Tag Archives: Transfers

The curious case of Tomiyasu’s 2-year deal

Yesterday it was announced that Takehiro Tomiyasu would be following Ben White in signing a new contract. But everything was not as clear cut as the White deal.

Tomiyasu had signed on until 2026, representing a 2 year deal, or a year extension on his current ones. This led to a lot of scratched heads.

My first thought was “has he actually signed a new deal, or is this Arsenal triggering a one-year extension clause”. As it turns out, this was a completely new deal which Tomiyasu was happy to agree.

As time went on, it transpired that the new 2-year deal included a further year option for Arsenal, so in essence it was a new 3-year contract. This is still extremely short for a 25-year-old to agree to.

After more reflection, I came up with two reasons why this deal happened.

The first is it shows where Arsenal are as a club right now. Players want to sign on that dotted line. They want to be involved in the Mikel Arteta journey. So even though the length of the contract was not favourable, Tomiyasu would rather give another 1-2 years to The Arsenal then turn down the deal, leave in the summer and join someone like Aston Villa or Newcastle.

The second is Tomiyasu himself.

On signing his contract, Tomi said: “I am so happy to extend my contract because Arsenal is the best club in the world. It’s a dream to play for this club, so I’m happy.

“When I’m on the pitch I feel the love and energy from the supporters. We are connected a lot so I want to give them something back. I am playing for Arsenal, and this means I’m playing for the Arsenal supporters. That’s why I dedicate my life to this club and the supporters.

“I want to give them something back. The connection between players and supporters is a different level and that makes it more special.”

The first part of his statement shows that he has bought into Arteta’s project and where Arsenal are right now. The second shows that he feels that he owes the club and fans something following his injury issues.

Since joining the club in 2021, he has suffered 4 major injuries that have led him to miss over 40 games for The Arsenal. He clearly feels some sort of guilt over that, and wants to repay the club and fans for sticking by him.

The new deal means that he probably gets another 2-years at the club to show that he can stay fit. And we know that if he keeps fit he can be a big part of our future. If he does not stay fit, Arsenal have not invested too much into him, will trigger the extension in 2026 and sell him.

At 25-years-old, Tomiyasu is also not in “last contract” terrority.

I imagine the money he will be in will be in and around £100k a week. Not many clubs in England or Europe would pay him (or others) that. And if he leaves at 27, he will still be young enough to get another 5-year deal elsewhere.

In the past, we have seen clubs – including Arsenal – offer 5-year deals to players with Tomiyasu’s injury record. And in that 5-years we rarely see them play and are stuck with them until their contract runs down. At least with this deal with can release for free after 2 more seasons, or extend that deal and try and get a fee for him.

It is not very often that you see a player agree to less favourable terms. The 2-year deal is completely in Arsenal’s favour. But this just shows that Tomi wants to be part of Arsenal’s future and repay the fans for their support.

Other news for yesterday is that the Munich away tickets have been announced.

We should get around 3,700, so I am not sure why the club are starting them at 50+ credits. What is odd is that they then advertise all the way down to 10+. They usually advertise down to where they think they will sell out so not sure why they start at 50+ if they predict it will go to 10+.

There can not be more than 3,000 with 30+, and this is further highlighted that once it goes down in 10s below 40+.

The last bit of news is that some places are linking us to a move for Juventus’s Adrien Rabiot. It is a deal I can not see happening.

Whilst his contract does run out at the end of the year, he will certainly not be “free” as his mum will demand inflated wages, a huge signing on fee and a big wad of cash for herself.

Rabiot turns 29 in April and I feel he is a wasted talent – he has never fulfilled his potential.

There has always been a feeling that one-day it might click for him. But at his old age now, those times are running out. He does have the physical and technical ability to play deep into his late 30s at a high level, but I think the time for us sniffing around someone like Rabiot it gone.

Better to buy someone younger, hungrier, who does not have a troublesome history.

Enjoy your Thursday.

Keenos

Tottenham “win” the transfer window as Premier League big boys spend nothing

Big day today! One that I dread every year. I am already nervous about what could happen, keeping my fingers crossed it will be good news. My car is going in for its MOT!

The transfer window slammed shut yesterday. Many of you would have forgotten it was open considering how little business was done.

Premier League clubs spent £715m less than January 2023, with the combined expenditure of the 20 clubs being just £100m. Just 17 permanent deals were made.

The impact of Premier League clubs not spending was seen lower down the leagues as EFL sides spent just £15m – they rely heavily on money coming in from selling players to enable them to buy.

A lot of fans have blamed PSR during the window for the lack of spending, but the truth is most Premier League clubs blew their budget in the summer.

Despite the slow January, the 2023-24 season has seen over £2.5bn spent by Premeir League clubs across both windows – the second-highest total annual transfer spend ever.

The record of nearly £2.8bn was set in 2022/23, driven by Chelsea’s big spending January. Whilst 3rd on the list (2017/18) is around £700m below this years total.

So for those moaning…your club is not spending because they were not allowed due to PSR, they were not spending because they have no money until the summer. And in the case of Everton, your club is not spending because you have lost nearlt half a billion pounds in the last 5-years. If it was not for PSR you would be in administration.

Winners of the transfer window is Tottenham.

I have lost count how many times in the last decades their fans have celebrated “winning” a transfer window. Have not won a trophy in 16-years though.

Spurs signed some unknown Romanian centreback, loaned in a Chelsea reject and reportedly got a £10m deal over the line for some 18-year-old Swedish midfielder that no-one had heard of 4 days ago.

I read an article yesterday that said “Daniel Levy is a genius” and that his “long term planning is coming to fruition”. enic bought Tottenham nearly 24 years ago. they currently sit 4th and have won 1 League Cup in that time. What brilliant long term planning.

Tottenham’s spending in January simply means they will spend less in the summer. Whilst they decided to draw forward some funds, other clubs kept their powder dry to ensure they had the finances to secure their premier targets in 5-months.

Some might say “waiting 5-months could cost the league”, but that makes the assumption that Arsenal or Liverpool’s top targets were available in January. And if they were not, those secondary targets were good enough.

Personally, I would rather wait until the summer to buy a Douglas Luiz or Ivan Toney then sign a Lucas Bergvall or Timo Werner.

Arsenal did see a couple of outgoings in January.

Alex Runar Runarssons time at the club came to an end as we cancelled his contract. He has joined FC Copenhagen for free. What a strange signing he was!

We also cashed in on contract rebel Lino Sousa. The talented teenager’s current deal was due to expire in the summer, sand he was refusing to sign a new one. He has decided to take the step down to Aston Villa, who immediately sent him out on loan to Plymouth. The path to first team football is much clearer at a mid-table than a title challenging side. Good luck to him.

Charles Sagoe Jr, who made an appearance this season in the EFL Cup, has gone to Swansea on loan, whilst Mika Biereth saw his loan deal with Mothwerwell cancelled and is now at Austrian side Sturm Graz.

Tyreece John-Jules has seen his loan deal with Derby County extended until the end of the season. The hope will be that he continues to impress as Derby chase promotion, and they look to recruit him permanently in the summer.

The final deal saw Marquinhos return to after Arsenal pulled the plug on his loan deal to Nantes.

There is talk that Brazilian side Fluminense are in negotiations with Arsenal over a loan deal for Marquinhos that could include a purchase option at the end of the season. The Brazilian window is still open until 11 January.

Marquinhos was always signed as one for the future, and we have seen over history how often these sort of signings do not work out.

For every Gabriel Martinelli poached from obscurity, you get a Marquinhos , Joel Campbell, Carlos Vela, Wellington Silva and others. And this is not just Arsenal, every top team buys a lot of teenage talent from abroad with 95% not making it. You just need to ensure you are not overspending on these “punts” (like Chelsea have done!).

Marquinhos is still only 20 and habours an ambition to play for Brazil at this years Olympics. A good loan deal in Brazil should secure his seat on the plane (if they make it), and a good tournament could see him return to us full of confidence, or add a bit extra onto his price for a sale.

Today the cricket restarts. It has not been a good morning for England.

UTA.

Keenos

Gunners look to shoot down Eagles

Shorter blog than normal today due to the 12:30 kick off. Still need to smash a couple more coffee’s and have a fry-up before I head out to todays game.

The early Saturday kick off is easily my least favourite over the weekend. It is just shit having to wake up, get dressed and head straight to the game. Will be lucky to get a couple of pints in before the game, which often explains why the atmosphere in these early games are subdued.

Mikel Arteta’s pre-match interview was a day later than normal due to the trip to Dubai, on which he said:

“We worked really hard on things that we wanted to do, and we recharged our batteries. The context and the change in environment in beautiful weather helped, and the togetherness and the moments that we shared together were great. We feel fully recharged.”

What is now important is that the fans also used it to reset their brains.

Before the break, some of the old boo boys and moaners had begin sharing their views again. Today we all need to get behind the team and allow our behaviour to positively impact the players. not negatively.

On injuries, Arteta said “we are touch and go with a few”. Those few will be Oleksandr Zinchenko and Gabriel Jesus. I would not be surprised to see both start.

One interesting quote to come out of the press conference was Arteta speaking about how it is important not to overreact after a run of defeats: “defeats cannot make you lose who you are because if you do that, then you were never who you said you were.”

He is spot on with this.

You can not keep chopping and changing tactics after a few poor results and expect to consistently perform. Liverpool are the perfect example of this.

Jurgen Klopp teams have played pretty much the same way throughout his management career. Even last season when times were tough, he stuck to his principals.

Football is becoming a lot more “formalised” on the pitch, with more set plays in open play. Players know where they need to be before the ball is passed, and this gives sides a huge competitve advantage. 7 tought games does not make Arteta a bad manager, nor does it mean that he should undo the great work he has done over the last 18-months.

In other news, we were approached yesterday by West Ham United for Emile Smith Rowe. Both player and club rejected the deal.

Arsenal would have rejected the deal because it was a loan offer. The door is open for Smith Rowe to leave on a permanent transfer. Probably anything north of £30m. We have learned from the Ainsley Maitland-Niles saga that loan deals only devalue a player.

West Ham fans have been up in arms saying “Smith Rowe thinks he is bigger than us” and then thrown abuse at the young England international. Lets get things right, ESR does not think he is bigger than West Ham, he just wants to have one more opportunity to resurrect his Arsenal career.

Smith Rowe joined Arsenal at the age of 10. He finally had his breakthrough season in 2021–22, and what has followed is 18 months of injuries. He clearly wants to give it another 6-months of trying to make it at Arsenal rather than be loaned out.

If Smith Rowe fails to make an impact in the 2nd half of the season, he will know his time at Arsenal has come to an end. Then I expect him to join someone like West Ham permanently in the summer.

We all know West Ham fans are a little fragile, but them abusing a player for trying to make it at a higher level, for the club he has been at since he was 10, just shows they are knuckle draggers.

Little over an hour before I need to get on the Central Line. Time for coffee number two and to stick some sausages and bacon in the air fryer.

UTA.

Keenos