Category Archives: Arsenal

Saudi Pro League is dumping ground for unwanted European former-stars

In a recent blog, we spoke about the impact the Saudi Pro League could have on European football.

Since I wrote the blog, it has become clear how European clubs are using the Saudi Pro League – they are dumping unwanted players on huge wages on the Middle East nation.

Chelsea have recently attracted controversy due the relationship between the Public Investment Fund (PIF) of Saudi Arabia and their owners, Clearlake Capital.

PIF recently bought 4 Saudi Pro League clubs and are financing the recruitment drive. Questions were asked as to whether this was just a way to circumnavigate FFP with them targeting Chelsea players to help them get high earners off the books.

The truth is, every club in Europe is currently looking to dump older players they no longer want on Saudi Arabia, and Chelsea simply have a lot of players they do not currently want that fit the profile.

The problem a lot of clubs face when looking to move on a 30-something is finding a club to take on their wages. Arsenal faced this when trying to sell Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Mesut Ozil.

These sort players would have (likely) have signed a 5-year deal at their peak at around 28-years-old. They would be on huge wages. Come 30/31, they are beginning to decline and clubs begin to look for younger alternatives.

The problem is when a player in on £150k+ a week, and on the decline, there will be very few sides that would look to sign them.

The players, usually with 2-years still to go on their contract – would not be happy taking a pay cut to reflect their declining ability, and this leads to a stalemate.

Selling clubs either have to subsidise the salaries of players no longer on their books, or have to accept a pittance in transfer fees so that the buying club can then afford to match the wages.

So you might end up in a scenario where the buying team agrees to buy Player A, offering them £80k a week. The selling club will then subsidise the wages for the next two years, topping the player back up to their £150k contract. Basically spending over £7m across 2-years on wages for a player no longer at the club.

Alternatively, they will have to reduce their asking price by a similar amount so that the buying club can then pay their new acquisition a nice bonus that covers their wage drop.

So instead if receiving £30m, the selling club might have to accept a reduced £23m so that the players wage drop can be covered by the buying club.

The Saudi league has provided a solution to selling clubs problems.

They are matching (and in many cases increasing) players wages, whilst still offering clubs a decent transfer fee.

Take Thomas Partey.

Partey is on around £200k a week. Now 30-years-old and with his injury issues, no club will match that salary unless they “get him on the cheap”.

Juventus were (and still are?) sniffing around Partey, with a deal in the range of £17m mentioned. This low transfer fee would allow Juventus to match Partey’s wages.

And then you have Saudi Arabia.

The offer reportedly on the table from the Middle-East is £35m – almost twice as much. And Partey will still have his huge wages matched.

It therefore makes a lot of sense that Arsenal are encouraging bids from Saudi Arabia and will probably try and push Partey in that direction.

And that is what all clubs are currently doing – on the phone to superagents who are working on behalf of PIF to encourage bids for their unwanted players. I would not be surprised if Nicolas Pepe has been spoken about.

Chelsea are looking to move on Edouard Mendy, Romelu Lukaku, Kalidou Koulibaly and Hakim Ziyech. All are 30+ and on huge wages. Expected transfer fees for all ranges from £20-30m.

Inter Milan are to cash in by selling Marcelo Brozović. Another 30-year-old that will also go for a fee within that £20-30m.

Some players will still have ambitions to play top level football – Bernardo Silva, the aforementioned Lukaku and others. But if they do this, and seek a move elsewhere, they might have to accept the lower wages.

Selling clubs will now be saying to them “why would we accept a bid from a European club when a Saudi team is offering twice the fee”. That then puts the ball at the feet of the players as to where they want to go.

Stay in Europe, they will have to accept less wages which will enable the buying club to pay bigger transfer fees. Move to Saudi Arabia, the higher transfer fee will be paid and they get to keep their wages.

Whilst Saudi Arabia officials have been contacting clubs about players, I am sure the majority of the chatter is being instigated by European clubs. Official at Arsenal, Chelsea, Inter Milan and more contacting those working for PIF in an attempt to cash in on their unwanted, highly paid, ageing stars.

I imagine if the Saudi Pro League was relevant in 2020, Arsenal would have looked to sell them Aubameyang, Ozil, Shkodran Mustafi, Saed Kolasinac and more.

And this just highlights the hypocrisy in football.

Teams will try and block PIF from investing in Newcastle, with Human Rights claims, but will then court the oil money for their own benefit. But that is a blog for another day!

Enjoy your Tuesday.

Keenos

Havertz signing will put pressure on two Arsenal stars to up their game or be sold

You improve the squad on the previous season by signing better players than you currently have. Football is easy (note: I do also understand you can improve players currently in the squad as well).

I do not understand the “another Chelsea reject” argument when it comes to Kai Havertz.There is a huge difference between buying 30-something players (William Gallas, Petr Cech, David Luiz, Willian) and signing a 24-year-old regular German international about to enter his peak.

Havertz is an improvement on what we have. That is no debate.

We went into last season with Emile Smith Rowe and Fabio Vieira as our 2 main back up attacking options. Havertz is better than both.

Smith Rowe is a fabulous player, but his injury issues are a huge concern.

He admits himself that he has been playing with the same groin injury since he was 18-years-old. He turns 23 in a month…

The Englishman has played mainly on the wing for Arsenal during his senior career. There has always been a feeling his long-term future could end up playing inside, as an attacking 8 options. In recent weeks, there has been talk about Smith Rowe working hard in training to improve in this position.

Whereas Smith Rowe is a work in progress as an attacking 8, Havertz is off the shelf ready.

It is in that position that Havertz became one of the hottest prospects in Europe whilst at Bayern Leverkuson.

38 goals in 2 seasons from midfield saw Chelsea spend over £70million securing him back in 2020.

With the acquisition of Leandro Trossard, the left hand side is now locked down with the Belgium and Gabriel Martinelli. That has left us looking to buy some cover and competition on the right hand side for Bukayo Saka.

Havertz has also spent some of his career playing in Smith Rowe’s natural position – out wide. Naturally left footed, he is abetter “like for like” option to replace Saka when required with Arteta needing to change the attacking structure of the team.

Havertz is a better midfielder than Smith Rowe, a better winger than Smith Rowe, and a better forward/false 9. He also does not come with Smith Rowe’s injury issues.

Another player also under threat is Fabio Vieira.

A big money signing last summer, Vieira has not settled in the Premier League.

Last season he struggled for game time as Martin Odegaard maintained his form and fitness. There was just not much opportunity for Vieira to show us what he could do.

When Vieira did make it on the pitch, he looked shot of confidence and not up to it physically. I still think there is a player there and he clearly has great technique. But he needs to make big improvements in the gym and on the training pitch this summer.

Let me now ask you a question: If Odergaard picked up an injury, who would you rather replace him – Havertz or Vieira?

Now maybe you are realising why he is a good signing.

Havertz is levels above Smith Rowe and Vieira. And it is not even like he is that much older:

Havertz is just a year older than both Vieira and Smith Rowe. He is not the washed up old man that Willian, Cech and Luiz was.

It might not happen this summer, but I would be very surpised if we continue with Havertz, Vieira and Smith Rowe in the squad for too long. You would expect on of the two later players to be sold on.

Selling Smith Rowe for £40million would mean it has cost us a net £25million to upgrade to Havertz. That is fantastic business.

We began this blog by talking about how to improve the squad year on year:

Beginning of 2022/23: Saka, Martinelli, Odegaard, Vieira, Smith Rowe

Beginning of 2023/24: Saka, Martinelli, Odegaard, Havertz, Trossard

How about that for an upgrade?

Keenos

Is Kai Havertz just another Chelsea reject?

Quick answer: No.

But read on if you want to find out more (or have nothing better to do this fine Sunday morning).

I keep seeing Arsenal fans dismiss the signing of Kai Havertz as us “not learning our lesson and signing another Chelsea reject”. This is simply not true.

Chelsea do not really want to sell Havertz (or Mason Mount), but they need to try and balance their books following what they have spent in the last 12 months.

With very few offers (if any?) coming in for fringe players, they are now being forced to sell some first team starters.

On Wednesday, the news firstly broke that Matteo Kovacic was off to Manchester City. Later in the day the Havertz news was broken. And then in the evening Mount to Manchester United speculation intensified.

Last season, no Chelsea player played more games than Kai Havertz.

Of the 50 games Chelsea played, Havertz played a part in 47 of them, starting 38. Only goalkeeper Kepa Arrizabalaga played more minuted.

Arsenal have taken advantage of Chelsea’s financial predicament and signed one of their most important players.

Likewise, Manchester City have also taken advantage by securing Kovacic (5th most minutes played of all Chelsea outfield players).

Kovacic and Havertz are not players Chelsea wanted to sell. They are players that the situation meant they had to sell.

The issue with David Luiz, William Gallas, Willian and Petr Cech was not that they joined from Chelsea, but that they were all past their best when they signed.

Petr Cech: 33-years old
David Luiz: 32
Willian: 32
Gallas: 29

These were all players who had had their best days. Not a 24-year-old regular German international.

Havertz has not been left out of a German national team squad (bar injury or illness) since 2020.

Since making his international debut in 2018 he has:

  • Played 38 games
  • Been left on the bench 8 times
  • Missed 11 games due to illness or injury
  • Not been selected when fit on 1 occassion

So of the 47 games he was available for, he has played a part in 80% of them. He is certainly no re

A regular for club and country, he is certainly no reject.

The issue with Gallas, et al, is they were ageing former stars that Chelsea basically dumped on us as they had a clear out. We were lumbered with them.

Mikael Silvestre and Stephan Lichtsteiner were also in the same category (bar the Chelsea bit).

Havertz is clearly at a very different stage of his career in comparison to Silvestre, Lichsteiner, Luiz, Cech and Willian.

And let’s not pretend that Chelsea only ever let go of players that are coming to the end of their career.

This is the club who once had Mohamed Salah and Kevin de Bruyne on their books. Arguably the best two players in the Premier League over the last 5 or 6 years.

In 2013 they will deem a 26-year-old Juan Mata surplus to requirements. He would go on to play 285 times for Manchester United, nearly 200 of which were in the Premier League.

A year later, they would sell Romelu Lukaku to Everton.

Lukaku would score 177 goals in 324 gamesfor Everton, Manchester United and Inter Milan before he returned to Chelsea for £97.5million nearly a decade after he originally joined the club.

Havertz does not need to reach the level of de Bruyne or Salah to be a success.

If Havertz has the impact at Arsenal that Lukaku did at Everton, Inter and Man U, or that Mata did Man U, he will be a brilliant signing.

Chelsea did not want to sell Havertz but Arsenal have forced the issue. When was the last time we took a rivals top player?

The Arsenal are back…

Keenos