Tag Archives: Raul Sanllehi

What is delaying Arsenal replacing Unai Emery?

It is now nearly a week since Unai Emery was sacked and a replacement has not been bought in.

Within 24 hours of sacking Mauricio Pochettino, Tottenham announced that Jose Mourinho was to be their new manager. It was quick, it was clinical.

So what is holding up Arsenal?

Remaining Classy

The old school fan in me that still calls us The Arsenal and remembers the days when we were a classy club makes me look at Spurs and think “stabbed in the back” with just how quickly they moved Pochettino out and Mourinho in.

The seat on the private toilet in the managers office had not even cooled down.

It does lack class agreeing a deal with a replacement manager before the current manager has been sacked. The “open secret” that the manager has been sacked and replacement already recruited. But it is hard to “stay classy” in business.

Regardless of the industry, if you are planning to sack a manager, CEO or director, you need to be talking to potential replacements before you give the incumbent the chop.

The firm I work for planned to replace the CEO a few years back. They employed his replacement as a Regional Director for 8 months before chopping the CEO. He was then installed as interim CEO before getting the job permanently 4 months later.

It might have “lacked class” but in business it is what needs to be done. Especially if that business is struggling.

You need to do what is in the best interests long term of the business, or football club, and not have to worry about “looking classy” in the short term.

I imagine the lack of replacement has nothing to do with the club deciding not to talk to a replacement for Emery before they gave him his P45.

Board Incompetence

The situation could further highlight a long term problem at Arsenal. That those running the club are simply incompetent.

We know the board is not fit for purpose and there have been talks to introduce fresh faces. We know Stan Kroenke is a hands off owner, leaving the experts he employs to do the job they are supposed experts in. That then leaves it to Raul Sanllehi.

Sanllehi was supposed to be a superstar. Recruited from Barcelona, he replaced Ivan Gazidis overseeing the football side of the club. Replacing the manager is his job.

Has he been infected by the incompetence that runs through others within the club? Is he not the big dog that we hoped we were recruiting? Or does he have a plan and it simply is not one that can be completed within 24 hours?

I hope it is the later.

New Manager is Currently Employed

Prior to Emery being sacked, we could have been having discussions with his replacement and/or his representatives. A contract could even have been agreed and he is ready to take over. But he can not take over if he is currently in a job.

What allowed Tottenham to replace Pochettino so quickly is that Mourinho was out of work. All they had to do is get a signed contract back from him and he was ready to go.

The situation takes longer if you are targeting a manager currently in a job.

If Arsenal want Wolves’ Nuno Espirito Santo, Brendan Rodger of Leicester or even poach Carlo Ancelotti from Napoli, they will have to enter negotiations with their respective club to buy them out of their current contract. This could only be done once Emery was confirmed as leaving.

A deal could have been agreed in principle with a currently employed manager, but it then takes time to do the deal with his current club.

And what if when going to do that deal, his current club refuses to enter discussion? Or asks for a huge fee? It can delay things further.

It is more complicated recruiting someone in a job than it is recruiting someone out of work.


My hope is that these delays are because we are talking to someone in work; and it is just taking a little longer. My fear is it is competence and we failed to speak to anyone before letting Emery leave.

Hopefully the situation is resolved over the weekend.

Keenos

Arsenal build youngest squad in Premier League

Last season much was written about the age of Arsenal’s squad.

At 26-years and 5-months, Arsenal had the 7th oldest squad in the Premier League and the oldest squad in the top 6.

Over the summer, Raul Sanllehi oversaw a huge turnover of players, with the main aim being to reduce the wage bill whilst improving the squad.

Early estimates are that Arsenal’s wage bill has reduced by around £20m over the season. This was achieved with over £45m worth of wages going out the door, and their replacements costing around £25m in wages.

A secondary goal of Sanllehi would have been to reduce the age of the squad.

From 7th oldest last season, Arsenal now have the youngest squad in the league.

Prior to this summer, Arsenal’s transfer policy was to buy experienced professionals. Players who were at their peak, but also costly.

It saw the club sign a lot of players over 26-years-old. The likes of Alexis Sanchez, Mesut Ozil, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette.

This summer we saw a return to the transfer policy that made Arsene Wenger so successful.

David Luiz (32) aside, every player Arsenal was 24 or younger.

Nicolas Pepe (24), Dani Ceballos (23), Kieran Tierney (22), Gabrielle Martinelli (18) & William Saliba (18) all joined the club.

The club also promoted the likes of Joe Willock (20), Reiss Nelson (19) and Emile Smith Rowe to the 1st team squad.

Alongside youngsters coming in, Arsenal saw a whole host of players aged over 30 leave the club in the summer.

Pete Cech, Laurent Koscielny, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Stephan Lichtsteiner, David Ospina and Nacho Monreal all left over the summer. All aged over 30.

That leaves the club with just 4 players north of 30 – David Luiz, Sokratis, Mesut Ozil and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Alongside the over 30s, the likes of Danny Welbeck, Aaron Ramsey and Carl Jenkinson also left. All 3 were over Arsenal’s average age in 2018/19.

The club will be concerned that the 2 first choice centre backs are over 30, and it is something which will surely be addressed next summer.

Going from 7th oldest to youngest squad in the league in a single window shows just how good Sanllehi and his team did again over the summer.

3rd is on.

Keenos

https://twitter.com/shewore/status/1169675709687705600?s=21

Full extent of Sanllehi’s “tough job” exposed

When Arsene Wenger left 12 months ago, we all knew the club was in a bit of a mess. The feeling was at the time that it would take Ivan Gazidis, Raul Sanllehi and Sven Milsintat 3 summer transfer windows to get the club on the right track.

Gazidis then upped and left. I would say it was a captain leaving a sinking ship, but he was more of a rate scurrying away.

12 months after Wenger’s departure and the picture of how badly the club was being run towards the end of the Gazidis / Wenger  era is now clear to all.

As always, Swiss Ramble puts the clubs financials in simple, easy to understand language, with some pretty graphs alongside it. Before reading the rest of this blog, take your time to read every single Tweet in the below thread. It will give you a greater insight into the financial situation of Arsenal. Knowledge is power.

The success of Liverpool this season highlighted just how poorly Arsenal have been run in recent years.

Arsenal and Liverpool have near identical income excluding player sales, yet Liverpool have managed to build a team that has won the Champions League and ran Man city close, whilst Arsenal built a squad capable of just 5th.

The difference between the two has nothing to do with money put in by owners. What Liverpool FSG put into the club 9 years ago was to write off the debt that the previous owners left behind.

When you look at net spend over the last 5 years, Arsenal have spent £50million more. Yet gross spend Liverpool have spent £200million more.

Liverpool have built a superior squad through:

  • Working the transfer market – buying players with sell on value, and selling high
  • Sensible salary spending

By focusing their transfer on younger players, Liverpool were able to make a profit on almost every player they sold. Over the last 5 years, they have generated £250million more in player sales than Arsenal. This enabled them to then go big on the likes of Alisson and Virgil van Dijk.

Arsenal meanwhile have spent nearly £150million on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette and Mesut Ozil. We are basically writing that money off.

Look at what Arsenal have spent on Lucas Perez, Shokdran Mustafi & Granit Xhaka in recent years. Nearly £100million spent, are they really good enough? The truth is in the last 5 years Arsenal have made some very expensive acquisitions that have not worked out.

And it is not just what you buy players for, but what you sell them for.

Arsenal received just £10million for the sale of Alexis Sanchez, Aaron Ramsey, Jack Wilshere, Danny Welbeck and Wojech Szczesny. In January Liverpool sold Dominic Solanke to Bournemouth for £19million.

I estimate that had they been sold a year earlier, the 5 Arsenal players mentioned above would have generated nearly £200million in player sales.

Arsenal have performed poorly in the transfer market over the last 5 years.

The wage bill is also a problem. Perhaps Arsenal’s biggest problem.

We have a lot of money tied up in Ozil, Aubameyang and Henrikh Mkhitaryan. Nearly £750,000 a week. The 3 players take up 18% of Arsenal’s total wage bill.

Whilst Wenger’s socialist wage bill – where the highest earner would only be a certain amount more than the lowest earner – caused us problems, offering big wages to ageing players is also an issue. Especially if we are looking to sell them on.

We are unable to sell Ozil and Mkhitaryan due to their wages.

The pair earn nearly £30million a year between them. It causes us huge problems, especially as neither are exactly performing to the high levels of Mo Salah or Sadio Mane.

So where are Arsenal now?

  • We have too many ageing players on high wages who would not generate much income if sold
  • The overall quality of the squad is not good enough

And this is where it becomes very clear just how tough Sanllehi’s job is.

Sanllehi needs to:

  • Improve the quality of the squad
  • Lower the age of the squad
  • Get more out of Arsenal’s high wage bill

In simple terms, Arsenal need to buy better than what they have, whilst paying the incoming players less than those they are replacing. And we are hamstrung by not getting much money from those leaving.

Kieran Tierney coming in is an example of Sanllehi’s objective in action.

At 22-years-old, Tierney is the sort of young talent Arsenal should be targeting, and at a reported £20million + £5million in add ons, highlights that you do not need to spend £50million to sign a top young, British full back.

Tiernay is also set to agree a contract worth around £75,000 a week. Bosnian Kolasinac is currently on £115,000 a week. £40,000 more than Tierney.

In Tiernay, Arsenal are buying someone younger, cheaper and better than what they currently have. It is the type of deal Sanllehi will have to do more of this summer.

The problem that Sanllehi faces is there a lot of highly paid players that will need to be replaced by younger, cheaper options over the next 2 summers:

Arsenal players over 30

Laurent Koscielny (33)
Nacho Monreal (33)
Sokratis Papastathopoulos (31)
Henrikh Mkhitaryan (30)
Mesut Özil (30)
David Ospina (30)
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (30)

The above 7 players (bar perhaps Sokratis & Aubameyang) will need to be replaced over the next 12 months. That is at least 5 senior professionals out the door.

We then have the younger players, on big money, who are not really good enough.

Arsenal players who should not be at the club after 2020

Shkodran Mustafi
Carl Jenkinson
Mohamed Elneny
Emiliano Martínez
Sead Kolašinac
Calum Chambers

So Sanllehi needs to oversee the sale of 11 members over the 25-man senior squad over the next two summers. Each replaced with someone younger, cheaper and better.

Add these 11 players to Welbeck, Cech, Lichsteiner and Ramsey and you are looking at 15 players of the 2018/19 squad likely to leave the club in the 2 summers following. It is a huge turnover of playing staff.

In the summer of 2018 we also released Santi Cazorla, Per Mertersacker and Jack Wilshere.

Sanllehi recently spoke about ensuring that Arsenal do not get into another Ramsey / Sanchez / Ozil situation where you are letting players run down their contract. His opinion is that 12 months prior to their contract expiring, they either sign the deal on the table or are sold. This will generate much needed funds for Arsenal.

For the 2020/21 season, Arsenal may well only have 12 players in the first team squad who were in the 1st team squad in 2018/19

Sokratis Papastathopoulos (32)
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (31)
Alexandre Lacazette (29)
Bernd Leno (28)
Granit Xhaka (27)
Héctor Bellerín (25)
Rob Holding (24)
Lucas Torreira (24)
Alex Iwobi (24)
Konstantinos Mavropanos (22)
Ainsley Maitland-Niles (22)
Matteo Guendouzi (21)

To this 12 players you can add the likes of Reiss Nelson, Emile Smith Rowe, Bukayo Saka or Xavier Amaechi, Dan Ballard or Zach Medley and either Eddie Nketiah or Folarin Balogun. That would leave a 1st team squad with 17 players. Over the next 2 summers Arsenal need to buy 8 senior players.

Tiernay will be the first of these. And if Arsenal can get deals over the line for Wilfried Zaha (who I am not a fan of), William Saliba and Gabriel Martinelli this summer it will be a huge step towards addressing the quality and age of the squad.

Those 4 would take the squad for 2020/21 up to 21. Then depending on who is sold this summer (ie If Mustafi leaves, he will be replaced) we will have a further 6  big signings (or promotions from youth) to make in 2020: Ozil replacement, Mustafi replacement, back up left back, back up right back, 2x back up keepers). This would take us to a 27 man senior squad – although some will be under 21 so excluded from the 25 man register Premier League squad.

I would leave us with a squad where the majority of players are under 25, a hungrier, cheaper, more talented squad then we currently have,

Sanllehi has 2 big summers ahead of him. He needs to get it right. But it is not easy.

Keenos