FIVE who could replace Saka on Arsenal’s right wing

Yesterday, we discussed the type of player we need to sign to cover Bukayo Saka. Today, I try and establish 5 players who could be his cover next season.

We established 5 characteristics his cover needs to have: left footed, U24, technically sound, defensive work rate and versatility.

Not everyone on this list covers all 5 categories, and just because they do not doesn’t mean they should be discounted. Obviously you would want them to cover as many of the 5 points as possible, but someone who does would probably be a first choice player at a top club rather than being happy to be a squad player for us.

Michael Olise

The Crystal Palace player has the potential to be a special player. Just 21-years-old, he glides past players for fun and has a wand of a left foot.

Prior to be fired, Patrick Vieira would also utilise Olise as a number 10.

The concern is, however, is that he does not really have the output that he technique and ability deserve – with just 2 goals and 5 assists this year. But with his tools, he is surely one of those players that would get better plying with better players.

I am not sure about his defensive work rate. Palace do not tend to defend from the front. They stick 7 behind the ball and leave the 3 front men on the half way line ready to spring an attack.

Palace spent around £10m signing him from Reading in 2021. I would expect him to cost £30m+ this summer.

Olise ticks a lot of the boxes, and has that added attribute of Premier League experience.

Ferran Torres

Arsenal were linked with the ex-Man City man in January, despite him only having joined Barcelona 12 months before.

Barca a paid €55m for Torres 12 months ago, but with their well publicised financial problems, they will have to cash in on a few players this summer. This could lead to a bit of a fire sale.

In Torres, Raphina, Ousmane Dembele and Ansu Fati, Barcelona have a surplus of wingers. Both Gavi and Pedri have also played outwide this season.

If they are looking to sell to raise funds this summer, you feel it will be through selling either Torres or Dembele.

At times for City, Torres looked exciting, but he engineered a move back to Spain due to lack of game time. He has found himself on the bench for much of his Barcelona career. Would he want to continue being a squad player at a top club? Or does he hunger to be a starter, even if it means taking a step down a level?

He is certainly the right age and is technically sound. However he is right footed.

Much of his career, Torres has played on the left wing cutting in on his right. We have Gabriel Martinelli and Leandro Trossard to do that. He would not be a like for like replacement for Saka, but would still be a good option.

There are also concerns about his defensive contribution, and many of his good Man City performances came off the bench in games that were already won.

Torres has played left, right and through the middle during his career, so he would be a very versatile option.

Arteta had already left Man City when he joined, so there is not the link that our manager had with Gabriel Jesus and Olesandr Zinchenko.

I think Torres would be an outside bet, but I am not hugely sold on him.

Jarrod Bowen

Not too long ago, there was a debate over who should start for England – Jarrod Bowen or Saka.

The fact people were comparing a then 20-year-old to someone 5-years his senior showed the talent we had in Saka.

Bowen is left footed and works hard for his team. He has played both right wing and throug the middle for West Ham over the years. 12 goals and 10 assists for the Hammers last year shows he would be both the goal scoring and creative output we would need to cover Saka.

If West Ham go down, he might push for a move. And with twins on the way with East London royalty, he will probably not want to venture too far from his London home.

Bowen will be 27 in March, so you have to question whether he would desire the move. Playing second fiddle to Saka would probably end his hopes of adding to his 4 England caps.

But then Bowen has gone from Hereford to Hull City to West Ham, so he might be thinking this is the last chance for him to play for a top, top club. And play Champions League football.

I can not see him going to Newcastle with such a young family. Liverpool do not need any forwards, and Manchester United have cover out wide. Manchester City already have Riyad Mahrez and Phil Foden.

That would leave Arsenal and Tottenham.

He would probably be a regular starter for Spurs, whilst he would only be a squad player for us. I guess it then comes down to whether he wants to win trophies…

I would imagine a move for Bowen would be a back-up option for us. And that could mean he moves elsewhere whilst we pursue better, younger targets.

Samuel Iling-Junior

The former Chelsea academy product was born in Islington.

At 16, Samuel Iling-Junior rejected a professional contract with Chelsea and opted to sign for Juvenus on a 3 year contract. That deal was due to expire this summer, but the Italian side secured an extension through to 2025.

A left footed left winger, he has made a few cameo appearances off the bench for Juventus’ first team this season.

Iling-Junior glides past players for fun and has a powerful left foot – although his goal scoring exploits have only been at junior levels thus far.

He looks to have the raw talent to transition to the right wing, where he will be able to cut inside onto his left and fire in shots or inswinging crosses to the far post. But he has a lot to work on.

Iling-Junior reminds me of a young Saka.

When Saka was breaking through, he looked tentative in and around the box. Almost as if he was nervous to put his laces through the ball in case he missed. He has since got over that.

If Iling-Junior grows in confidence, he could become a superb winger and will probably be Saka’s understudy for England for time to come. So can he be Saka’s understudy now?

If we are going to take the risk on someone so raw, we might be best off looking at someone a bit closer to home…

Marquinhos

Whenever I write these sort of blogs, I try to find someone from within the squad that could be a viable option. That man is Marquinhos.

The Brazilian signed last summer and is on loan at Norwich City.

Just 19-years-old, he ticks the boxes of right age, and being a left footed right winger. But he is very much a rough diamond.

Marquinhos showed glimpses of his talent in a couple of Europa League games, scoring and assisting against FC Zurich. But this level is way below where we expect to be next season.

His sole Premier League appearance came as a time wasting substitute against Brentford when were were 3-0 up. He also came on against Oxford United in the FA Cup with 8 minutes to go and the game already won.

Four goals and two assists in four Premier League 2 games showed that at 19 he was already too good for that level. Too good for the PL2, not yet good enough for the Premier League, it made sense to send him on loan and he ended up at Norwich.

He was on unused substitute for Norwich for 5 games, which perhaps showed his fitness was not quite at the level to be starting. He then scored and assisted on his debut before being back on the bench.

He started and got sent off in his next game, although that red card was rescinded.

That decision to rescind his red card was at late notice, so Canaries manager David Wagner decided to use him from the bench against Stoke City.

I think he is raw, much rawer than Martinelli when he joined (Gabi’s scored 10 goals in 26 games in his first season).

Marquinhos is a talent, but would I be confident him coming in next year if Saka picked up a long-term injury? Probably not. He could do with a full season on loan at a Premier League side next season.

I guess the question then is can Arteta make do with Saka being covered by Fabio Vieira, Emile Smith Rowe, Trossard, Martinelli and Jesus before Marquinhos steps up in 2024? It would be a gamble.

Do you have any other suggestions? comment below.

Keenos

Who could replace Bukayo Saka for Arsenal?

One area we can improve the team is back up to Bukayo Saka.

He and Thomas Partey are the only players in our team that do not have a quality “natural replacement”. Although we do now have Jorginho.

Arteta expects players of Saka’s quality to play 60-70 games a season, and he is correct in that thinking.

World Class players rarely get rested or rotated. From Lionel Messi to Cristiano Ronaldo, Neymar, Kylian Mbappe and Vinicius Junior. All of these have regularly played 60+ games a season for club and country since they were Saka’s age.

If Saka wants to be in the discussion of “generational great” alongside someone like Vinicius, he has to play almost every game.

But that does not mean we do not need cover and competition.

An injury is always one bad tackle away, and Saka receives a lot of late, bad tackles. Also you need someone who will keep Saka on his toes. Someone to push him.

When looking for someone to replace Saka, they need to have certain qualities:

Left footed – you always want a replacement to be a “like for like”. This allows you to make a change without altering the structure of the team. Saka coming inside is such an important asset to our attacking play. A right footed player would not offer that option (unless they are two footed).

U24 – not a huge issue, but I would be concerned about a 28-year-old being happy to join Arsenal knowing they would be second choice to a 21-year-old, and only really play when that individual is injured. You want someone who is young and hungry and see joining Arsenal as a chance to progress his career. An elder player happy to sit on the bench would probably only be looking for his last big pay day.

Technically sound – Saka does not try and pace and power to beat players. He has fantastic balls skills, a great touch and eye for a pass. He is a goal scorer and creator. He is not a “head down and run” winger that puts a ball in and hopes a striker gets on the end of it. He gets his head up to put a cross in. His replacement also needs to be technically sound.

Defensive work rate – Arsenal defend from the front. Jesus, Saka, Martinelli, Odegaard and Xhaka all put pressure on the opponents defence. We do not carry any player defensively. And it would make no sense to have a junior player (ie Saka’s replacement) thinking they do not need to put in the same defensive shift as the man he is replacing. He should be working harder than Saka to impress.

Versatile – finally, Saka’s understudy needs to be versatile. He might not get much game time on the right so will need to also provide Arteta an option elsewhere. Mikel loves his versatile players, from Ben White at right back and centre back, to Gabriel Jesus down the middle and on the wings. Almost everyone in the squad can play in at least two positions. Saka’s cover needs to be able to play either inside or upfront, which will further strengthen the squad.

So who are the options to be Saka’s replacement this summer? We discuss that tomorrow.

Keenos

Can Arsenal sell XI, buy 2, and have a stronger squad as a result?

Yesterday, I wrote a blog how Arsenal were likely to sell a full Starting XI in the summer, raising close to £150m.

The XI was:

The most predictable response was “how can we sell 11 players? We need squad depth”. And yes, you are correct, we do need squad depth. But that depth needs to be filled with quality.

We could, for all intents and purposes, sell the above XI and replace them with just two or three. And the squad will be stronger.

For a starting point, lets look at minutes played.

The XI above have played a combined 756 Premier League minutes for Arsenal this season. 7 of the players have not played a single minute.

Runarsson – 0 minutes
Trusty – 0
Mari – 0
AMN – 0
Pepe – 0
Balogun – 0
Tavares – 0
Soares – 28
Nelson – 103
Smith Rowe – 111
Tierney – 514

So straight off the bat, the 7 with 0 minutes could exit the club without having an impact on where our squad is now. And Balogun aside, I would be surprised if anyone would debate keeping any of them

Of the 756 minutes, Kieran Tierney has played 514 of them.

As I mentioned in yesterdays blog, I like Tierney. He is not a bad player, but he does not fit Arteta’s system.

Takehiro Tomiyasu (when fit) has been the preferred option as Olexsandr Zinchenko’s replacement over Tierney.

The Scotsman is a proper good honest pro, and wants to play first team football. I think even if Arsenal did not want to sell him, he would push through a move. And Newcastle is the obvious option.

Newcastle need a left back, Tierney would walk into their team, and they could easily pay us the £30-40m we would command. Move up north would also see Tierney be back closer to his family.

In terms of replacing him, if Tomiyasu gets fit I think the Japanese full back will be 2nd choice on both flanks. He will then be backed up by Lino Sousa, Brooke Norton-Cuffy and Reuell Walters.

Sousa is an exciting left back who has been playing in the “inverted” position for the youth team this season, whilst Walters is a centre back turned right back in the same mould as Ben White.

I still hold a candle for Norton-Cuffy, but he is more a traditional “chalk on the boots” full-back.

Could we let Tierney leave without replacing him? Our options would then be White, Zinchenko, Tomiyasu, Sousa, Walters. It would come down to Tomiyasu’s injuries issues.

That leaves 3 players. Cedric, Nelson and Smith Rowe.

We will not miss the 28 minutes played by Cedric this season. The only issue will be whether we can find a buyer – he has yet to start a game for Fulham in the Premier League since joining them on loan.

One thing is for sure, whether we sell him or loan him, we do not need to replace him.

That brings me onto the final two with minutes – Nelson and Smith Rowe.

After his goal against Bournemouth, I questioned whether 10 seconds of greatness was enough for a new Nelson deal?

My gut then was no, and what has happened since reinforces that opinion.

A few fans got caught up in the post-Bournemouth excitment, saying things such as “Arteta clearly likes him” and “he deserves a new deal.

Arteta likes Nelson so much that he has not started him in gthe Premier League this season. Just 103 minutes played. Last season it was just 19. Season before that 70.

192 minutes of Premier League football in 3 seasons. But some people think Arteta really rates him.

We take the squad forward by buying better than what we have.

Next season, we need better cover and competition for Bukayo Saka. Nelson is not it. Neither is Pepe. That means a new signing. And what then for Reiss?

He barely got on the pitch when Saka and Gabriel Martinelli were our only 2 wingers. Now we have Leandro Trossard and hopefully a new right winger coming in, how many minutes will he play?

Nelson is 23-years-old. It would make zero sense signing him up to a new 5-year deal on £60k a week for him to not play. That is £15million better spent elsewhere.

And for those that say “well lets just give him a 2-year deal”; get in the real world. Nelson would not accept that. This is real life. Not a game.

Finally Smith Rowe.

In yesterdays blog I spoke about how much I like Smith Rowe, but he just can not shake off his injuries.

Were he to stay fit and stay, I would be delighted. But I also think if a big bid came in for him – £40m+ – we would be crazy to turn it down.

Smith Rowe is cover on the wings and can also play inside as an 8.

Were we to sign a new winger, he would be 5th choice outwide behind Saka, Martinelli, Trossard and the new guy.

Inside, we have Martin Odegaard, Fabio Vieira and Granit Xhaka. I also expect us to sign another midfielder who will provide cover and competition for Thomas Partey at 6 and Xhaka at 8. That does not leave much room for Smith Rowe.

An offer of £40m for your injury prone 5th choice winger / 5th choice 8? That income would basically fund the Saka cover…

Smith Rowe is one of those that we will get a replacement in for. But that replacement will be someone who plays the duel role of 6 and 8. A certain West Ham midfielder springs to mind.

And if we need further cover? We still have Charlie Patino. And I have not even mentioned Albert Sambi Lokonga’s future in either of these blogs…and I forgot about Jorginho.

Finally Balogun.

He has not played a minute for us, and I understand those saying “give him a chance”. But I can not see how we can accomodate Gabriel Jesus, Eddie Nketiah and Folarin Balogun.

Remember, before Jesus’s injury, Nketiah had not started for us in the league this season. And we have since added Trossard as an extra option upfront.

So it comes down to Nketiah or Balogun. The double striker dilema I spoke about in December. I goes, one stays.

If you want us to retain Balogun, then Eddie must be sacrificed. And you are still in the same situation as above with us selling a striker this summer.

As a side note, I would also expect us to look at having Saka’s understudy being able to play through the middle. Arteta likes his forward line to be versatile and mobile. Martinelli is also a striker option.

So the XI above. We could sell them all and replace them with:

New central midfielder who can play 6 and 8
New winger who can also play up top
Potentially a new left back if Tomiyasu injuries continue

11 out, 2 or 3 in. And becauce we are buying so few, we can invest more heavilly and recruit a better quality of player.

“But that still leaves us short Dan” some will now say. Lets look at the XIs:

Ramsdale
White Saliba Gabriel Zinchenko
Partey
Saka Odegaard Xhaka Jesus
Jesus

Turner
Tomiyasu Holding Kiwior Sousa
NewDM
NewRW Vieira Jorginho Trossard
Nketiah

Others: Hein, Walters / Norton-Cuffy, Elneny, Lokonga, Patino, Marquinhos

If we make the two big signings (DM, RW), we would have 21 senior players and 5 development as part of the first team squad. Plus Elneny and Lokonga (who the new DM would be replacing).

This season we have had 17 players play 200 or more Premier League minutes.

Adding a new DM and new RW who are better than Nelson, Lokonga and Elneny would strengthen the squad and replacing players who just do not play.

We would be retaining 16 of the 17 players with more than 200 minutes to their name, and adding a further 2 senior players.

“But Manchester City have greater strength in depth, and we have Champions League football”

Manchester City have 18 players that have played 200+ Premier League minutes. They have 24 players in total in their first team (including thier 2 back up keepers).

So what I am proposing above is a very similar squad size to City’s.

We would have 18-20 players that you would consider “senior” and would play 200+ minutes. then the 2 spare keepers and the younger players.

“But City’s players are better than ours”. Granted. But this is because they recruit quality over quantity.

Would Smith Rowe, Balogun or Nelson get near City’s squad? No.

We move forward from this season by buying better than what we have. And that means the likes of Nelson, Balogun (or Nketiah) and Smith Rowe get moved on for a Declan Rice, a Michael Olise and others.

So can we sell XI, buy 2, and have a strong squad?

Yes.

Keenos