MATCH REPORT: Nottingham Forest 1 – 0 Arsenal

Nottingham Forest (1) 1 Arsenal (0) 0

Premier League

City Ground, West Bridgford, Nottinghamshire, NG2 5FJ

Saturday, 20th May 2023. Kick-off time: 5.30pm

(4-3-3) Aaron Ramsdale; Ben White, Jakob Kiwior, Gabriel Magalhães, Granit Xhaka; Martin Ødegaard (c), (Jorge Luiz Frello Filho) Jorginho, Thomas Partey; Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Jesus, Leandro Trossard.

Substitutes: Kieran Tierney, Emile Smith-Rowe, Eddie Nketiah, Rob Holding, Fabio Vieira, Matt Turner, Mauro Gomes Bandeira, Amario Cozier-Duberry, Reuell Walters.

Yellow Cards: Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Magalhães

Arsenal Possession Percentage: 82%

Referee: Anthony Taylor

Assistant Referees: Gary Beswick, Adam Nunn

Fourth Official: Graham Scott

VAR Team at Stockley Park: VAR Neil Swarbrick; AVAR Darren Cann

Attendance: 29,514

For today’s match, Mikel Arteta has made two changes from the side beaten by Brighton and Hove Albion last week. Gabriel Martinelli is absent with an ankle injury, which means that Leandro Trossard takes his place. Thomas Partey is also in the starting eleven, getting chosen over Kieran Tierney, as Granit Xhaka drops to the left back position. Two matches left (including this one, of course) and it is so important to get maximum points from both of these games now.

The home side got this important match underway in the bright Nottinghamshire late afternoon sunshine. The atmosphere is at absolutely fever pitch levels in the early stages of the game, as both sets of supporters are vocalising well, supporting their respective teams. Both Arsenal and Forest look anxious as they probe each other’s defences, looking for a chink in the armour somewhere, to no avail. In the first ten minutes of the game, there were heavy tackles being distributed by both teams, and it was credit to the referee, Anthony Taylor, who was taking time out to speak to players and trying to get some calm in a sea of Nottingham anxiety today. Around the twelfth minute of the match, Thomas Partey was in a central position when the home side tried to counter-attack, but Bukayo Saka read the move and was far too quick for Renan Lodi and was able to get the ball back to Aaron Ramsdale to neutralise the problem. The match stopped when Moussa Niakhaté suffered a really unfortunate injury as his leg was caught accidentally by a falling Martin Ødegaard, who genuinely lost his balance after making an awkward pass. Moussa Niakhaté was on the ground receiving treatment, but after a while, he was able to continue. Gabriel Jesus headed the ball over the crossbar from a corner, and then after just nineteen minutes, following an error, striker Taiwo Awoniyi broke through and opened the scoring for the home team. Very disappointing indeed. However, we got ourselves together and started to apply pressure on the Forest defence, as Leandro Trossard met a decent delivery from a corner but sadly whacked his first-time shot wide of the goal. A couple of minutes later, some good build-up play by us led to Gabriel Jesus blasting the ball over the bar from close range. On the half hour, Bukayo Saka did very well to wriggle his way between a couple of Forest players on the right wing before slotting a good pass to Gabriel Jesus, who zipped in a clever ball that the home side’s defenders easily cleared. The home side keep trying to pick and probe at our defence, and on one occasion Aaron Ramsdale came out of his goal to clear the ball after he found himself in a dangerous one-on-one situation with Taiwo Awoniyi that could have ended disastrously for us. We had a period of long ball play deep into the Forest half in order to try and stop the pressure from the home side in midfield but sadly they are all cleared by either their defenders or goalkeeper Keylor Navas. In the four minutes injury time, despite some pressing play from our players, somehow the score remained the same as the players trundled off into the changing rooms for their half-time hiatus.

Arsenal started the second half under pressure from Forest, and Aaron Ramsdale was called into action within a couple of minutes turning a dangerous ball round his left-hand post for a corner for the home side, which eventually went nowhere. Mirroring the problems from the first half, Forest appear to be better at counter attacking than we are at pressing their defence in our quest to scoring the equaliser. Gabriel Jesus received a ridiculous yellow card from the referee after being pulled down in the Forest penalty area by Joe Worrall, after a surefire penalty appeal had been denied. Although we were passing the ball around nicely, there was no end product at all, and in order to pep things up a bit, after a good chance by Bukayo Saka that went astray, and a couple of disappointing corners, Mikel Arteta brought on Kieran Tierney and Eddie Nketiah to replace Jakub Kiwior and Granit Xhaka just after the hour. Forest came close to getting a second goal when Morgan Gibbs-White fired the ball past Aaron Ramsdale to hit the side netting, and our third substituion of the afternoon happened when Leandro Trossard (who has had a poor game today, it has to be said) was replaced by Fabio Viera with jusr over twenty minutes of the game remaining. We had yet another scare when Danilo found Renan Lodi with a clever ball but thankfully he dragged his shot wide of Aaron Ramsdale’s goal. Kieran Tierney and Gabriel Jesus combined well down the left wing but Kieran Tierney lost the ball before we gave away a free kick as we desperately tried to win it back. So utterly frustrating today. Gabriel received our second yellow card of the day after a silly confrontation with Morgan Gibbs-White, and then a nice move by us ended with Gabriel Jesus finding Bukayo Saka inside the penalty area but he was quickly surrounded by three Forest players. In the second half injury time period of seven minutes, we were passing the ball around midway inside the Forest half before the ball was sent into the penalty area but Keylor Navas gathered it up easily. Minutes later, the final whistle blew; in an instant, Nottingham Forest were guaranteed Premiership status next year, Manchester City are crowned Premiership champions and we are their runners-up. Just like that.

Such a bitter pill to swallow, but facts are facts; in complete contrast to the first half of the campaign before Christmas, when we only dropped seven points overall, the boys have collected just nine points from their past eight games, which to be fair, is not the stuff of champions. Today, we had eighty-two percent possession, and just three shots on target (out of eleven shots on the Forest goal overall) is not just good enough, frankly; but their cutting edge has been missing for a while, and there was an overall resignation about the outcome long before the final whistle blew on our challenge today. However, if we were all told last August that we would finish the season as runners-up, most of us would have taken that outcome. Leaving the recent drop off out of it, it has been a great season, and we are in the Champions League next year for the first time since the 2016-17 season. Such is life.

Remember everyone, keep the faith, get behind the team and the manager, as this season is going to be crucial for our future success in all competitions. Stick with the winners. Our next match: Wolverhampton Wanderers at the Emirates on Sunday, 28th May at 4.30pm (Premier League). Be there, if you can. Victoria Concordia Crescit.

Steve

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Embarking on the final journey of a fantastic season

More fan favourites set to join Xhaka in summer exodus

1 Reply

As Arsenal ran out of steam, Manchester City found another gear and accelerated towards the finish line.

The difference between the two clubs is not mental strength, it is not that Arsenal bottled it. It is that Pep Guardiola has a squad filled with more quality. That allows him to rest and rotate with out affecting the starting XI. The result is players are fresher at the business end of the season.

This summer, Arsenal need to improve the squad to try and close that gap. We do not need a bigger squad, we need a better squad.

Improve the top end is how you improve squad depth. You buy better players than what you have, and those in the same positions “drop down one on the ladder” as a consequence. And then the player at the bottom end of the ladder is sold on as no longer required.

You maintain that 22-24 man first team squad, but fill it with more quality.

But we are not Manchester City. We can not afford to go out into the transfer market and spend big without a plan on how to finance the transfer window. And we do not want to go down the Chelsea route of offering big contracts and mortgaging our future.

That means if we want to go out and do the business we want this summer, some fans favourites might end up being sold out.

The first name is Granit Xhaka.

Firstly, who would have though Xhaka would be a fans favourite a couple of years ago? He has gone from “we need to get rid and no one wants him” to “we can not let him go” when the links to Bayern Leverkusen materilised.

At the moment our options in the 6 / 8 are Xhaka, Thomas Partey and Jorginho (I have excluded Mohamed Elneny).

We are chasing Declan Rice who would improve our first XI.

Rice could replace either Partey in the deeper midfield position, or Xhaka further up the pitch. You throw in Jorginho and it would give 4 good options in those positions, and plenty of game time for all.

But then you have Moises Caicedo.

The links with the Ecuadorian will not go away, with many thinking that we could go for him and Rice. But this raises two issues.

The first is squad space, the second is financial.

If we signed Rice, that would leave us with the 4 options mentioned above. 5 options in that position is probably one too many.

Acquiring Caicedo and Rice would mean one of the existing 3 would have to depart. And the likely one to make way would be Xhaka.

Partey is on huge wages. And with personal issues also hanging over him, Arsenal would struggle to find a buyer this summer. Would anyone really take on his £200k+ a week wages? No.

Meanwhile, Jorginho has only just joined. And selling him would probably cost us money as we would not get close to what we still have left to amorotise within the accounts.

That leaves Xhaka.

Still only 30, Xhaka has a year left on his contract. He will be considering his future, and if a club in Germany offers him a 4-year deal (as Leverkusen reportedly have) then he would be happy to move.

Money is also not a problem. Xhaka is not on huge wages, and he would earn a lot more signing for a club on a 5-year deal summer against staying with his for another year and then getting a 4-year deal in 2023. His self-value has probably never been higher since he joined us.

So if we want Caicedo and Rice, Xhaka will probably be out the door (note: this was written before the recent breaking news).

And if we are talking about squad depth, we then have: Rice, Caicedo, Partey and Jorginho as our options.

Considering we started the season with Xhaka, Partey, Lokonga and Elneny, this is a great example of how purchases at the top of the squad improve the depth at the bottom.

The second issue is financial.

Rice is likely to move for around £80million plus add-ons. Caicedo will go for around £60m plus add-ons. That would be £140m+ spent on two midfielders. And we would still need a new central defender and an additional winger / forward option.

Realistically, I expect us to spend around £100m on new players prior to an exits. Which in turn means we need to sell if we wish to buy beyond this price. And that brings me onto Emile Smith Rowe.

Talk was that Mikel Arteta was looking to convert Smith Rowe into a 8. It is a position that I always felt he could play. But if Rice and Caicedo join, than the Hale End graduate would be 5th in the pecking order for that position – or 3rd behing Martin Odegaard and Fabio Vieira as the more attacking 8.

Out wide, he is behind Gabriel Martinelli, Bukayo Saka and Leoandro Trossard.

Another forward or wide-man is a target this summer. That player could become a 4th option outwide – or we go for an out and out forward (Dusan Vlahovic, Ivan Toney) and Jesus is then utilised ouwide.

The widemen we have been linked to – Moussa Diaby, Xavi Simons and Ansu Fati – are all better options that Smith Rowe. Likewise, Jesus would be a better option.

Smith Rowe was fantastic last year. But this year the injury issues that have plagued his senior career returned.

He is certainly someone that we could make huge money on, without it really affecting squad depth.

If we sign Caicedo and Diaby (for example), Smith Rowe is then 5th choice midfielder and 5th choice winger. A fee of £40million would allow us to further expand the squad.

Kieran Tierney is another senior pro that might be sacrificed.

Tierney is back up left back that could fetch well above £30million. That is further funds that could be reinvested if Arsenal are hoping to have a big summer.

Now a debate is to be had as to who replaces Tierney. It would be a pointless exercise if we have to spend £30m to replace him. We might as well keep him.

But if the club are confident that Takehiro Tomiyasu could be cover for Zinchenko (and White), further backed up by Reul Walters, Lino Sousa , Jakub Kiwior and a potential new incoming centre back, then selling Tierney would be a “free hit”.

At a basic level, we would be swapping Tierney for a new right sided centre back.

Last on this list is Folarin Balogun.

We have already discussed that if you buy better than what you have, someone at the bottom end most leave. And in the forward positions that is Balogun.

If we get in another top forward, that leaves Balogun and Nketiah fighting it out to be 3rd choice. A position that in Balogun’s case he does not want to be in.

I would also much prefer the £30-40million thatr selling Balogun would generate. Funds that would go into financing someone at the top end of the squad.

A window that saw us sign (for example) Rice, Caicedo, Josip Sutalo and Dusan Vlahovic would cost us close to £200million.

Selling Xhaka, Smith Rowe, Tierney and Balogun would raise in and around £100million – maybe even more.

If we were looking at an initial investment based on self-sustainability of £100m, these sales would further finance more moves.

So to play a bit a Football Manager:

Out: Xhaka, Smith Rowe, Balogun, Tierney
In: Rice, Caicedo, Vlahovic, Sutalo

The acquisitions would dramatically improve the top end of our squad, whilst the departures would not be a huge blow.

And we have not taken into account the future of Nicolas Pepe, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Nuno Taveres, Pablo Mari and Rob Holding. Although I would be surprised if any of these leaving would generate more than £20-30m combined.

From Smith Rowe to Patino, Xhaka to Balogun, sacrifices will be made this summer.

You can not demand we sign “better players” then also cry when a player you like is sold to make way for that better player.

Final thought: We have come up a little short this season.

If we have Rice, Caicedo, Vlahovic and Sutalo in our squad this season, rather than Xhaka, Smith Rowe, Tierney and Balogun would we be champions?

Keenos

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