Author Archives: keenosafc

Mikel Merino – The cut price versatile midfielder that upgrades Arsenal’s midfield

A new midfielder was always going to be a key acquisition for The Arsenal this summer.

We were either going to sign a new defensive midfielder who could also player further forward, or an “8” who could also play deeper. Who we recruited depended on one person: Thomas Teye Partey.

The future of Partey has been up for debate for two summers now. Driven by his high wage, injury prone body and Declan Rice’s recruitment, there was always a feeling that if big offer came in from a Saudi Arabia, we would accept it.

Partey’s departure would leave us in the market for a new defensive midfielder to provide both cover, competition and an alternative for Declan Rice.

It would be likely that we would go for someone who could dictate play from deep in the way Jorginho does. Martin Zubimendi and Joshua Kimmich are the first two that come to mind.

The signing would give us the option of playing Declan Rice as the sole defensive midfielder, with Kai Havertz in a more attacking midfield position. Or play Rice further forward, with the new recruit in behind him dictating play.

A third scenario would be the new recruit also playing either as the sole defensive midfielder, or in a partnership with Jorginho were Rice to pick up an injury.

This plan only works if Partey were to leave. But it is increasingly looking like that offer from Saudi Arabia will not come in, and the Ghanaian believes he still has plenty to give to a European based side. This leads to the likely scenario that he will remain with us for 2024/25 and see out his contract.

As a result, we then need to recruit a more advanced midfielder who is a natural in the 8, bridging the gap between the defensive mindset of Rice and the attacking instincts of Havertz.

There is no doubt that we missed Granit Xhaka in that position last season – a left footed aggressive midfielder who has the eye for a pass and can contribute in defence and attack.

When Xhaka was having his huge wobble a 3 years ago, Fabian Ruiz was top of my list to replace him. The Spaniard instead joined PSG from Napoli in 2022.

Ruiz’s understudy for Spain is Mikel Merino. He shares a lot of the same attributes as Ruiz, but is not quite the same level – hence why he is Spain’s second choice in that position. But being 2nd choice does not mean he is not good enough!

If Partey stays, we do not need to go big for a midfielder. We have Rice, Partey and Jorginho as the defensive midfield options. We then need to recruit someone who can either cover Rice if injured, or be an option between Rice and Havertz if we decide to set up a little more defensively, but without going all out defence in the midfield.

It is quite clear that Mikel Arteta and his team fancy a bit of Merino.

Talk is that the Merino deal could be done for less than £25million (his contract expires in 12 months). That is an incredible price for someone with his attributes, build and experience. And as we move into a title winning squad, he is the exact sort of player that we need to be recruiting as a squad player.

Primarily an “8”, Merino can also play deeper if required. He has a great engine, fantastic technique and will be able to influence games in the final third in the same way Xhaka did.

His recruitment will mean we are not overspending on Declan Rice’s cover, and basically gives us 8 players for 3 positions: Rice, Partey, Jorginho, Merino, Havertz, Odegaard, Jorginho. Plenty of squad depth and options depending on how Arteta wishes to set up.

Fast forward 12 months, Partey and Jorginho will both likely be leaving. At that point we then go big on a single defensive midfielder to replace the pair. I am then talking about a Zubimendi or Kimmich. that would then give us the 4 men – Zubimendi (for example), Rice, Merino and Havertz. With 2 out of the 3 starting depending on fitness, opponent, and how we want to set up.

Last summer, Manchester City spent £25million on Mateo Kovacic. The Croat is a versatile, experienced midfielder capable of covering multiple positions. With 1,548 minutes played in the Premier League, Rodri and Bernardo Silva were the only two midfielders to play more minutes for the club.

That means Kovacic played more than Kevin de Bruyne (who was out injured), more than Jack Grealish, and more than Matheus Nunes – whom City spent £53m more than in the same summer.

I am sure City fans would agree that Kovacic was a much better signing than Nunes, despite costing half.

Not every player needs to cost the world. Not every players needs to be a superstar. And not every player needs to be the best in the world.

A final thought on this.

You improve your team by buying better than what you have. In the past some have made a case that Emile Smith Rowe could play that more advanced midfielder role, but the departing Hale End lad has yet to show he can to either a consistent or high enough level.

In Merino we are clearly upgrading on Smith Rowe, and by continually improving is how you maintain the pressure, and potentially overtake, City.

Keenos

A lot has happened in the last 6,000 days (Tottenham winning a trophy is not one of them!)

At around 6pm yesterday evening, Tottenham passed exactly 6,000 days since they last won a trophy.

24 February 2008 was the remarkable day that Spurs lifted the League Cup, beating Chelsea 2-1 after Extra Time. Since that day:

  • Harry Kane made his Tottenham debut, played 435 games scoring 280 goals, won nothing, joined Bayern Munich, still won nothing.
  • 10 different men took charge of Tottenham (can you name them all?).
  • 5 men have managed England.
  • Mikel Arteta joined Arsenal, captained Arsenal to FA Cup victory, retire, rejoined as manager, coached Arsenal to FA Cup victory.
  • Jack Wilshere made his Arsenal debut.
  • Thomas Muller made his debut for Bayern Munich, played 707 times and retired.
  • Leicester won the Premier League.
  • And Portsmouth won the FA Cup. Swansea City won the League Cup.
  • We have had 7 Prime Ministers.
  • America have had 4 presidents.
  • Osama Bin Laden was killed.
  • As was Colonel Gaddafi.
  • ISIS were founded.
  • The Queen celebrated her Diamond Jubilee.
  • And Platinum.
  • Then died.
  • So did Nelson Mandela.
  • And Margaret Thatcher.
  • Prince William and Princess Catherine married and had 3 children.
  • Prince Harry married Meghan and stepped down as a working Royal.
  • Lewis Hamilton won his 1st Formula One world title, failed to win another for 5 years, then won another 6.
  • Andy Murray won Wimbledon. Twice.
  • Anthony Joshua took up boxing, won Olympic Gold, became World Heavyweight Champion, then lost it all.
  • Ronnie O’Sullivan won 5 World Championships.
  • And Luke Littler learned to go to the toilet on his own.
  • London hosted the Olympics games. As did Beijing. And Rio de Janeiro. And Tokyo. And Paris.
  • Taylor Swift had her first Billboard 200 number one album. And then had 13 more!
  • Marvel released Iron Man. Then another 32 films!
  • DC got in on the act, debuting Man of Steel, and releasing more 16 films.
  • Star Wars returned with its Sequel trilogy: Episodes VII–IX
  • Game of Thrones premiered.
  • The first generation iPad was released. And 13 generations of iPhone.
  • There have been 5 versions of Windows
  • Pinterest launched. As did Quora. And Snapchat. And Twitch. And Tinder. And Vine. And Telegram. And Discord. And TikTok. And Threads.
  • Kony 2012, Gangman Style, the Ice Bucket Challenge and more went Viral.
  • Scotland voted to remain in the UK
  • The UK voted to leavee the Eu.
  • And finished 2nd in Eurovision.
  • The UK entered its deepest recession since the Second World War.
  • Russia invades Ukraine. Twice.
  • The Arab Spring.
  • Swine flu, Zika virus, Ebola and Covid19.
  • Arsenal were mocked for not winning trophy for 8 years.
  • Then won 4 FA Cups in 6 years.

Have we missed any? Add you memories of the last 6,000 day in the comments.

Keenos

Gabriel Jesus’ Arsenal departure will “only occur if 4 criteria is met”

In recent days, Gabriel Jesus has been linked with a move to the Saudi Pro League.

Now aged 27, Jesus was left out of Brazil’s 2025 Copa America squad and became a bit part player towards the end of last season for Arsenal.

Having joined the club from Manchester City as he sought out first team football, Arsenal may well be looking to change Jesus’s role in the squad with a new top striker incoming and the form of Kai Havertz in the middle.

Being relegated to a squad player and failing to make that Brazil squad may lead Jesus to make the decision that his top level career in Europe is over. His choices would either to accept becoming a Sylvain Wiltord type player at Arsenal, move for first team football at a lower level within Europe, or take the huge money on offer in Saudi Arabia.

Like the Chinese Super League before them, the Saudi Pro League targets players from South America and Africa who are playing in Europe. These guys have already made big upheavals in their lives to move continent, so will be more open to moving continent again.

Unlike European born players like Jordan Henderson, they are more likely to be able to quickly acclimatise to the new culture having already done it previously.

Gabriel Jesus’ departure will only occur if 4 criteria is met:

Arsenal to sign a new striker

At the back end of last season, Kai Havertz was in sparkling form playing down the middle. This saw Gabriel Jesus relegated to 2nd choice striker.

With Eddie Nketiah showing he is not top level, and almost certain to depart over the next 5 weeks, that leaves us with just the two strikers – Havertz and Jesus.

We need two top strikers to enable us to rest and rotate, and make in game changes. Jesus will only be allowed to leave if a new striker comes in.

Arsenal to sign a new winger

Even if a new striker comes in, Jesus still has a big role to play at the club.

In his new role, Jesus will still be 3rd choice striker. That becomes 2nd choice if Havertz returns to his deeper role. He is also cover and competition on the wing.

Jesus has spent much of his career both for Brazil and Manchester City on the left and right wings. Were he to no longer be playing week in, week out upfront, he would then come into Mikel Arteta’s thinking on both flanks.

On the left wing, it would not be too hard to make a case that Jesus would be a better option than Gabriel Martinelli and Leandro Trossard. And if Martinelli holds onto his starting spot, Jesus would be his natural cover and competition.

Over on the right, we have long been looking for cover for Bukayo Saka. Jesus, Martinelli and Trossard would provide this cover.

A new striker would mean that we then have a choice between 4 wingers for two positions. A nice place to be!

Were Jesus to depart, we would be back to 3 for 2 and would have to go into the market for a new winger.

Huge fee

As it stands, Jesus covers two positions at Arsenal.

He is 2nd choice striker, and also in the equation to start on the wing. It will take two signings to replace him. And both of those signings would need to be an upgrade on Jesus.

We have been heavily linked with Viktor Gyokeres and Nico Williams. Both would be an improvement on Jesus and would probably cost us £100-120m.

Whilst we would not expect to cover the full fee of two new incoming players, we would be looking to offset the huge potential outgoings.

From a PSR and accounting point of view, we still have £27m of Jesus’s £45m transfer fee to account for. Any profit in the 2024/25 accounts is any figure about the £27m (as the entirety of any un-amortised fee is must be accounted for in the same period a player leaves).

A fee of £55m has been quoted for Jesus. This will be a £28m profit in the 2024/25 accounts. Were Gyokeres and Williams to come in for a combined £120m, they would cost £24m for 2024/25.

I would expect as a minimum, any profit for Jesus would have to cover the 1st year amortisation costs of his replacements. So we are looking at north of £50m.

Pay his wages

Gabriel Jesus is reportedly on an eye-watering £265k a week. Whilst some might now question this decision, it was a decision that helped us return to the Champions League and become title challengers.

To compete with Manchester City, we need to compete for the best players, and that includes paying the best wages. Manchester City players, on average, are paid £146k a week. Our average is £119k a week. Jesus earns less than the likes of Jack Grealish, and not much more than Phil Foden.

Any club that signs Jesus would have to be able to offer at least pay parity – a player will never leave a club for a pay cut.

Arsenal do not want to get into a situation where we are paying supplementing the wages of players no longer at the club. We would be better of keeping Jesus rather than paying him £100k a week to play for someone else.

Luckily money is not an issue for Saudi clubs, and Jesus would probably expect to double his money if he moves.

What his wages do however is rule him out of any move to another European side. Very few will be able to offer him first team football and the money he is on.


Do I think Jesus will leave? My belief is we are not actively selling hi, but like with many of our squad players we will let him leave if a superior replacement is recruited, and the finances across both his outgoing and however comes in works in our favour.

Keep an eye on both Jesus and Thomas Partey as the summer goes on….

Keenos