd fiddle to a world class 21-year-old would not have been easy).

The management team would have looked at Trossard and thought “Leandro will be first choice cover on both wings”.

Saka and Martinelli have never really spent time on the sidelines simultaneously, so I get the risk, but it has potentially come back to bite the team in the arse.

You would have expected Trossard to start on the left wing against Manchester City this weekend, but with Saka’s injury, we might be best moving him to the right.

Trossard is two footed and can do everything that Vieira can not in terms of running at a full back and pinging them back. He is solid cover for Saka.

That then leaves the left hand side open.

As above, Nelson, Smith Rowe and Vieira are all better suited to the left wing.

You shift Trossard to the right and play one of Nelson, Smith Rowe or Vieira on the left. Considering Kyle Walker’s pace, I would probably go with Emile Smith Rowe.

I think Smith Rowe’s movement inside will make Walker less comfortable than having to go stride to stride with Nelson. The English full back will also be able to easily cover off Vieira trying to go round the outside and wipe balls in.

So I have probably left the best till last.

Against City I would play a front 3 of: ESR Jesus Trossard.

In behind them I would go Rice, Odegaard and Partey. Rice will be key covering that left hand side c.


Final thoughts: I actually think Arteta taking Saka off in the last 3 games was him protecting him.

In another game, another time, I think Saka could have shaken off those injuries and played on. But this might have led to longer term issues.

We still do not know the full extent of Tuesday (I am writing this Wednesday morning ahead of flying to Athens). Maybe he was just taken off as a precaution.

People would not tell a brain surgeon how to do their work, or a heart surgeon. Why do they think they are qualified to tell sporing doctors how to do their work?

Keenos

MATCH REPORT: RC Lens – 2 – 1 Arsenal

RC Lens (1) 2 Arsenal (1) 1

UEFA Champions League Group B, Matchday 2 of 6
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Av. Alfred Maes, 62300 Lens, France
Tuesday, 3rd October 2023. Kick-off time: 8.00pm

(4-3-3) David Raya;Takehiro Tomiyasu, Gabriel Magalhães, William Saliba, Oleksandr Zinchenko; Martin Ødegaard (c), Declan Rice, Kai Havertz; Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Jesus, Leandro Trossard.

Substitutes: Aaron Ramsdale, Ben White, Thomas Partey, Emile Smith-Rowe, Eddie Nketiah, Jakob Kiwior, Cédric Soares, (Jorge Luiz Frello Filho) Jorginho, Fábio Vieira, Reiss Nelson, Mohamed Elneny, Karl Hein

Scorers: Gabriel Jesus (14 mins)
Yellow Card: Gabriel Jesus
Arsenal Possession Percentage: 67%

Referee: Marco Guida (Italy)
Assistant Referees: Filippo Meli (Italy), Giorgio Peretti (Italy)
Fourth Official: Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
UEFA Referee Observer: Vladimir Antonov (Moldova)
UEFA VAR Team in Geneva: VAR Paolo Valeri (Italy); AVAR Michael Fabbri (Italy)

Attendance: 38,223

Despite Arsenal’s chartered flight being grounded for almost five hours at Luton Airport because of bad weather, the group got to Lens okay and in good time, despite having to cancel their pre-match news conference due to travel delays. Bukayo Saka is available for tonight’s match, as is Thomas Partey, who has been unavailable for selection since August, as he was suffering with a groin injury, and is on the substitute’s bench this evening.

We kicked off this evening’s proceedings in an exciting, noisy atmosphere, one which we have come to expect with European competition at this level, of course.

The match started at a good, quick pace with action at both ends. We conceded an early corner, which was cleared fairly easily by our defenders, and although David Raya was tested early on in the game, mainly by an Adrien Thomasson header, the home side’s efforts did not amount to much.

After just fourteen minutes, we scored the first goal of the evening when Bukayo Saka pounced on an error by a defender; he quickly slotted the ball to Gabriel Jesus, who made no mistake in introducing the ball to the back of the net.

The goal certainly calmed the crowd down, and took the wind out of the sails of the FC Lens players, who were now very much on the back foot as we were slowly dominating the match. Oleksandr Zinchenko chipped the ball into the path of Kai Havertz and he volleyed it from a narrow angle towards the near post, as goalie Brice Samba managed to block his shot well.

On the twenty-fourth minute, the home side grabbed the equaliser with a clever shot from the left side of the penalty area by Adrien Thomasson, which obviously changed the dynamic of the game.

The match started to get more intense now, with heavier tackles taking place, and players of both sides going to the floor holding their limbs in pain.

An injured Bukayo Saka was replaced by Fábio Vieira after thirty-three minutes, and after a corner which was half-cleared by the FC Lens defence, we kept it in play and Gabriel tried to get in behind the home side’s defence but the flicked pass over the top of the defence rolled out harmlessly for a goal kick. Oleksandr Zinchenko carried the ball through the centre of the pitch, linking up with Leandro Trossard on the left, but the home side got numbers back quickly, so we switched the ball across the park via Declan Rice instead, but he had no luck either in trying to break down the FC Lens defence. Shortly afterwards, the referee blew the whistle for half-time, bringing first half matters to an end.

The home side kicked off the second half, and both teams showed their competitive edge early on, and Leandro Trossard was unlucky not to score when his effort from close range was saved by Brice Samba with his feet.

After Leandro Trossard was fouled out on the left-hand side, our captain took the free-kick, which looped into the penalty area, but it was cleared easily by the FC Lens defence. The home side broke quickly down the left wing and win a free-kick. It was whipped in quickly but Kai Havertz managed to head the ball away.

Elye Wahi ran in behind our defence, but Takehiro Tomiyasu was on hand to deal with the danger, but then Deiver Machado crossed the ball into our penalty area, but Adrien Thomasson’s shot went wide of David Raya’s goal.

Declan Rice slotted a lovely ball down the line for Gabriel Jesus but he was unable to keep it in play, but a minute or two later, after a loose ball, the home side capitalised on it and Abdul Samed’s shot went narrowly wide of David Raya’s post. A superb Martin Ødegaard corner went to the feet of Declan Rice who was desperately unlucky not to score when his low, left-footed shot was saved by Brice Samba’s feet again.

Shortly afterwards, the home side took the lead with a Elye Wahi first time shot from the centre of the penalty area. Reiss Nelson, Emile Smith-Rowe and Ben White replaced Leandro Trossard, Oleksandr Zinchenko and Kai Havertz almost after the restart, in order to bring the game to FC Lens, and it has to be said that as it looks now, FC Lens are making life fairly difficult for us here tonight.

Eddie Nketiah replaced Martin Ødegaard (who passed the captain’s armband to Gabriel Jesus) with ten minutes of the match remaining, and then Gabriel pushed the ball over to Emile Smith-Rowe but it was headed away by an FC Lens defender.

Emile Smith-Rowe picked it up and hit the ball from the edge of the penalty area but it went straight at Brice Samba in the FC Lens goal. On the ninetieth minute, a ball was drilled in low from the right wing, which was struck first time by Reiss Nelson and it was cleared off the line by Jonathan Gradit, who scooped the ball away to prevent us scoring.

Sadly there was a bit of a scramble afterwards and Gabriel Jesus along with Salis Abdul Samed were booked for their troubles. In the four minutes injury time, despite a lot of pressure on the FC Lens goal, we were unable to grab the equalising goal, and it came to pass that we lost our first match of the season here in France tonight.

A bad night for us here in France. Not only did we lose this match by the odd goal in three, but we lost Bukayo Saka to an injury, which is a worry, especially with Manchester City visiting the Emirates on Sunday afternoon.

All in all, it was a very disappointing match tonight for us. We allowed FC Lens to get back into the match, and not only that, once they had grabbed the second goal, we looked like we tailed off. There were lots of lessons to be learned from tonight’s game, let us hope that we learn them quickly. And Bukayo Saka’s injury is not a serious one, either, as we do not need to go into the Manchester City game with him missing on Sunday afternoon.

Remember everyone, keep the faith, get behind the team and the manager, as this season is going to be crucial for our future success in all competitions. Stick with the winners. Our next match: Manchester City at the Emirates on Sunday, 8th October at 4.30pm(Premier League). Be there, if you can. Victoria Concordia Crescit.

Steve

Too Dearly Loved To Be Forgotten: Arsenal v Racing Club de Paris 1930-1962 by Steve Ingless (Rangemore Publications, ISBN 978-1-5272-0135-4) is now available on Amazon