Anyone that has ever bought shares or traded crypto would have seen pullbacks.
This is when graph shows a moderate dip in an otherwise upward trend.
Experienced traders will know not to worry about this dip. Not to panic sell. In fact many will “buy the dip” and use the lower price as an opportunity to buy more.
Often pullbacks occur when a share is over performing. The pullback is then a re-adjustment of the share pricing, bringing it back down to where it should probably be whilst still showing an upward trend.
Arsenal’s recent form feels like a pull back. A dip that we should not be concerned about.
After losing the first 3 games of the season, Arsenal averaged 1.53 points per game in the first 13 matches of the season.
This would have seen Arsenal hit 58 points – 7/8 place form. We were clearly underperforming (our par position is currently 5th).
The next 13 games we averaged 2.38ppg. This is title winning form (Man City are averaging 2.38ppg).
This led to a huge upward trend. Across that 13 games we overperformed (we are not a title winning team).
Our upward trend had gained pace, outperforming predictions across the 13 game period. But across the 28 game period up until the Crystal Palace game, things looked a little different.
Prior to the Palace game, we were averaging 1.89ppg – top 4 form. A small overachievement considering our par position should be 5th (taken from us having the 5th highest wage bill).
In the last 3 games we have failed to get a point. This is the fall back. The dip.
We are back to averaging 1.74 points per game. That is the form that will take you to 5th or 6th. Where we all expected us to be at the beginning of the season.
Taken in isolation, the form in the last 3 games (5 of you extend to Liverpool) is awful. But the general trend is still upwards.
Yes, the dip is disappointing but you can not keep outperforming expectation forever. At some point there will be a pullback.
The trick is when the pullback happens, you don’t overreact. You hold on what to have, widen that chart and focus on the longer term upward trend.
We are still on course for 5th or 6th place finished, and to gain more points and score more goals than the previous 2 seasons.
Throw in the youngest team in the Premier League and there is plenty to still be positive about.
Do not worry about his dip. The trend is still upwards.