Arsenal should cash in on academy products sparkling form

I have always been a huge champion of our academy products.

After winning trophies, getting to watch someone who has come through your academy, bleeds red and white, making it is the next best thing in football.

I will always have an affinity to kids that come through the system – whether it was Ray Parlour, Jack Wilshere or Bukayo Saka.

But not all kids will make it. In fact the majority will not. And we have to thank them for their time and wish them luck at their new club – and wherever they go I will keep an eye out for them.

We have a few academy products who are finding themselves at a cross roads this summer – Eddie Nketiah, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Reiss Nelson and Joe Willock.

Whilst you will find very little support or justification for us to keep the first two, there is a conversation to be had over Joe Willock.

Willock has taken his loan spell to Newcastle by the rough of the neck and put in match winning performances for them.

Despite his good form, Arsenal should resist turning down an offer over £20million from the Geordies if it comes in.

I am pleased for Willock, he has done fantastic. But that does not mean he is good enough for Arsenal’s long term thinking.

“Where does he play” and “can he fit the system” are the two most important factors.

Is Willock a box to box midfielder or a “10”? That has been a question asked by many throughout his career at Arsenal.

He certainly has the physical attributes to be box to box – he is tall (although he still needs to fill out a bit more) and has an engine on him. But whenever he has played deeper, he seems to get lost.

His passing is the weakest area of his game.

For Newcastle his pass completion ratio is just 73.5%. For Arsenal this season in the Premier League it was 78.2%.

Last season in the Premier League for Arsenal it was 82.8%.

Compare this to Mohamed Elneny (92.7%) and Granit Xhaka (90.1%) and the drop off his huge.

Thomas Partey has been accused of being sloppy on the ball this season, but his completed pass ratio of 86.9% is also superior to Willock’s.

Willock just does not suit playing deeper and needs to be further up the pitch.

That then puts him competing against Emile Smith Rowe.

Arsenal still need creativity and goals in the top end of the pitch.

Smith Rowe is superior to Willock when it comes to creativity – his technic, passing and vision is vastly superior. Whilst Willock is the better goal scorer.

Edu, Mikel Arteta and the recruitment team need to be looking at players that are better than Smith Rowe and Willock. Someone that provides the goals and assists on a more consistent basis – Houssem Aouar remains a target.

That would leave either Willock or Smith Rowe playing second fiddle to the new signing.

So do you go with Willock’s goals? Or Smith Rowe’s creativity? That is where the system is then important.

With regards to the system, Willock with his pace and ability to drift into the box has a game made for counter attacking football.

But Arsenal do not play counter attacking. We do not defend deep and look to hit teams on the break. We try to dominate play and possession.

Therefore the attributes that he has bought to Newcastle will not be as devasting for Arsenal.

Meanwhile Smith Rowe is better suited to playing in those tight areas. Short sharp one touch passes. Operating with not much space.

So if it is a choice between Smith Rowe and Willock as understudy to whoever else we bring in, Smith Rowe is the better option.

That would leave Willock as 3rd choice in the position – and with financial constraints as they are the £20million could be used elsewhere on the pitch than tied up in a fringe squad player.

Willock will go to Newcastle and perform well. He will suit their style of play and their fans will love him.

But for Arsenal to kick on and return next season as a top 4 team, we need to funnel funds into better players. And cashing in on Willock, Maitland-Niles, Nelson and Nketiah raises important funds.

Keenos

Southampton Left Back a Sensible Solution

Ryan Bertrand would be a good signing for Arsenal.

There, I said it.

Cheap Option

With the possibility of no European football, Arsenal’s finances could be impacted by a further £40million in lost revenue. Add in the financial issues COVID19 have created and we  do not have lots of money to spend.

Taking that into account, it would be irresponsible to spend big on a back up left back.

Bertrand would be a free transfer and, as long as we do not give him a silly contract, will prove value for money.

Getting in Bertrand for free leaves more money to be spent elsewhere.

No one breaking through the youth team

“If we want cheap, why do we not just promote someone”.

Well there is no one to promote.

There is a reason why Tolaji Bola is still at the club despite being 22-years-old and not yet having played a first game. It is because the youth team has a dearth of full back.

Joel Lopez is highly rated, but is still very much a rough diamond and is not ready for first team football.

What would make the most sense is bringing in Bertrand for 2 years and allowing Lopez to go out on loan next season to get the first team football he needs for development.

Premier League proven

We went for the cheap, senior option in Stephan Lichsteiner and it failed. But he was not Premier League proven and the pace of England compared to Italy proved too much for his ageing legs.

Bertrand is closing in on 500 games in the England – most of which have been in the top flight.

Over recent years he has proved himself to be a solid, consistent Premier League performer.

He is fit as a fiddle

Only 3 players have played more minutes of Premier League football this season for Southampton, so despite being 31-years-old, fitness is clearly not a problem.

Home grown

Arsenal need to keep an eye on the squad quotas for the upcoming season.

As it stands we have 16 non-home-grown senior pro’s; leaving us space for 2 more.

With us likely to lose a few of the fringe youngsters (Reiss Nelson, Eddie Nketiah, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Joe Willock), we need to ensure that “non essential” positions are not taken up by a non-home-grown player.

Bringing in Bertrand as a back up left back rather than looking abroad frees up a space to bring in someone else.


Ryan Bertrand might not be a signing that excites everyone, but he will be quality back-up for Kieran Tierney without breaking the bank.

Keenos

Are performances against other “big” sides and top 3 form in last 22 games the enough to stick with Arteta?

My opinion on Mikel Arteta changes more often than my underwear.

Just as I get to the stage where I think “he is done. We need a change”, Arsenal pull out a victory like we did against Chelsea and you begin to think “hold him. He needs to be backed”.

Wednesday’s victory means that we did the double over Chelsea for the first time since 2003/04 and means Arteta adds the scalp of Thomas Tuchel to Pep Guardiola, Jurgen Klopp and Jose Mourinho.

So we did the double over Chelsea, we are also unbeaten against Manchester United (1 win, 1 draw) and West Ham (1 win, 1 draw).

Of those teams above us in the league, Liverpool and Manchester City are the only ones we failed to take points off.

In what has been a rollercoaster of a season, Arsenal’s performances against those in form teams have not been the issue. It is the results against the lesser teams that has cost us.

ONE point taken in 8 games against Everton, Aston Villa, Wolves and Burnley is the reason we are 8th and not third.

In a normal season, you would expect Arsenal to pick up at least 12 points from those 8 games. Maybe more.

That would have us ahead of Leicester City in 3rd. In a Champions League spot and positive about the future.

But we lost all bar one of those games.

Yes, their have been some extenuating circumstances – a referee blunder cost us 3 points at Wolves, and that Grant Xhaka post cost us 2 points against Burnley – but ultimately we lost the games we did because we did not do enough to win. It is that basic.

The run of 7 games without a win has likely cost us European football this season.

During that run we continually shot ourselves in the foot – mistakes for goals, silly red cards, not scoring when on top. It certainly feels a season of what ifs.

We will probably end up missing out on European football by a couple of points.

That is Xhaka not doing that pass v Burnley, it is David Luiz not being sent off v Wolves. That Lacazette goal not being disallowed v Leicester City. Nicholas Pepe’s sending off against Leeds. Xaka not being sent off against Burnley.

That poor run of form ended on Boxing Day when we beat Chelsea at home.

Since that date only Manchester United and Manchester City have got more points. That is a period of 22 games.

Yes, I get that we have played 36 games and you can not discount the 14 games that went before, but it is clear that Arteta has turned us around following that poor run.

We have had some disappointing results since Christmas – the limp home draws against Crystal Palace and Fulham and defeats away to Wolves and Aston Villa. The Villarreal no-show. But overall the form has been good and the table since Christmas shows that.

But the table for the season has us where we deserve to be.

The question moving forward is which Arsenal is Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal?

Is it the side that would have us 3rd over the last 22 games? Or the one that had us 15th after the first 14 games?

Victories against Crystal Palace and Brighton in the last 2 games of the season should save Arteta’s job.

And then we move onto next season.

If he starts the season in the same form we have been in during the last 22 games, we brush that bad run of form early this season under the carpet and move on.

He has another horrendous start to the season and the naysayers will increase.

For now, I am back in the “stick with him” camp. Although defeat to Crystal Palace on Sunday will quickly change that again.

Keenos