Tag Archives: FA Cup

FA Cup 3rd Round TV Games

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Monday 5th December, 7:10pm. That is when the draw for the 3rd round of the FA Cup took place. It was included around 10 minutes later.

Roll forward 3 days and every fan who supports a team in the cup are still none the wiser as to when they are playing. And it is all due to the TV companies.

Games are scheduled to be played between Friday 6th January to Monday 9th January – 6 games will be shown live on BBC or BT Sport.

It is an utter disgrace that they have not yet been announced. Fans are waiting to book trains, book hotels, and even book days off work if you are unlucky enough to be on the Friday or Monday. The delay in announcing the games shows once more that match going fans are not seen as important.

The long the TV companies take, the more expensive trains will be, the more expensive hotels will be, and the less likely a boss will authorise the holiday.

It is baffling why the TV companies have not yet announced the games. It is fairly obvious who they will pick:

Manchester United v Reading will be on TV. Man U always are when it comes to the FA Cup as the TV companies take advantage of being able to show the most popular club in England. It has been over 10 years since Man U were not shown on TV. You actually feel sorry for their fans.

It is also likely that the BBC will pick Everton v Leicester for the sole reason that Gary Lineker played for both. Imagine the banter the MOTD boys will be having for that one. Leave me out.

The biggest all Premier League clash is West Ham United v Manchester City. The first FA Cup game to be held at the Olympic Stadium. It will be televised.

The TV companies are always trying to pick the story, guess the giant killing. For that reason, Preston North End v Arsenal and Liverpool v Plymouth Argyle OR Newport County will be shown. Watch the TV companies not care about fans and send Plymouth up to Liverpool on Monday night.

Lastly, the TV companies often like showing an all lower league game to show that they are supporting the lower leagues. Sutton United v AFC Wimbledon will be that game. The Surrey Derby. Just 5 miles split the two teams.

The TV companies need to get their fingers out of their arses and let us know when we can book our trains for.

Keenos

Arsenal to benefit from injury problems

A player getting injured is never a positive. No matter how much you might dislike said player, or he be out of form, losing a player for any length of time is bad news.

However, as the saying go’s, every cloud has a silver lining. And with Aaron Ramsey’s injury, there is a silver lining.

Since the turn of the year, Arsenal have struggled in the centre of midfield. Most evident was against Manchester United at Old Trafford, where there just seemed to be a huge hole between defence and attack.

The main cause of this issue is not having a player who operates between attack and defence who can transition the play.

Transition is one of those buzz words that has come into football recently. It basically means taken the ball through zones. From defence into midfield, from midfield into attack. It can happen in two man ways, passing and running.

Yaya Toure, for example, is brilliant at running the ball from midfield into attack. He picks up the ball in the middle of the park and drives forward with it, forcing players back.

Since Santi Cazorla picked up his injury, Arsenal have struggled with this transition. Cazorla in recent years a perfect example of a player who transitions the ball by passing it.

Francis Coquelin and Aaron Ramsey individually are excellent players. They have engines on them, and will be important players in any team. The issue is neither of them is great at either passing the ball, or running with it.

Coquelin is a player who breaks up the play, Ramsey a player who covers a lot of ground and gets in the opponents box. You can probably count on one hand how often either have picked up the ball from the defence, and ‘pinged’ it out to the wide men, or over the top for someone else to run on it. And I would be surprised if either have dribbled it past a man this season.

It is simply not their game.

Alexis Sanchez (running) and Mesut Ozil (passing) are excellent transitioners (at this point I am making up words). But there work is done in the opposition third. They rarely come deep to pick up the ball. And nor should they.

What this results in is Arsenal struggling to get the ball from defence to upfront.

How often have we seen the following scenario?

Cech rolls the ball out to Koscielny. He in turn plays it to Mertesacker. The ball go’s out wide to Bellerin, who plays it straight back to Mertesacker. It then go’s forward to Coquelin. Back to Koscielny. Across to Monreal. Back to Cech. How then hoofs it forward.

8 passes. 100% pass rate. But the ball has never left our half. And ends up on the head of the opposing centre back. And 8 passes is not even that many. Arsenal have previously gone side to side, left to right, numerous times, before pressure becomes too much, and the ball is lost.

It is great for pass completion statistics, but not great for scoring goals.

Cazorla was the player who would take the ball of the back 4, or Coquelin, and drive forward with it. Watch his highlights from Manchester City away last season. It was a perfect example of how to transition the ball from defence into attack. Both by running with it and passing it.

Back a few years ago, our man in the middle to transition the ball was Mikel Arteta. His range of passing was exceptional. And so many attacks by Arsenal were started by him. He then allowed Ramsey to push on higher and score the goals he did. Arteta was the key man in the middle of the park.

Since he lost his legs, Coquelin came in for him, and his passing range is just not the same. Ramsey needed to step up, but that is not his game either. Cazorla or Jack Wilshere next to Coquelin would be much more fruitful.

In the same way, Cazorla or Wilshere would struggle alongside an Arteta or Xabi Alonso. None of them have the stamina and physicality to get around the park. Ramsey is the ideal foil for the later type of players.

Coquelin and Ramsey work’s no better than Arteta and Cazorla would work.

Think of the great Spain side of recent years. They had Busquets who was the legs, Alonso who was the passer. Alonso was the key man who gets the play going.

So Arsenal have been in the position recently where they have got lot’s of legs in the middle of the park, but not much that can do anything with the ball. This results in us going wide very early, where there is less space, and we end up putting aimless balls into the box.Hull-City-v-Arsenal-FA-Cup-replay

With Ramsey now out injured, it should mean Mohamed Elneny comes into the middle of the park.

In his performances so far for Arsenal, Elneny has been busy. Always moving. Always available. There to pick up the ball of any of the back 4, no matter who has it. What he has then done is pick the right ball, and more importantly, ball forward.

When Elneny is on the pitch, Arsenal’s transition from defence through the midfield into the strikers is so much smoother. With Elneny often following the ball forward ensuring that he is either in a position for a pass in the opposition’s final 3rd, or able to restart the play if it breaks down, with having to go back to the defence.

When Coquelin and Ramsey plays, this simply does not happen. Ramsey’s starting position is often too high. And Coquelin does not have the ability to stay with the play when it moves into the final 3rd.

We will miss Ramsey in the next few games. Especially against the likes of Barcelona where you need some more legs. But in Elneny, we have a player who will act as a go between Coquelin in the defence and Ozil in the attacks, and it will make the middle of the park a lot more balanced.

Our play should now be a lot smoother, a lot more attacking.

Up The Arsenal

Keenos

Do not blame Arsenal for the FA Cup draw

If Arsenal get through against Hull in the fifth round of the FA Cup, a quarter final tie against Watford is what awaits. And to every non-Arsenal fan’s fury and frustration, Arsenal were once more drawn at home.Untitled

Since Arsene Wenger became Arsenal manager, we have been drawn at home in the FA Cup 39 times. And drawn away 27. In a 50/50 chance, Arsenal have been drawn at home 59% of the time.

“But that does not add up, it must be a fix” I hear the less well educated (Spurs fans, Northerners) cry.

Well it does not add up because you do not know statistics.

Yes, it is a 50/50 chance of being at home, but that does not mean that when the data is crunched, you should see an exact 50% split. Especially when the data pool is as small as 66.

Do not believe me? Flip a coin. 66 times. Write down how many heads, how many tails. I did it. Untitled37 heads, 29 tails. Or 56% heads. You see, what you must remember is that each time you flip the coin, or a ball is drawn, the previous times have no barring. Each individual event has a 50/50 chance of happening each time. In other words, just because you flipped heads last time, does not mean you will flip tails this time.

Now of course, the larger the data pool, the closer to 50% you will get with a 50/50 chance. So if I flipped my coin 1,000,000 times, it will be closer to 50% than when I flipped it just 66 times. Because what it does not account for his runs, streaks. For example, I got 9 heads in a row when doing this task.

At some point, the statistics say that I will probably get 9 tails in a row and it will even itself out. That is true. But over time it will even out, not over just 66.

I bet if we increased our data pool, and rather than looked at how often Arsenal have been drawn at home since Arsene Wenger took over, we went for the entire history of Arsenal, the statistics would be closer to 50%. Arsenal are just on a streak of home games, just like I had a streak of heads.

It is just the luck of the draw.

“Arsenal always get easy draws” I hear the bitters cry out as a secondary argument.

Well this once again is not Arsenal’s fault.

In 2013/14, is it Arsenal’s fault that Manchester United could not beat Swansea at home in the 3rd round? Or in the fifth round that Manchester City knocked out Chelsea, before getting knocked out by Wigan Athletic? And do we just forget that Arsenal knocked out Spurs, Liverpool and Everton that season?

Fast forward to 2014/15. Chelsea lost at home in the 4th round to Bradford. Is it Arsenal’s fault that they were unable to face Chelsea due to them being unable to win at home against a League 2 side? No.

Is it Arsenal’s fault that Spurs could not get past a then-bottom-of-the-table Leicester City at home? Or that Manchester City lost to Championship side Middlesbrough? Arsenal can not help it if our opponents keep losing before we play them. Coincidently, had Manchester City had won, we would have played them in the 5th round, where we instead knocked out Middlesbrough.

In the 6th round of the 2014/15 season, Arsenal played away to Manchester United, and won. So that is Manchester United, Liverpool, Everton & Spurs beaten in 2 seasons. Not our fault Chelsea and Man City lost before we could play them.

And then the semi-finals. Liverpool lost to Aston Villa at Wembley, before Aston Villa were thrashed by Arsenal in the final. I am sure it would have been great for Steven Gerrard’s last game in England to be in an FA Cup final, but it is not Arsenal’s fault Liverpool did not make it, but Gerrard and his team mates.

Even this season, Spurs lost at home to Crystal Palace – the 2nd time in two years that they have been knocked out at home,

So opposing fans, you can moan all you like, but it is not Arsenal’s fault you keep getting knocked out before you get to play the mighty Arsenal. Maybe if your sides were better, you might actually get the chance of playing us in a semi final or final?

And has anyone actually looked to see who other teams play on route to winning the FA Cup?

Well the last time Spurs won it in 1991, they obviously beat Arsenal. But their route to the semi final? A 4th tier side (Blackpool) and 2nd tier sides (Oxford United, Portsmouth & Notts County). Arsenal were the first top tier team they played that year.

How about Manchester United in 1998/99? Their treble year? It is never mentioned that they were drawn at home in every round of the FA Cup. All that is mentioned is that they won it.

And that is what is key. Who wins it. No one remembers who you played on the way. No one really cares.Portsmouth played one Premier League side when they won the FA Cup in 2008. Wigan Athletic just the 2. But who cares? No one.

It does just make me laugh when the draws happen. Because at the end of the day, it is a 50/50 chance of you being drawn home or away, and it does not matter who you play as long as you win. History will remember the winners. Not who they beat.

The only certainty that there is in the FA Cup is that over the last 25 years, Spurs have not won it. And it is for that reason that they are so bitter.

Bring on Hull, bring on Watford, and let’s go to Wembley again!

Keenos

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