Nketiah, Marquinhos, Saliba and More

Nketiah

So yesterday I tried to justify the new deal for Eddie Nketiah, and the response was surprisingly positive.

I also ran a little comparison of Eddie to Aubameyang on Twitter.

I actually think Nketiah will outscore Aubameyang next season. The honeymoon is over for the Barcelona man and it will not be long until he downs tools once again.

Do I think Eddie is a superstar? No. But in a world where Aston Villa are reportedly demanding £50 million and Everton asking for £60million for Dominic Calvert-Lewin, I would rather keep Eddie.

As discussed yesterday, there are very few top strikers out there. And even less that will want to play second fiddle.

When you look that Manchester City have gone through the season with one out and out forward, Tottenham have only had Harry Kane up top as an option for a few years and Manchester United often played without a recognised striker this season, you will see what the problem facing Arsenal is.

The choice is we either keep Nketiah, or sign someone like Watkins or Ivan Toney for big money who are distinctly average.

Marquinhos

Reports are that Wolves have launched legal action against Marquinhos over his impending move to Arsenal.

They claim that the Brazilian winger had a pre-contract agreement with them, which he has set to break.

The situation could get very messy.

Who remembers when Manchester United thought they had signed John Obi-Mikel?

Manchester United had agreed to signed the Nigerian back in 2005. Contracts in place and everything. Then at the eleventh hour a deal with Chelsea went through.

Mikel was then unable to play for 12 months whilst a case went to court. Eventually Chelsea had to pay Manchester United £12million.

I know nothing about Marquinhos and whether he is worthwhile spending time and energy fighting over.

William Saliba

I am delighted to have the Frenchman back.

He is clearly a talent and was a rough diamond that needed shining.

Saliba would have grown as a man over the last 2 seasons and still just 21, he will now be ready for Premier League football.

With European football back at the Emirates, we need another quality centre back to provide cover and competition for Ben White and Gabriel.

There will be plenty of game time for all 3.

Internationals

What is the point of these post season internationals?

Players should now be on holiday, releaxing in the sun. Instead we have the Nations League.

England (and others) will play 4 games over the next two weeks.

When the World Cup comes around in November and key players are injured, FIFA & UEFA will have to take a long hard look at themselves of their scheduling.

The Nations League is no more than glorified friendlies.

Scrap it, let the players rest and have a full pre-season with the clubs that pay their wages.

Keenos

Finding logic in Nketiah’s new deal

I usually try and find logic behind every signing, every contract renewal. I attempt to open my mind and see what the clubs management are doing in their decision making.

For example, it is clear and obvious why Mohamed Elneny has signed a one year extension.

He has proven himself time and again to be a reliable, if unexceptional, midfield. Elneny is adequate cover for Thomas Partey.

We have other areas of the pitch which need drastic improvement and investment. Elneny staying for another year allows us to focus on those areas.

In 12 months time, we might be looking to invest in a replacement for Partey rather than an understudy, if his injury issues continue.

It makes a lot of sense to keep Elneny, continue developing Albert Sambi Lokonga, and make a decision on that position next summer.

The pending Eddie Nketiah contractual renewal is not as easy to justify. But I have given it a go.

Eddie’s Improvement

With us short on strikers and Alexandre Lacazette ill and out of form, Eddie was given the opportunity at Arsenal that he has waited his entire short career for. And he stepped up.

In those final 8 games of the season, he scored 5 goals (compared to Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored 4 in last 12).

Every since he was young, he has always been a deadly goal scorer. But it was his all round play that really impressed me.

He was no longer the weak, gangly kid that only came to life when their was a sniff of a goal. He has filled out and come in leaps of bounds.

His hold up play impressed me as much as his goals to games.

We need a striker that is able to hold the ball up, bring others into play. As well as run the channels and press. Eddie has shown all of this in that short stint.

Whether this marked improvement is enough to see him be our 2nd choice striker is exactly the reason why many are questioning the contract renewal.

Europa League Consequence

Is the contract renewal a consequence of our failure to make Champions League football?

We all probably expected the club to make 2 forward signings this summer. But with no Champions League football, can we get away with just one and promoting Eddie?

The premier forward signing then starts in the league, and Eddie starts in Europe and the cups. Workload shared.

We struggled for so long trying to accommodate Aubameyang and Lacazette with no Champions League football, often to the detriment of both.

Does it just make more sense to have a clear number 1 and number 2 driver (F1 reference) rather than two fighting it out for the top spot?

But is Eddie good enough to come in for 20-30 games if whoever else we sign picks up a long-term injury?

Gabriel Jesus Incoming

It is becoming fairly clear and obvious that Gabriel Jesus will be an Arsenal player next season.

Fed up with being an “in and out” player at Manchester City, not getting the consistency of starts, he desires a move to fulfil his potential.

I would be very surprised if we signed him only to also buy another similar level striker (Alexander Isak, Dominc Calvert-Lewin, etc) and told him to fight it out. I think he would not join.

That then leaves us looking at an understudy for Jesus rather than competition.

So the level below those mentioned above is the likes of Ivan Toney and Ollie Watkins. But are these that much better than Nketiah to justify a £40million transfer fee?

Both Toney and Watkins are better than Nketiah, but both also more than 3 years older.

I would expect if Nketiah was playing for Brentford or Aston Villa, playing week in week out, he would quickly reach their level and surpass how many goals they score.

So instead of splashing out a big transfer fee on an average English striker, it makes sense to give more opportunities to the lad we have who is at a similar level

And Other Targets

Like with Elneny, keeping Nketiah frees up the cash to sign other targets.

People have mentioned the £100,000 salary, but if we let him leave and signed Watkins or Toney they would also want a similar salary. The only difference is keeping Nketiah will save us £40million.

This £40million could be spent on someone like Cody Gakpo who has the raw talent to be better than them all.

Gakpo is a left winger for PSV Eindhoven. He can play in all 3 positions behind the striker and there is a feeling with his physical attributes he could play up top.

Keeping Nketiah potentially opens the door for his signing.

Gakpo will be competition for Gabriel Martinelli on the left hand side and cover for Bukayo Saka on right hand side. Alongside Emile Smith Rowe, we would then have 4 decent wide options (Nicolas Pepe will leave).

Up top, we would have Jesus and Nketiah. But also Martinelli and Gakpo.

If you take the forwards as a group: Jesus, Nketiah, Saka, Gabriel, Gakpo, Smith Rowe. 6 players for 3 positions.

There has also been a lot of talk about Adam Hložek in recent weeks.

The Czech striker looks a star in the making. But is just 19-years-old.

Can I see a situation where we sign him (for a reported £19m) to be long term competition for Jesus? Yes. But in the short term we need to keep Nktieah around to bridge that gap, allowing us to develop Hložek over the next 12 months or more rather than throw him into the deep end.


In summary, with Europa League rather than Champions League football, one top striker is all that is on the shopping list this summer.

We need to spend sensibly and £40million on a back up striker is not prudent.

There is also a lack of decent options out there. The likes of Calvert-Lewin and Isak are too expensive (if we sign Jesus). Whilst Toney and Watkins are no better than Nketiah.

Final thought: Do many clubs across Europe have two top strikers any more? Liverpool, Manchester City, Chelsea and Tottenham all rely on just one. And then invest heavier into wide forwards that fill in down the middle when required.

Keenos

5 key reasons Arsenal finished 5th

No Bouncebackability

This season our defeats came in clusters.

We lost the first 3 games of the season, but then went on an 8 game unbeaten run.

From game week 12 to 15 we lost 3 out of 4 games and game week 27 to 31 lost 4 out of 5.

Finally in those closing stages of the season we suffered back to back defeats on game week 36 and 37.

The loss to Manchester City in January was the only defeat they did not occur amongst a cluster of others.

It is a concern that one defeat has quickly led to 2 or 3 more in a short space of time.

For us to progress from 5th place to top 3 challengers next season, we need to bounce back better from defeats.

No January Signings

We were right in letting Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang leave in January. But the lack of any reinforcements did cost us 4th place.

There is an argument that 5th was our target. That when the transfer window shut we were 6th. So finishing 5th means that the risk to not sign anyone in January paid off.

Even if this narrative is true, to finish just 2 points behind 4th having made no signings is frustrating.

There is a danger in January signings.

You often overpay on a player you do not really want, which in turn leads to less money available in the summer to buy players you do want.

Or you end up loaning someone in that is not getting much game time elsewhere. But by the time they get up to full fitness the season is over.

Newcastle United and Tottenham aside, there was not much business done in January. But that does not mean the players were not out there.

In January I wrote a blog about 5 players we should be looking target.

Of those 5 players, 3 got a January move.

Tottenham New Signings

One of those 5 players mentioned in the January blog was Dejan Kulusevski.

The Swedish international came onto my radar as a player that can play across the 3 behind a striker.

Clearly talented, he was struggling in Italy and looking for a move out.

Tottenham took the plunge and signed him on loan, with options to make that move permanent both this summer and next.

He scored 5 goals and bagged himself 8 assists in 18 Premier League appearances.

Now it is too easy to say “Kulusevski made the difference”, but he clearly did.

Whilst Bukayo Saka, Smile Smith Rowe and Gabriel Martinelli ran out of steam, Kulusevski freshened up the Tottenham attack and gave them another option beyond the Kane / Son axis.

Spurs also signed Rodrigo Bentancur who quickly became a key man in the middle of the park for them.

During the closing stages of the season, Thomas Partey broke down injured. Could Bentancur have made a difference? Taking a bit of pressure off the Ghanian in certain games?

I was happy us not spending on players that we were not 100% on, but I do feel we missed a trick with Kulusevski.

Arteta Did Not Trust His Squad

Towards the end of the season, we saw Mohamed Elneny and Eddie Nketiah come in from the cold to put in game winning performances.

This raised the question as to whether Arteta trusted his squad players enough?

Partey started 17 league games out of 18 from November through to April.

The only game he missed was due to participation in the African Cup of Nations where he started all 3 games for Ghana.

In the 20 games for club and country during that period, he played 1759 out of a possible 1800 minutes.

Why did Arteta not trust in Elneny to come in sooner?

Had we started Elneny against the likes of Norwich City, Brentford and Leicester City, Partey might not have broken down with an injury caused by muscle fatigue.

Likewise, when Kieran Tierney picked up his injury, Arteta shuffled the pack putting Granit Xhaka at left back rather than trust in his back-up full back Nuno Tavares.

And when Alexandre Lacazette was clearly off the pace, Arteta stuck with him rather than put in Nketiah.

It took Lacazette to be struck down by Coronavirus in April for Eddie to get a start in the Premier League.

Arteta needs to begin trusting his squad players a lot more.

We Just Weren’t Ready

Youngest team in the league with the youngest manager.

When it came down to the pressure games, we failed to step up.

I will not go as far as to see we bottled it, as that would unfairly stigmatise a group of young players. But we did crumble under the pressure of being favourites.

Three times we crumbled.

The first was in that double header against Everton and Manchester United when the pressure was on to win two big away games.

Secondly in that run against Crystal Palace, Brighton and Southampton. And then again in the double header against Spurs and Newcastle.

When the pressure was off and it felt like we were out of the running, we played with freedom.

After the Everton defeat in December, top 4 looked a distance away. We then won 9 out of 11 games.

Back in pole position for top 4, we proceeded to lose 3 of our next 4 games.

With the pressure off again, we beat Chelsea and Manchester United, as well as West Ham away.

That 4 game winning run put it in our hands with 3 games to go. And we finished 5th.

In the Newcastle game we looked like a deer in headlights. Granit Xhaka was right in his post-match comments.

Physically we were also not ready as the likes of Saka and Martinelli ran out of steam.

People will point to “no European football” and question why they looked knackered I the closing stages of the season.

Both are still just 20-years-old and played more minutes than Phil Foden across all competitions. They also played the same minutes as Son Heung-Min.

These players have not yet obtained “old man fitness” that you get from playing 50+ games a season over an extended period of time. They still have young, raw bodies.

By the end of the season, our talented youngsters looked physically and mentally drained.

Some might say “but Chelsea made top 4 with a young squad” but that is re-writing history.

In 2019/20, Frank Lampard’s team had the 4th youngest squad in the league, at an average age of 25.3 years. This season Arsenal’s was 24.4 years.

Now one year might seem insignificant. But that one year is an extra season of football. An extra year of physical and mental strength.

In 12 months time, the likes of Bukayo Saka, Martinelli, Martin Odergaard, Aaron Ramsdale, Ben white and Gabriel will be a year older. A year stronger. A year wiser. I would not expect them to fall away physically and mentality like they did this.

A year is a long time in football. We were just not ready this year.


The good news is that if I can establish what went wrong this season, the senior leadership team at Arsenal can.

We have reduced ourselves to a paper thin squad. This summer we now need to get in similar quality to last and rebuild.

By doing that, it will give Arteta more options and enable him to rest and rotate. Keeping everyone that little bit more fresh.

I am looking forward to the 2022/23 season already.

Keenos