3 into 2 does go for Neto and Arsenal

Mirroring the debate had at centre back, some people are questioning why we are targeting Pedro Neto when we “already have Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka”.

It sometimes feels at Arsenal, we are the only team that are not allowed to have squad depth.

With 50+ games to play this season, we need a deep squad to allow Mikel Arteta to rest and rotate without seeing a drop off in qua;lity.

Last season we had a starting XI that was a match for anyone. But we did not have the strength in depth.

This led Arteta to over playing the likes of Bukayo Saka, and we paid for it in the run in as players looked exhausted and lost form.

With Nicolas Pepe now gone, it leaves us with just Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli and Emile Smith Rowe as wide options.

At this point some might say “and Gabriel Jesus” – but we need to remember he is our main striker. And with a high energy game, he will need to be rested and rotated for Eddie Nketiah.

We need to be in a position where Eddie can come in for Jesus to rest the Brazilian, not because he is required to fill in out wide.

Likewise, Fabio Vieira can play out wide. But he is also the cover and competition for Martin Odergaard and an option to replace Granit Xhaka if we want to go more attacking. He should only be an option on the wings in an emergancy.

And the chances of that emergancy will decrease if we sign one more winger: Pedro Neto (or another winger).

Neto ticks a lot of the boxes:

  • Premier League proven
  • 25 or under
  • High work rate
  • Can play on both wings

Whilst I would not pay £50million for him, if we do have that sort of funds available and it can get the deal done, we should consider it – especially when you compare to Morgan Gibbs-White going for £45million and Anthony Gordon being linked with a £60million+ move.

Neto is better than both of these.

If we signed Neto, our wide options would then be Saka, Martinelli, Neto and Smith Rowe.

And this is why the transfer fee would not bother me.

I would not look at it as “Neto for £50million” but more “Neto, Saka, Martinelli, Smith Rowe, Jesus and Nketiah for less than £100million”.

That would be a fantastic array of attacking hungry attacking talent.

Bar potentially having to recruit better cover for Jesus (if Nketiah doesn’t cut the mustard – although then Balogun might get the chance), we would not have to look at our attack line for 3 or 4 seasons at least.

We would have more than enough games to keep Neto, Saka and Martinelli happy. Whilst Smith Rowe will still see plenty of game time as he provides us with another option inside.

Neto also further strengthens the striking options. It would give us the alternative of playing Martinelli through the middle with Neto playing outwide.

Some might question Neto’s output – 9 Premier League goals in 76 games.

But we must remember these are statistics of a young player – Neto came to the Premier League as a 19-year-old, playing for an ultra defensive team and suffered a bad injury.

In his first two seasons with Wolves – prior to his injury – he had scored 3 and 5 goals. Cristiano Ronaldo in his first two seasons scored 3 and 4.

Now I am not saying he is as good as Ronaldo. But more than we should ignore a young players early statistics in a new league.

Ronaldo turned 22 and went from boy to man. Going from scoring 9 goals in his 3rd season to 17 in his 4th and 31 in his 5th.

We basically need to be scoring 90+ goals a season to compete for the title. The way I see the breakdown is:

Jesus: 20-25
Nketiah – 10
Saka – 10-15
Martinelli – 10-15
Neto – 8-10
Smith Rowe – 5-8
Odergaard – 5-8

That would give us between 68 and 91 goals (it will probably be somewhere in the middle as you would not expect every player to hit their “max” – and if they do we are champions).

The rest of the goals are then made up from your other players and own goals.

So we would not need Neto to come in and hit 10-15 goals from day one. Just 8-10.

And if he does hit 10-15 goals, it probably means he has forced his way into the team ahead of Martinelli or Saka and as a result their goals will drop (down to 8-10).

Now some will say we should go for Wilfried Zaha rather than Neto as a proven goal scorer from out wide. It is a new from me.

It would be crazy getting rid of Pepe and signing Zaha – who is basically a Pepe clone.

Zaha, like Pepe, relies on space in behind. His team playing counter-attacking football. We do not play that and usually come up against side that play a low block.

The same problems Pepe faced, Zaha will also have. And like Pepe, his passing is not good enough meaning he can not move the ball quickly and efficiently to create gaps in the opponents defence (Zaha usually averaged less than 80% pass completion whilst Neto is just shy of 90%).

Add in that Zaha turns 30 in November, it woukld be crazy to bring in an ageing, short term option on high money considering we have just spent 2 years getting rid of the sort of player.

When it comes to Neto, 3 into 2 does go.

(And if we can not get the Neto deal to work, we have alternative options in Mykhaylo Mudryk and Yerimi Pino).

Enjoy the game today. Lets make it 4 wins from 4.

Up the Arsenal.

Keenos

Edu set for busy week resolving 5 transfer deals

As the Sky Sports News transfer window clock tickets below 7 days to go, Arsenal still have business to do.

The window “slams shut” at 11pm on 11pm BST on next Thursday. So what transfer saga’s will be resolved in the next 7 days?

Pedro Neto

The Wolves midfielder has been the big “new link” to Arsenal this week.

Over the course of the window, plenty of armchair scouts have said Neto is a player we should be targetting and this week David Ornstein dropped this:

Neto would be an interesting acquisition to the side.

His age, versatility, work rate and Premier League experience matches the profile of our recent transfer strategy.

The 22-year-old winger would provide cover and competition on both wings to Gabriel Martinelli and Bukayo Saka.

With us having 50+ games to play this season, he would enable us to rest and rotate those wide men.

Last season we ran Bukayo Saka into the ground and without adequete competition, the same will happen this season. Signing Neto would be a coup and it would give Mikel Arteta 3 fantastic wide options.

The big stumbling block would be Wolves do not really want – or need – to sell. And Arsenal do not really have the funds to make an offer that they just can not refuse.

When you consider Morgan Gibbs-White was recently sold by Wolves to Nottingham Forest for £45million and Chelsea are considering spending £60million on Anthony Gordon, you begin to realise just how much it might take to secure Neto’s services.

Jorge Mendes relationship with Wolves could be key.

His agency (Gestifute) are in bed with the Midlands club who utilse the relationship to sign Portuguese players they have no right in signing.

Part of that agreement has to be that Mendes will push his clients towards Wolves, as long as Wolves sell on his clients when a “bigger” club comes in.

It is a “benefits all” agreement as Mendes gets talented young Portuguese players playing time in the Premier League, Wolves get players that are better than they’d naturally attract, and everyone makes a bit of money when they are sold on.

Wolves currently have 11 players that are signed with Gestifute. Can they afford to upset Mendes by refusing to sell one of his clients. It will be biting their nose of to spite their face.

Neto is a realistic target, but we would need Mendes to put the pressure on (and this will probably cost a few million in agents fees!)

Youri Tielemans

I still maintain we will not be in for Youri Tielemans.

I just can not see the deal happening when we have quite a few “number 8s” now in Martin Odergaard, Granit Xhaka, Fabio Vieira, Albert Sambi Lokonga and Emile Smith Rowe.

Arsenal were in for him early in the summer, I think that is clear and obvious, but as it progressed we moved for someone else (Vieira) and decided to stick with a current player (Xhaka).

Now some might begin having the debate between Xhaka and Tielemans, but it is one that is not worthwhile waisting your breath on.

Tielemans only comes in if Xhaka is sold. And as anyone who has watched All or Nothing will know, Xhaka is the leader on and off the pitch. He might not wear the armband but he is the captain.

Add in the Zinchenko can play in midfield and we are overloaded in the centre of the park.

The only place in central midfield we need to strengthen is cover for Partey. but Tielemans is not that!

And I expect us to go big for a defensive midfielder next summer who can go on to be a long term replacement for PArtey rather than short term cover.

Tielemans will not happen (disclaimer: unless Leicester drop the price to something silly!)

Nicolas Pepe

Rumours emerged a couple of weeks ago that Nicolas Pepe might be off to Nice on loan.

The Ivorian winger is clearly not in Mikel Arteta’s plans and was left out of the squad for the Bournemouth game.

Whilst Nice seem to be in pole position to buy, Leicester City have quietly been linked with him.

Leicester City need to sell to buy, and the likes of Wesley Fofana, James Maddison and Youri Tielemans have been linked with moves away.

If they sell one of these for big money, they might end up doing a transfer deadline day Supermarket Sweep and overpay for anyone they can get their hands on.

Another interested suitor could help Arsenal in negotiations with Nice – potentially allowing us to insert (or increase) any obtions or obligations to buy.

I think he will end up being a Nice player (and it might happen before this blog has been published). But keep an eye on Leicester.

Note: he joined Nice late last night…

Ainsley Maitland-Niles

It is surprising that there has been next to zero transfer speculation surrounding the future of Ainsley Maitland-Niles.

In 2020 he was subject of a £15million bid from Wolves, and then in 2021 he was reportedly close to joining Leicester City.

On both occasions, he was denied his wish to leave and played very little in the first halves of the season. This resulted in loan deals (firstly to WBA, then to Roma).

His stock has certainlg dropped since 2020 – when he won 5 England caps and he turns 25 in a few days.

His career has stalled in the last 2 years – and Arsenal are to blame – and he now has just one year left on his contract.

The Ainsley Maitland-Niles saga has now been going on for 2-years and the lack of transfer speculation makes me think it will not be resolved this summer.

I just can not see where a bid will come from – unless a club that has started slowly becomes desperate and is happy splashing the cash.

More than likely is that this season will mirror the last 3 – he will remain at Arsenal doing very little before moving out on loan in January. He will then depart on a free next season.

Hector Bellerin

The fturue of Hector Bellerin is a strange one.

He seems to want to return to Real Betis, but they reportedly do not have the finances to make a deal happen.

Bellerin was rumoured to have offered Arsenal to cancel his contract to get the move to enable Betis to finance a free transfer, but this has not materilised.

In recent days Bellerin has been linked with Barcelona.

Arsenal are reportedly demanding just £5million for Bellerin, but like Betis, Barcelona are holding out for a free transfer.

I can see this one going down to the last day and it will be “who blinks first” between all parties involved.


Plenty still for Arsenal to work in over the next 7 days. And with 2 games during this team, you begin to see why no top club has any manager / head coach involved in transfer dealings anymore.

Edu is set for a busy week.

Keenos

Gabriel Martinelli Apology

I am happy to hold my hands up and say I was wrong with this one.

When we signed Martinelli, I wrote an honest blog about how I signing and 18-year-old from Brazil sent out a “negative message to the Arsenal Academy”.

Now when we signed him, I had not seen him play. Never heard of him. And anyone that claims to have watched him previously to us signing him is a liar.

The clubs original plan for Martinelli was to stick him in the academy. For him to be part of the development squad.

I questioned what message this would put out to a very talented group of young local lads – Eddie Nketiah, Reiss Nelson, Xavier Amaechi, Bukayo Saka, Tyreece John-Jules and Florian Balogun.

Surely it would be better to give the chance to a guy that had been with the club since he was 6-years-old? By adding an unknown kid from Brazil to this group get a little wrong. A little dirty.

My view point was, and still is, that players from abroad should be bought in at 18 to improve the first team squad, not the U21s.

But I did not know what a talent we had on our hands. And in all honesty I do not think the club fully knew either.

Martinelli ended up not playing in the academy and was instead very quickly promoted to the first team squad. Three years later and he is closing in on 100 appearances for The Arsenal.

Of that group of players I name checked, Bukayo Saka has is the only one to become a first team regular. This reinforces the saying that “if you are good enough you will get your chance”.

Since that blog, I have written a lot on Martinelli. All praise. For me he could emulate what Alexis Sanchez did at the club. And in him and Saka we have two of the brighter young players in Europe (still).

So Gabi, whilst I still do not agree with foreign lads joining the academy at 18-years-old, you proved to everyone that you were better than that.

In blogging, we make snap judgments to stay relevant. And occasionally our initial viewpoint will be wrong.

I probably should have apologised early to Martinelli, but I’d forgotten I wrote the blog until I was searching for another.

I will “hold that L” as the kids say.

Keenos