Tottenham “win” the transfer window as Premier League big boys spend nothing

Big day today! One that I dread every year. I am already nervous about what could happen, keeping my fingers crossed it will be good news. My car is going in for its MOT!

The transfer window slammed shut yesterday. Many of you would have forgotten it was open considering how little business was done.

Premier League clubs spent £715m less than January 2023, with the combined expenditure of the 20 clubs being just £100m. Just 17 permanent deals were made.

The impact of Premier League clubs not spending was seen lower down the leagues as EFL sides spent just £15m – they rely heavily on money coming in from selling players to enable them to buy.

A lot of fans have blamed PSR during the window for the lack of spending, but the truth is most Premier League clubs blew their budget in the summer.

Despite the slow January, the 2023-24 season has seen over £2.5bn spent by Premeir League clubs across both windows – the second-highest total annual transfer spend ever.

The record of nearly £2.8bn was set in 2022/23, driven by Chelsea’s big spending January. Whilst 3rd on the list (2017/18) is around £700m below this years total.

So for those moaning…your club is not spending because they were not allowed due to PSR, they were not spending because they have no money until the summer. And in the case of Everton, your club is not spending because you have lost nearlt half a billion pounds in the last 5-years. If it was not for PSR you would be in administration.

Winners of the transfer window is Tottenham.

I have lost count how many times in the last decades their fans have celebrated “winning” a transfer window. Have not won a trophy in 16-years though.

Spurs signed some unknown Romanian centreback, loaned in a Chelsea reject and reportedly got a £10m deal over the line for some 18-year-old Swedish midfielder that no-one had heard of 4 days ago.

I read an article yesterday that said “Daniel Levy is a genius” and that his “long term planning is coming to fruition”. enic bought Tottenham nearly 24 years ago. they currently sit 4th and have won 1 League Cup in that time. What brilliant long term planning.

Tottenham’s spending in January simply means they will spend less in the summer. Whilst they decided to draw forward some funds, other clubs kept their powder dry to ensure they had the finances to secure their premier targets in 5-months.

Some might say “waiting 5-months could cost the league”, but that makes the assumption that Arsenal or Liverpool’s top targets were available in January. And if they were not, those secondary targets were good enough.

Personally, I would rather wait until the summer to buy a Douglas Luiz or Ivan Toney then sign a Lucas Bergvall or Timo Werner.

Arsenal did see a couple of outgoings in January.

Alex Runar Runarssons time at the club came to an end as we cancelled his contract. He has joined FC Copenhagen for free. What a strange signing he was!

We also cashed in on contract rebel Lino Sousa. The talented teenager’s current deal was due to expire in the summer, sand he was refusing to sign a new one. He has decided to take the step down to Aston Villa, who immediately sent him out on loan to Plymouth. The path to first team football is much clearer at a mid-table than a title challenging side. Good luck to him.

Charles Sagoe Jr, who made an appearance this season in the EFL Cup, has gone to Swansea on loan, whilst Mika Biereth saw his loan deal with Mothwerwell cancelled and is now at Austrian side Sturm Graz.

Tyreece John-Jules has seen his loan deal with Derby County extended until the end of the season. The hope will be that he continues to impress as Derby chase promotion, and they look to recruit him permanently in the summer.

The final deal saw Marquinhos return to after Arsenal pulled the plug on his loan deal to Nantes.

There is talk that Brazilian side Fluminense are in negotiations with Arsenal over a loan deal for Marquinhos that could include a purchase option at the end of the season. The Brazilian window is still open until 11 January.

Marquinhos was always signed as one for the future, and we have seen over history how often these sort of signings do not work out.

For every Gabriel Martinelli poached from obscurity, you get a Marquinhos , Joel Campbell, Carlos Vela, Wellington Silva and others. And this is not just Arsenal, every top team buys a lot of teenage talent from abroad with 95% not making it. You just need to ensure you are not overspending on these “punts” (like Chelsea have done!).

Marquinhos is still only 20 and habours an ambition to play for Brazil at this years Olympics. A good loan deal in Brazil should secure his seat on the plane (if they make it), and a good tournament could see him return to us full of confidence, or add a bit extra onto his price for a sale.

Today the cricket restarts. It has not been a good morning for England.

UTA.

Keenos

Arsenal to cash in on Hale End recruits – quiet transfer deadline predicted

It shows how little notice I have taken in the transfer window that I thought it had closed last night. It does’nt. 11pm tonight.

In the past, I have gone as far as booking transfer deadline day off work. This year have been a complete non-event with no top team yet to make a serious signing.

Some fans will blame the artist formally known as FFP, but the reality is Premier League clubs have spent too much in recent years, overpaid for a lot of average players, given them huge wages, and last summer saw record spending. Every club has had to tighten its belt this January.

Moving forward, I would not be too surprised if this year becomes the new blue print – clubs spending 100% of their budgets in the summer to give themselves the best chance of competing over the course of the season.

Some fans will moan about the PSR restrictions. They use “net spend” tables to show they are being unfairly treated and the rules are broken. But when clubs like Everton were spending 94.5% (2020-21) of their turnover on wages, it is clear that big transfer fees are only part of the problem. Fans really do need to educate themselves before moaning.

The big Arsenal news is that Lino Sousa has joined Aston Villa.

This has led to the usual accusations of Mikel Arteta that he is not giving youth a chance.

Sousa, like Folarin Balogun, was refusing to sign a new contract with the club. So why should we give him game time if his deal is running out at the end of this season? I do get that some will argue that had he played more minutes, he would have signed, but he has barely turned 19.

As a teenager, if you do not want to sign a 4 or 5 year deal with The Arsenal, then the door is open for you to leave. We have still yet to sell a youngster that has proved us wrong (the Serge Gnabry position is very unique).

Ultimately, if Arteta felt Sousa was good enough, he would have got game time. We are not a charity and we have to get out of this “give youth a chance” whilst also demanding that we sign superstars to compete for the league.

Giving Sousa or Ethan Nwaneri 5 minutes here or there will do nothing for their development. They are best off playing 90 minutes in the PL2, and then going out on loan to show they are ready.

Look at the journey of Conor Bradley who scored last night for Liverpool.

Bradley is a year older than Sousa. Last season, at the age of 19, he went out on loan to Bolton Wanderers were he proved that he was ready. This season he has broken into Liverpool’s first team squad and has now played 9 games.

Sousa would have taken a similar journey for Arsenal had he decided to sign the contract offered to him. He would have been loaned out next season (when he was 19), and then 2025/26 would have been the year we looked to integrate him into the first team. He would have been just 20, like Bradley.

Instead, he opted to join Aston Villa who will loan him out to Plymouth Argyle.

I have no issue with him deciding to play for a mid-table Premier League club in the hope it might fast track his career by a year. If he has the desire to play first team PL football and is happy to take that step down, then so be it. In 6-months, following his loan deal, he might be ready to start regular for Villa. But that does not mean he would have been ready to start for Arsenal.

No fee has yet been mentioned, although a deal starting at £4m rising to £12m has been mentioned (not sure if this is just a Twitter rumour).

We need to keep doing this with our youngsters if we decide they will not make it at The arsenal. These £4-5million a youth team player soon adds up.

Another to depart is Bradley Ibrahim to Hertha Berlin. Not a player I know much about but like Sousa his contract was coming to an end at the end of this season.

What is interesting about both Ibrahim and Sousa is neither are Hale End academy products. Both joined the club in 2022 from QPR and WBA respectively, signing their first 2 year professional contracts with us. They decided not to extend those deals.

Maybe this is a message to the club – you poach another teams 16/17-year-olds, they will be less loyal and not feel like they need to sign that new longer-term contract at 19/20.

Last nights results did not go for us with both title rivals winning. Tottenham also won to jump above Villa in the race for 4th.

I have said it before and I will say it again, finishing 3rd behind Liverpool and Manchester City should not be seen as a failure.

Both clubs have been building their current squads for nearly a decade. We are 3-4 years into the build. And they both outspend us on wages by £80m a year – that is the equivalent of 7 new £200k a week players. You can perhaps then understand why Arteta is talking about his squad perhaps not being as deep as those above us.

The only way we close that wage gap (and in turn the gap on the pitch) is to consistently finish top 4 and continue to invest what we earn sensibly.

Enjoy deadline day.

Keenos

MATCH REPORT: Nott’ham Forest 1 – 2 Arsenal

Nottingham Forest (0) 1 Arsenal (0) 2

Premier League

City Ground, West Bridgford, Nottingham NG2 5FJ

Tuesday, 30th January 2024. Kick-off time: 7.30pm

(4-3-3) David Raya; Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, Oleksandr Zinchenko; Martin Ødegaard (c), Declan Rice, Emile Smith-Rowe; Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Martinelli.

Substitutes: Aaron Ramsdale, Eddie Nketiah, Jakob Kiwior, Cédric Soares, Leandro Trossard, (Jorge Luiz Frello Filho) Jorginho, Reiss Nelson, Kai Havertz, Reuell Walters.

Scorers: Gabriel Jesus (64 mins), Bukayo Saka (71 mins)

Yellow Cards: Gabriel Jesus

Arsenal Possession Percentage: 75%

Referee: Simon Hooper

Assistant Referees: Adrian Holmes, Simon Long

Fourth Official: Graham Scott

VAR Team at Stockley Park: VAR Jarred Gillett; AVAR Richard West

Attendance: 29,387

Tonight’s match is vitally important, because if we take all three points at the City Ground, then we are second in the Premiership table, just two points behind leaders Liverpool. Our defender Gabriel will return having been assessed by the medical team, as will Declan Rice of course, but sadly Thomas Partey remains sidelined with injury. It is also good to see Emile Smith-Rowe making a welcome return to the first team, along with young Reuell Walters, who is on the substitute’s bench this evening.

We started proceedings here at the City Ground tonight, and almost immediately we started stroking the ball around with absolute confidence. We were dominating the game in the early stages, and although we were not giving any spaces away for the home side to capitalise on, there was still a wee bit of a sting in their tails tonight, it appears. Martin Ødegaard tried to play a reverse pass with Emile Smith-Rowe looking to grab it, but he could not get there in time and the ball simply dribbled out of play for a Forest goal kick. Our pressurised game was so strong that the home side just simply could not break out of their half, and after a superb strike from our captain which was blocked by a defender, Emile Smith-Rowe cut into the penalty area from the left-hand side, but his cross was flicked over the bar by Gabriel Jesus. The match appeared to be played entirely in the Forest half, and despite our best efforts in trying to score, a lot of our efforts were blocked by the Forest defenders constantly. However, Chris Wood did get to the edge of our penalty area, but good covering from Oleksandr Zinchenko saw off the threat, minor though it was. After some good build-up play, Emile Smith-Rowe turned and took a quick shot, but it flew harmlessly over Matt Turner’s crossbar. Time and time again, our penetrating passes through the Forest defence found our players, but with no end product, sadly. Ten minutes or so before the break, Gabriel Jesus had a great chance to score from just inside the Forest penalty area, but there were so many Forest defenders in the way of his shot, it was never going to find its way through to the goal. Danilo picked the ball up in midfield and advanced and took a shot just outside the penalty area which went harmlessly over David Raya’s goal, but it was a lesson for us not to be too complacent, otherwise we could get punished. Bukayo Saka was unlucky not to score when a loose ball found its way to him just outside the six-yard box, but it bobbled away just past Matt Turner’s goal. Despite yet more pressure in the three minutes of injury time, we were still unable to get the ball into the Forest net. So utterly frustrating.

Hopefully, Mikel Arteta’s words of encouragement at half time will have helped somewhat, as we started the second half here at the City Ground with much anticipation and expectation. We started in a quick and speedy manner, with crisp passing and purposeful running both on and off the ball. Although the Forest players were starting to make a decent fist of things this half, we were able to grab the ball off them successfully in order to continue our attacks on their goal. After we broke up a decent Forest counter-attack, a superb Bukayo Saka shot was pushed away by Matt Turner, and suddenly the match became an end-to-end affair that was breathtaking for the crowd (and the neutrals) to watch. After some superb build-up play, a Gabriel Jesus shot from close range hit the inside of the post and bounced out into play, and still we kept on coming. The match was stopped by the referee when Bukayo Saka went down to the floor after a clash with Nico Williams, and a couple of minutes later, the same Forest player crossed the ball into our penalty area, only for the imposing figure of Ben White to clear it brilliantly. Suddenly, out of nowhere, from a throw-in out on the left wing, Gabriel Jesus ran with the ball deep into the Forest penalty area, and whacked the ball through Matt Turner’s legs and into the back of the net to open the scoring. At last! The goal gave us the impetus to score yet more, and Bukayo Saka received the ball out on the left, and his snap shot cannoned off a defender for a corner which went nowhere, unfortunately. Kai Havertz replaced Emile Smith-Rowe with twenty minutes of the game remaining, and a couple of minutes later, we grabbed our second goal of the evening when our captain passed the ball to Gabriel Jesus, who in turn quickly slotted it to Bukayo Saka, whose right-footed shot from the right hand side of the penalty area ended up in the centre of the goal. Gabriel Jesus and Gabriel Martinelli was replaced by Eddie Nketiah and Leandro Trossard after seventy-seven minutes, and shortly after entering the fray, Leandro Trossard hit a beautiful shot from twenty yards that just flew over the bar. Still, we came hunting looking for more goals, with a Bukayo Saka left-footed shot from outside the penalty area which went high and wide to the left of the goal. With two minutes of the game remaining, Forest grabbed a goal through Taiwo Awoniyi after a mix-up in our penalty area, which after a VAR check was awarded to them. During the five minutes injury time, Oleksandr Zinchenko and Martin Ødegaard were replaced by Jakob Kiwior and Jorginho; our hearts were in our mouths when VAR checked for a possible Forest penalty which in the end was denied (thankfully), and after Eddie Nketiah was flattened just outside the Forest penalty area, we were awarded a free kick that was cleared by their defence, and despite one or two hair-raising moments, we ran out winners by the odd goal in three.

Well, with seventy-five per cent possession and nineteen shots on goal (three on target), our overall domination was there for all to see. Overall, it was a good night’s work; we showed a lot of patience and clever build-up play, and although the first half was incredibly frustrating for everyone, it was felt that it was surely a matter of time before we scored, although it has to be said that the home side did not give up, and caused us some serious problems at times. All of our forwards played well tonight, as did David Raya too. Ben White was superb at the back, and our captain was inspirational as always, of course. All eyes on the Liverpool game on Sunday afternoon, then! Well done, chaps.

Remember everyone, keep the faith, get behind the team and the manager, as this season is going to be crucial for our future success in all competitions. Stick with the winners. Our next match: Liverpool at the Emirates on Sunday, 4th February at 4.30pm (Premier League). Be there, if you can. Victoria Concordia Crescit.

Steve

Too Dearly Loved To Be Forgotten: Arsenal v Racing Club de Paris 1930-1962 by Steve Ingless (Rangemore Publications, ISBN 978-1-5272-0135-4) is now available on Amazon