343 to 433, what are Arteta’s options if not Aouar?

Sticking to 343

Arsenal’s transfer policy should be built around the formation Mikel Arteta chooses to play.

Currently we play 343 but there has always been the though that Arteta will switch to 433.

Perhaps the thinking behind him switching has always been misguided and that Arteta will actually stick to 343 for the season?

Aouar is a fantastic player, but he has excelled for Lyon in a midfield 3 or on the wing, where he is able to drive forward.

343 with 2 in the middle does not suit Auoar.

What is suits is Dani Ceballos and Granit Xhaka. And Arsenal target Jorginho.

A midfield containing Xhaka and Jorginho would be a worry due to a lack of mobility. However in a 343 this is not exposed as much.

Playing a midfield 4 means that your central midfielders rarely get pulled out wide. They will cover less ground than in a midfield 3. You can play more static midfielders in a 2 man central midfield than a 3 man as the wing backs cover the wide areas alongside your wider central defenders.

In a 343, spending big on Aouar does not make sense.

Relying on who we have

If Arteta is planning to go 433, maybe the club have decided that there are internal options who could be as good as Aouar?

Aouar is a small-ish, technical midfield who has an eye for a pass and is good at driving the ball forward at his feet.

In Bukayo Saka and Willian Arsenal have two players with similar attributes, both at different ends of their career.

Our friends at Gunners Town make a fantastic case as to why Saka could play central midfield in a 3.

Utilising Saka or Willian as part of the 3 would see us line up something like:

Ceballos Xhaka Saka

Willian Xhaka Ceballos

Willian Xhaka Saka

Saka might not be the big money signing that Aouar is, but that does not automatically mean that he is a worse option than Aouar.

The reason Arsenal might not want to waste spending £60million on Aouar is they feel that he would not be a £60million improvement on Bukayo Saka.

Arteta and Edu will also know that fans would back the decision to play Saka more centrally, and would not get on the academy products back as he settles into position.

Thomas Partey

The final option would be a deadline day push for Thomas Partey.

Whilst he would not be the attacking dynamo we crave, he would provide further solidity in central midfield.

Partey on the right hand side of a 3 would allow Arsenal to play Nicolas Pepe on the right, free from defensive duties.

Hector Bellerin would also have the freedom to push forward with Partey dropping into a right hand defensive position in the same way Jordan Henderson and Fabinho do to cover Trent Alexander-Arnold when he attacks.

Arsenal would then have the options of Ceballos, Saka and Willian on the other side to provide the creativity.


At times we do get a bit obsessed by new signings, ignoring what we already have at the club.

If Bukayo Saka played for West Ham and had the season he did last year, and Arsenal signed him for £40million with the plan to move him inside, we would be excited.

Keenos

Arsenal won’t “waste money” on deadline day

It is so easy to waste money on deadline day transfer.

You get desperate and end up over paying for a target.

Or you miss out on that target and end up spending big on someone who was perhaps 9th or 10th choice. Someone you do not really want.

With Arsenal potentially set to lose £200million over 3 seasons, wasting money is something the club can not afford to do.

Take the transfer for Houssem Aouar.

It is clear Arsenal want the Frenchman. We have bid a couple of times for him, those bids have been publically rejected by Lyon president Jean-Michel Aulas.

Reports are Arsenal’s last bid was £38million plus add-ons, whilst Lyon are holding out for a deal that would be worth £60million. It is a big difference.

It is easy for fans to sit their and say “just pay the money” without looking at the bigger picture.

Lets go back a little over 12 months to last summers transfer window.

Arsenal paid the asking price for Nicolas Pepe. £72million. It is a deal that has come in for much criticism over the last 12 months.

We spent a lot of money on Pepe and it has not quite worked out. Some Arsenal now criticise the club for wasting money on signing him. That signing him is one reason why we have less money to spend this summer.

The Auoar situation is similar.

Arsenal value him at one price, Lyon at another.

If the teams are unable to meet in the middle, Arsenal or Lyon have a simple choice. Either Arsenal have to pay more, Lyon paying less, or walk away.

If the transfer does happen, it will usually end up with the buying club paying more than they wanted to for a player.

Taken into account that we have been burnt with Pepe’s transfer fee (and this is not a criticism of Pepe, he is a fantastic player), it is understandable why Arsenal are reluctant to just “pay the transfer fee”.

Someone sitting on Twitter does not know the true finances of the club. It is very easy for them to say “just spend the money”. But Arsenal might not have that extra £20million.

Likewise, spending that extra £20million could impact further transfer business, whether it is this summer, January or next.

Spending £72million was a huge investment, and you have to wonder whether Arsenal gambled. Took a little money that we would earn (and spend) in the future and add it to the Pepe transfer to get it over the line.

In basic terms, did we take £30million out of this years budget and spent if on Pepe last year?

It could then be a similar position to Aouar.

£38million is affordable. £60million could impact other transfers.

It is important that Arsenal do not overpay for players.

Another balancing act for clubs is who to target when deals fall through.

Football clubs will have a list of targets per position. If Arsenal wanted a target man striker, there would be a list of maybe a dozen players, in order of preference. Miss out on the top one, go onto the second one.

The risk on deadline day is how low on your list you are willing to go.

If Arsenal decide not to pursue Aouar today, and their second choice is unattainable, as is there 3rd and 4th, they then have a decision to make.

Do they keep going down the list, and end up buying a player for the sake of buying, which could end up with them buying a player they do not really want. Or do they decide that no signing is better than signing someone they do not want.

Take Lucas Perez.

In 2016 Jamie Vardy was clearly the clubs first choice transfer target. Vardy decided at the last minute that he would rather stay at Leicester. On August 27th, 4 days before the transfer window shut, Arsenal made the surprising signing of Lucas Perez.

No one had ever really heard of Perez, and his signing was certainly out of the club. All fans knew was what they could see on Wikipedia. That he had scored 17 La Liga goals in the season previous, but was very much a journeyman striker.

Did Arsenal really want him? Or was he a signing for signings sake.

Perez cost Arsenal £17.1million and was sold 2 years alter to West Ham for just £4million having scored 1 league goal.

Arsenal would have been better off not signing Perez. After all, Olivier Giroud, Danny Welbeck, Alexis Sanchez and Theo Walcott could all play upfront.

Instead of paying big money for Lucas Perez, we should have perhaps just promoted Chuba Akpom for the season, saving the club a lot of money.

So Arsenal face a similar situation today.

Do Arsenal go back to Lyon and offer the money they are demanding? Potentially pay over the odds for him, impacting future transfer dealings?

Do Arsenal go for the second choice on the list – seemingly Jorginho?

If the second or third choice is not available, do Arsenal keep going down the list and buy someone just for the sake of it?

Or do Arsenal decide to hold their nerve, not waste money overpaying or signing a player they do not want, and use a player currently at the club to fill the position?

Look at someone like Bukayo Saka. If Arsenal want to go 433, can he be the man to play on the left hand side?

He has shown on the wing that he has the defensive work rate. He is a good passer and can run with the ball. When you compare his statistics to Aouar from last season – passing and tackling, he is not too far behind Aouar.

Maybe Saka is the option?

One thing is for sure, Arsenal will not waste money today.

Keenos

Match Report: Arsenal 2 – 1 Sheffield United

Arsenal (0) 2 Sheffield United (0) 1

Premier League

Emirates Stadium, Drayton Park, London N5 1BU

Sunday, 4th October 2020. Kick-off time: 2.00pm

(3-4-3) Bernd Leno; Gabriel Magalhães, David Luiz, Kieran Tierney; Hector Bellerin, Mohamed Elneny, Dani Ceballos, Bukayo Saka; Willian Borges da Silva, Eddie Nketiah, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Substitutes: Alexandre Lacazette, Alex Rúnarsson, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Rob Holding, Nicolas Pépé, Joe Willock, Granit Xhaka.

Scorers: Bukayo Saka (61 mins), Nicolas Pépé (64 mins)

Arsenal Possession Percentage: 65%

Referee: Lee Mason

Assistant Referees: Mark Scholes, Timothy Wood

Fourth Official: Robert Jones

VAR Team at Stockley Park: VAR Andre Marriner; AVAR Peter Kirkup

Attendance: A maximum of 300 attendees due to UK government coronavirus restructions

Great to get back home for today’s match, especially after the victory over Liverpool at Anfield in the Carabao Cup three days ago. The match here this afternoon will be the last game the chaps will play for a fortnight, due to the international break next weekend, so it will be important to pick up three points in order to go into the hiatus with our tails up. The omens are in our favour, as the last time the Blades defeated us at home in the league (pre-Premiership days) was back on 24th August 1971, when a Stewart Scullion goal gave them victory in front of 45,395 spectators (including the writer of this review) at The Old Place. Back to the present day; we welcome back to the first-team line-up a rejuvenated Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who will of course be more than keen to get on the scoresheet today, as will be our young guns Bukayo Saka and Eddie Nketiah. Let’s go!

Straight from the off, we pressed the visitors with intent firmly back into their own half, and within three minutes, Eddie Nketiah had the ball taken from his toes by the Blades’ goalie, who pushed the ball away for a corner. We played with confidence in the opening quarter of an hour, with superb passing that led to penetrating balls into the visitors’ penalty area, which gave our forwards many opportunities to score. Although the visitors started to bring the match us, which led to some interesting defensive challenges, we were not unduly worried by their attacks on our goal. Patiently, we slowly started to break down the Sheffield United defence, applying pressure on them; strangely, the Blades started to look oddly comfortable with the situation, whilst we were trying to find more and more new ways to score the opening goal. On the half hour, Kieran Tierney crossed the ball for Eddie Nketiah to head the ball down towards the United goal, but it was easily parried by the goalkeeper. Again, Eddie Nketiah turned and got a shot towards the goal, but it was blocked by a defender, and despite some really good efforts from our forwards, especially a right-footed shot from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang from the left side of the penalty area which was saved arobatically by the visitors’ goalkeeper. And so we went into the break high on the possession percentage, but honours even, and frustratingly so, it has to be said.

And so, the second half started, with no changes from Mikel Arteta, which came as some surprise under the circumstances. Both sides started to play with far more urgency in the opening minutes of the second half than they did in the last quarter of an hour of the first; however, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang came extremely close to opening the scoring seven minutes after the restart, and we appeared to be trying to take the match by the scruff of the neck at last. Eddie Nketiah was replaced by Nicolas Pépé after fifty-eight minutes, and within a couple of minutes we took the lead with a superbly taken goal by Bukayo Saka. Some sharp, incisive link play in the visitors’ penalty area, which saw Hector Bellerin take the ball to the byline, cross the ball over the head of the Blades’ defenders, for young Bukayo Saka to finish the job with an accurate header into the net. Just over three minutes later, we scored again, when Nicolas Pépé collected a pass from Hector Bellerin and ran through the visitors’ defence to slot a beautiful left-footed shot into the bottom left-hand corner of the net, for our second goal of the day. Of course, two goals in such quick succession lifted our spirits, and our control of the game was there for all to see, wth more spring in our step and another level of confidence as well. Sheffield United were resorted to trying long-range shots, which Bernd Leno managed to save with ease, and with ten minutes remaining, Dani Ceballos was substituted by Granit Xhaka in order to add another man to the defensive plan. However, unbelievably, with seven minutes left on the clock, David McGoldrick got one back for the Blades with a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that went past an outstretched Bernd Leno into the left-hand corner of the net. Almost immediately, Mikel Arteta replaced Bukayo Saka with Ainsley Maitland-Niles, just to get some fresh legs out there to try and ensure our victory. It certainly did that, and the win meant that we were fourth in the Premiership table.

Let’s be honest, it was not one of the great performances of the season, not was it thrilling either. We could have easily been down to ten men quite early on when David Luiz pulled back Oliver Burke, with Bernd Leno coming out of his box to clear the threat, but both the referee and the Stockley Park gang did not pursue the incident further, which was a blessing. Our inability to shut down David McGoldrick as he took the shot that became the visitors’ goal was a concern, but in the end we picked up three points, something that we can all be extremly thankful for.

Remember everyone, keep the faith, get behind the team and the manager, as this season is going to be crucial for our future success in all competitions. Stick with the winners. Our next match: Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium on Saturday 17th October at 3.00pm (Premier League). Victoria Concordia Crescit.

Steve

Too Dearly Loved To Be Forgotten: Arsenal v Racing Club de Paris 1930-1962 by Steve Ingless (Rangemore Publications, ISBN 978-1-5272-0135-4) is now available on Amazon.