With Partey, Jorginho and Elneny all likely to leave, who are Arsenal’s midfield targets?

Thomas Partey’s time at Arsenal is coming to an end. He could leave as early as January. It is also highlighy likely that Jorginho and Mohamed Elneny will join the Ghanaian out the exit door.

The trio’s exit will leave a huge hole in Arsenal’s squad. We will basically have just one proper midfielder – Declan Rice. That means over the next two windows (depending on when Partey departs), we will need to sign two new central midfielders.

The first will look to be the Partey replacement – someone who can come in and replicate what Rice can do in the defensive positions.

The second will probably be someone who can both play in that defensive position, as well as further forward to provide cover and competition for Kai Havertz.

There is also the alternative that both new signings can play in the “6” and “8”.

So who are the options?

Douglas Luiz – Aston Villa

Mikel Arteta and Edu have been fans of the Aston Villa midfielder for a while.

Dougie Luiz is certainly someone who can do play both as our deepest midfielder and that little further forward to a high standard.

With over 150 appearances in the Premier League for Aston Villa, Luiz has proved he has what it takes to perform week in week out in England. He would certainly be a “no risk” signing.

97 of those apperances have come playing as the deepest of Aston Villa’s midfield. A single pivot whilst the likes of John McGinn, Emi Buendía, Philippe Coutinho or Youri Tielemans played further ahead.

This season, with the recruitment of Boubacar Kamara and departure of Coutinho, Luiz has played further advanced.

Luiz has the right mix of defensive awareness and tenacity, combined with wonderful technique. He is Aston Villa’s best passer and anything positive they do tends to come through him.

You could certainly see Luiz in an Arsenal shirt, as cover for Rice defensively and as an option to compete with Kai Havertz further forward.

I think he would make the perfect midfield recruit.

Martin Zubimendi – Real Sociedad

The Spanish midfielder risks becoming one of these names that is linked to us every window.

Last January we were heavilly linked with him before signing Jorginho. In the summer he was being presented to us as an alternative to Declan Rice. Speculation of us targetting him this January has already begun.

Arsenal’s Stats DNA pointed to Martin Zubimendi as an alternative to Rice and Caicedo last summer. He would not have been the big money name that the other two would have been, but he was a player that was being looked at by many across Europe, including Barcelona.

In the end, Zubimendi decided to stay at his home town club for their first Champions League campgain in 10-years, and just their 3rd in 40!

This year, Real Sociedad have slipped backwards in La Liga – currently in 6th and already 6 points off a top 4. You have to feel that if they do not get Champions League football, then Zubimendi might be off.

With a reported £52m release clause, Zubamendi is a classic defensive midfielder in the mould of Emmanuel Petit.

He sits in-front of the Sociedad back four with his primary job to break up play and protect the defence. He is an excellent short and long passer of the ball and his simplistic style of play has been compared to Sergio Busquets, which is probably why Barcelona were interested.

Zubimendi has to be top of the list to be the “out and out defensive option”.

Jorginho – Arsenal

I expect Jorginho to leave for regular first team football, but I also would not be surprised if he stays.

The Brazilian-Italian is a fantastic footballer. Someone who does not rely on pace and pwoer to dominate a midfield, instead relying on his excellent reading of the game. He is a leader o nthe pitch, almost like having a manager playing.

I never really got the “Jorginho’s legs have gone” argument of some, as Jorginho never really had legs to begin with.

He turns 32 towards the end of th year, but the likes of Luka Modric and Andrea Pirlo shows you do not write of “thinking footballers” as they head towards their mid-30s.

The issue with Jorginho is where he fits in – you would not be comfortable him replacing Rice for a length of time as Arsenal’s sole defensive midfielder.

In recent games, we have seen Joginho dovetail with Rice, and you feel having someone with a bit more energy next to him is best (similar to Casemiro next to Modric). I can certainly see Douglas Luiz and Jorginho being able to play well in tandem.

Keeping Jorginho for an extra year or two will also allow us to continue developing Charlie Patino and Myles Lewis-Skelly. The latter is exciting plenty in the academy and, given another 2-years, could save us millions,.

Would I offer Jorginho another year? Yes. Would Jorginho accept that? I am not sure.

Charlie Patino – Arsenal (on-loan at Swansea City)

We seem to have been awaiting an age for Charlie Patino to break through.

The 20-year-old was once on par with EJude Bellingham and Jamal Musiala for England. Whilst those two have progressed into senior mens football, Patino is still battling to break through.

Last season he started well for Blackpool, but his performances dropped as they hurtled towards relegation. This season he is back in the Championship with Swansea City.

For Swansea, he is playing in the left handed advanced position that Havertz currently plays in for Arsenal. Anyone that would call for Patino to replace the German would need to give their head a wobble. But that does not mean Patino is a bad player.

The main issue for Patino is whether he is ready to step up to Arsenal.

Some will argue “if he is not ready at 20, he will never be”. But take one look over to West London and Conor Gallagher is the answer.

At 20, Gallagher was on-loan at Swansea in the Championship. He then spent a season in the Premier League with West Brom, and a 2nd loan to Crystal Palace. Last year he became a regular in the Chelsea squad, and is now one of the first names on the teamsheet.

I think Patino needs a year on-loan at a Premier League club. That will show whether he can reach the level needed for The Arsenal.

Sign Douglas Luiz (or Martin Zubimendi) to replace Partey, keep Jorginho for another year, send Patino on loan to a Premier League club and Myles Lewis-Skelly to a Championship side feels like it is good forward thinking.

Others:

Gabriel Moscardo – Has caught Edu’s eye during a recent scouting trip of Brazil was Gabriel Moscardo. Just 18 so very raw. Would probably be a Patino replacement in the equation above.
Andre – 22-year-old capped by Brazil this year. Would be a cheaper, rawer version of Douglas Luiz.
Javi Guerra – One of the highest rated midfielders in Spain. Plays similar to Declan Rice. Just 20. £86m release clause.
Arthur Vermeeren – Being Belgium makes the comparison to Kevin de Bruyne easy to make. More of an advanced option. Similar to Moscardo in that he would repalce Patino in our thinking

Final thoughts

If it was down to me (and it is not), I would look to recruit Douglas Luiz. He looks the perfect fit as someone who can play in both that defensive role, and as a more attack minded midfielder.

I would follow this up with securing Jorginho to another 1 or 2 year deal.

The focus then needs to be on investing in youth to replace Jorginho long term – whether that is inside from Patino or Lewis-Skelly or by recruiting someone like Moscardo or Vermeeren.

If Jorginho does not sign, we might have to scrap the “project youth” side of my thoughts and recruit look to sign both Luiz and Zubimendi, with Andre Trindade as a “ready to go” alternative to the pair.

Keenos

Thomas Partey Arsenal journey coming to an end

I would not be surprised if Thomas Partey has played his last Arsenal game.

Some will say this situation “should have come sooner”, and I am certainly one of those that would not have been upset had we taken Saudi blood money last summer.

Partey, when fit, is one of the best defensive midfielders in Europe. He is a destructive force in the middle of the park. An individual that is hard to stop when he gets going.

But all that means nothing when is body continues to betray him.

Considering he is one of our highest earners, we can not afford for Thomas Partey to be missing 36.6% of games.

In the summer, we signed Declan Rice. Many felt he was coming in to replace the outgoing Granit Xhaka, but I always thought he would be a long-term replacement for Partey in the midfield.

At their best, there is not too much difference between Rice and Partey, but the differential is Rice does not get injured.

Rice has missed just a single game for The Arsenal this season – when he was rested for the Brentford League Cup game.

Since 2020, Rice has missed just 21 games of football for Arsenal and West Ham. That is just 12% of games – many of which were Europa Conference, League or EFL games where he was clearly rested.

With Partey’s latest set back, I think it is now time to completely move on. If a decent bid comes in for him in January – from Italy, Saudi or beyond – we should look to take it.

Raise what we can in transfer fees, and get those wages off our books.

We have Jorginho and Mohamed Elneny as defensive midfield cover options for Declan Rice, so we will not be desperate to sign someone else in January (Olexsandr Zinchenko and Jurrien Timber provide further cover).

Come next summer, Jorginho and Mohamed Elneny will also likely exit, so expect us to make two new midfield signings.

The first will look to be the Partey replacement – someone who can come in and replicate what Rice can do in the defensive positions. The second will probably be someone who can both play in that defensive position, as well as further forward to provide cover and competition for Kai Havertz.

I was buzzing when we signed Thomas Partey. I hoped it would usher in a period where we targetted some of the best in the world. He has been a good signing, but he is now a liability.

Partey is the example as to why you do not give long contracts to players when they reach a certain age.

Luckily, we already have him repalced as a first team player in Rice. Next will be to replace him as a squad player.

UTA.

Keenos

Arsenal CCO has ticketing philosophy all wrong

“𝘞𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘳𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘢𝘴 𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘺 𝘰𝘧 𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘢 𝘥𝘪𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘵 𝘳𝘦𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘭𝘶𝘣 𝘢𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦… 𝘣𝘺 𝘥𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵, 𝘸𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘣𝘦 𝘢𝘣𝘭𝘦 𝘵𝘰 𝘴𝘦𝘳𝘷𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦𝘮 𝘣𝘦𝘵𝘵𝘦𝘳.”

In an interview posted to LinkedIn, Arsenal Chief Commercial Officer Juliet Slott explained he insights into the clubs commercial growth.

During the interview, she spoke about “putting supporters at the heart of everything the club do”. On paper, this is a spot on approach. It is recognition that the owners are custodians of the club, and those working do so in the interests of the fans, not the bank balance. But her interview was all smoke and mirrors.

For some time, I have thought the attack on away fans and the disastrous changes in home ticketing was all about having as many fans going to a single game as possible, rather than less fans going to lots of games.

We get around 40,000 away tickets during the course of a Premier League season. My feeling was the club want 40,000 fans to go to one game, not 4,000 fans going to 10+. And at home they want every single one of the 230,000 silver and red members going to one game, not 23,000 going to more than half.

In saying “w𝘦 𝘸𝘢𝘯𝘵 𝘵𝘰 𝘵𝘳𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘰𝘶𝘳𝘢𝘨𝘦 𝘢𝘴 𝘮𝘢𝘯𝘺 𝘰𝘧 𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘴𝘶𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘩𝘢𝘷𝘦 𝘢 𝘥𝘪𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘵 𝘳𝘦𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘭𝘶𝘣 𝘢𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦”, Slott has basically proven my theory right.

Her goal is to have as many fans going to one game as possible, at the sacrifice of the 1000s that have regularly gone to more games. And under this philosphy the club will suffer.

Slott wants us to be like the LA Lakers a mate of mine said recently. And I think he is right.

By having lots of fans go to one game, the club can then hike up ticket prices. The theory being that people will pay £100+ a ticket and go 3 or 4 times a season, rather than spend the same £400 and go 10 times a season. This approach will double our gate receipt income.

But this can only happen once fans are conditioned that they will only go to a couple of games a season. They will then be grateful to get a ticket and will pay whatever it takes to go to their one or two games.

The average price for a ticket to the LA Lakers is $453. Most fans go to a single game and will travel from all over the world and happily pay that as part of their holiday. And that is what Slott is looking at.

But she does not seem to understand that football is very different to basketball.

To start with the Emirates is a 60,000 stadium. The LA Lakers arena is just 20,000. The bigger stadium increases the supply and reduces the demand.

Whilst the LA Lakers quite easily get 10,000 “one-off” fans each game, Arsenal would have to attract 40,000+, and I do not think the demand is there for 40,000 different fans to pay £100+ a game across 19 league home games a season.

The club see the 40,000 gold members, 30,000 silver members and 200,000 red members as some sort of golden egg. They seem to think that having 270,000 members would result in the stadium still selling out each week if they removed season tickets and doubled or trebled ticket prices. “55,000 of the 270,000 will go” will be the thinking. But it is just not true.

On average, 5,625 silver members are applying for games. That is less than 20% of all members. 29,000 of red members are also applying – around 14.5%.

Across both membership categories, just 15% are applying for games – a total of around 36,450. Add that to season ticket holders and we have around 76,000 actively trying to go to a game.

“76,000 is higher than 60,000, the demand is clearly there” will be the response. But that is the demand when tickets are, on average, £40 a ticket. Would that demand remain as strong when tickets get pumped up to £100 a ticket? No. And that is where the philosphy breaks down.

The LA Lakers can charge extortinate ticket prices because of the supply and demand, which has many influencing factors.

Firstly that small arena. Secondly, the lack of alternative options in LA also pushes the demand up.

LA has 2 NBA teams – the Lakers and the Clippers. The city has an ubran popultion of 12.2 million. Compare that to London which has an urban population of 9.7m.

There are 7 Premier League teams in London, 3 in then Championship and 4 in League’s One and Two. That is 14 teams – without even taking into account National league and below.

London has 1 professional football team for every 700,000 people. LA has 1 NBA team for every 6,000,000 people!

I think the American ownership of football clubs is “if we can get a Super League, we will increase the fan base”. In their mind, they want there to be just 2 or 3 professional clubs in London, and then they would get the similar ratio of fans to teams as in places like LA. But this again shows a lack of understanding of the tribalism in football.

If you had a European Super League (ESL) with Arsenal, Chelsea and Tottenham in it, you would not suddenly get fans of West Ham, Crystal Palace and QPR supporting one of the ESL teams. They would still support the club they do now, the club their parents supported and so on.

Football is ingrained in the psyche of people in this country. For many it is a generational thing.

The NBA is also the only decent basketball league in the world. Basketball fans across the globe will happily pay that ticket price to watch a single NBA game in their lifetime. Football is not the same.

You are not going to suddenly attract a fan from Germany to pay £100 a ticket to watch Arsenal v Burnley when they can watch their local team for £20. Same as Greece, Norway and more!

The Premier League might be a bigger brand than the NBA, but football teams have far much comeptition for fans both domestically and overseas in comparison to basketball.

Slott looking at the American model and thinking “this is what we can implement here” just shows a lack of understanding of our great game.

We already seeing the effects on the new philosphy in the ground.

There has certainly seen a drop in atmosphere this season due to the ballot, reduction in Ashburton Army allocation and other factors involving less tickets than ever going on general sale. And against Burnley there were plenty of empty seats despite it being a sell-out.

The issue is that whilst fans from around the world might fly in for Arsenal v Manchester United, they will likely stay away for Arsenal v Burnley. And then that is when we end up back to the aforementioned ESL.

They will be banking on Arsenal playing Barcelona, Real Madrid and Milan every season rather than Bournemouth, Luton and Sheffield United, and that having more “super games” will increase demand and as a result, they can increase ticket prices.

The clubs philosphy is not about putting supporters first. It is about trying to create a new way of following football that will see more fans going to less games, and ticket prices getting hiked up as a result.

And our management are not the only ones to share this view. Every top club across Europe also wants the same…

Keenos