The Arsenal in Limbo

I write this, two days after Arsene Wenger informed us that he knows what he intends to do about his future, and that he will share this with us, very soon. Sadly, this leaves the football world in limbo as far as Arsenal are concerned. The press are having a field day. Fans are openly warring all over social media and radio phone ins shows are full of pundits and former players having their two-penneth worth.

I’m not sure what purpose a statement like this serves ? The only rational conclusion seems to be that it deflects from the dreadful performance, away to West Brom ? Or, perhaps it’s a cunning plan by Wenger to flush out the two sides and get a good handle on public opinion before committing himself to the new deal that’s, supposedly, on the table ?

Either way, we seem to fast approaching the end game. We are on a dreadful run and its going to be tough to get back into the top four. The FA Cup has three other strong sides left in it, so that’s another very difficult route. Even a cup win would only feel like small consolation this season.

The fanbase is very divided although the tide has definitely turned in favour of the out side. There has long been a very vocal out group, often undermining their own effectiveness with uncalled for personal abuse towards Wenger. But now we are seeing a more measured and moderate group asking for change. This isn’t the rantings of a few disgruntled fans but a ground swell of opinion.

Of those who want a new contract for Wenger, most accept that something isn’t quite right at the club and lay the blame at the door of Kroenke and the board. There is still a large number who believe Arsene’s hands have been tied and he has performed miracles on a limited budget.

There are also those who oppose the manager and the board and hold them jointly liable to what has happened to the club. They claim Kroenke is only in it for the money and that a top four finish guarantees to swell the coffers. They also insist that Wenger can do nothing to get the sack so long as the money keeps rolling in, and because of this he has taken his eye off the ball and is coasting.

I don’t want to debate the rights and wrongs and the merits of each camps arguments. I’m not sitting on the fence, my personal opinion just isn’t relevant to this article. But if everyone’s opinion has a modicum of truth the final outcome will be resolved before the end of the season.

If Wenger feels he has lost the fans and/or the dressing room he will announce his departure at the end of the season in the next week or so. If Kroenke is all about the money then he wont miss the fact that Champions League qualification is looking very dodgy. He will also be wary of rewarding an unpopular manager with a two year deal knowing that if form doesn’t turn round quickly he could be stuck with around a £20 million compensation package to fund. A hard headed businessman will be fully aware that a new manager will want to assess the current squad and bring in summer additions. He will also know that £20 million wasted on compensation could be well used in wages to tempt new blood.

It’s difficult to see any scenario where Wenger is able to sign a new deal without a backlash from the fans. Not impossible, but it’s looking less likely that Wenger will be in charge next season. One things for sure though, something has to give one way or another. I just hope the priority for everyone who loves Arsenal is the club and the whole thing doesn’t turn into a farce as its seems to be in danger of at the moment.

MD

Revealed: Who paid for the “Respect Wenger” banner?

Throughout the last week, Arsenal Twitter was awash with talk of a fundraising campaign to raise money to fly a plane demanding “Wenger Out” and “No New Contract”.

Late on Friday, rumours circulated that due to weather conditions, the plane might not be able to circulate The Hawthornes.

During the first half of yesterday’s dismal display, the sound of a small aircraft above the ground seemed to go on forever. Unable to see the plane, I turned to a pal and said “they must have paid for a lot of flight time”. It was only at half time that we were aware that there were two banners. One proclaiming that Wenger should go, the second one declaring that we need to trust and respect Wenger.

With the secrecy and surprise of the second banner, there was only one conclusion to be made, that a single individual, or very small group of individuals, had paid for the second plane.

Hiring planes is not cheap. The Wenger Out one required a very public crowd funding campaign. The Respect Wenger one had zero publicity. No fundraising campaign. Clearly the actions of of a small group who people who worked in the background, silently, to organise and pay for it.

The company who flew the planes confirmed that the second plane was ordered by a company in Hong Kong. Not a surprise that it had been paid for by a couple of rich foreign fans. But further digging has potentially shown something beyond a rich fan wanting to publicaly back Arsenal Wenger.

A little research by some Arsenal fans have a uncovered Hong Kong firm called Jardine Matheson Holdings Ltd.


A little Wikipedia search on this company shows that Jardine Matheson Holdings are a conglomerate based in, you guessed it, Hong Kong. Closely associated with this company for over 100 years are the Keswick family. Sir Henry Keswick is the chairman. The MD is Ben Keswick, son of Sir Henry’s brother, Simon.

The CEO (or DMD) is Adam Keswick. He is the son of Sir Henry’s other brother, Sir John Chippendale Lindley Keswick known as “Chips”.

Now the pieces are falling into place. We have a banner paid for in Hong Kong, a Hong Kong company run by the son, brother and nephew of the Chairman of Arsenal. A man who has reportedly previously paid for an anti-Usmanov banner within the Emirates.

The second banner and “banner wars” bought a bit of a smile to my face on a dark, dark day. But the fact the second banner could have been bought and paid for by a company with connections to the  Chairman of Arsenal Football Club leaves a bitter taste in my mouth.

Keenos

Arsenal vs WBA Prediction

After Arsenal’s nightmarish exit from the Champions League taking a 10 – 2 blow from Bayern Munich the club finds itself in the middle of a media and fans witch hunt. Fingers are being pointed to everyone, beginning with pressure for Arsene Wenger resignation, the question if Colombian goal keeper David Ospina should remain as the team’s second goalie and even demands for Alexis Sanchez to move to another club. Typical reaction of fans that take football as World War deal.

There is definitely a crisis, but is it enough to affect upcoming games?

The first test was the latest game for the FA Cup final stages against Lincoln, a no league club. Arsenal won 5 – 0 easily just a few days after the Champion’s game with Alexis Sanchez scoring the 4th goal. A good test to keep eyes on the Premier League were they stand in fifth position and 16 points behind Chelsea, the current leader.

A Look Further Back for Arsenal

So the Gunners took a beating from one of the best clubs in the world, big deal. It is a big deal, they fell 1 – 5 at home and 5 – 1 on the Away game. Something seems really bad on defense. Let’s take a look a few games in retrospective.

January 31: Arsenal 1 – Watford 2

February 4: Chelsea 3 – Arsenal 1

February 11: Arsenal 2 – 0 Hull City

February 20: Sutton United 0 – 2 Arsenal

March 4: Liverpool 3 – 0 Arsenal

So basically Arsenal takes a beating from clubs with big names and high class players, and Watford does not even qualify as one of those. Watford is way behind the Gunners on the Premier League, and the guns seem to be soaked with one goddam low scoring range. Fact, Arsenal has lost control of the ball in the field for recent games. The whole Champion’s deal probably has their spirit on the ground and the media aren’t helping with dirty claims of Sanchez laughing during their downfall against Bayern.

When the players sense their fans lost their faith and satanise them, their focus turns into survival for the time being, waiting for a good club transfer.

So how does all this add up to the game against WBA?

WBA Prediction

WBA doesn´t look that strong either, a typical middle table team with few goals against but neither a top scorer. Big clubs bash them around and they pull out a fight against middle table’s and small timers.

The game we are more interested is the most recent, Everton beat them at home 3 nothing.

But guess what? WBA has won all of its recent games at home, while they lost or draw away games.

January 14: Tottenham 4 – 0 WBA

January 21: WBA 2 – 0 Sunderland

January 31: Middlesbrough 1 – 1 WBA

February 4: WBA 1 – 0 Stoke City

February 11: West Ham 1 – 1 WBA

February 25: West Brom 2 – 1 Bournemouth

March 4: WBA2 – 1 Crystal Palace

March 11: Everton 3 – 0 WBA

 

And WBA will be playing a low morale Arsenal at home. Normally this would be an easy prey for the Gunners but they find themselves in their worst condition ever with a strong local.

Prediction

Betegy.com is one of the most respected online sources for Premier League predictions, their bet is on WBA to win this match with 35% chances 2 – 1.

After seeing Arsenal dispatch Lincoln, and taking into account they still got some fancy collection of players that want to make a wrong a right, betting against the Gunners sounds quite stupid.

Statistical bettors will go with historical data that says teams in crisis are most likely to lose to stable teams like WBA that win at home. A little bit risky but with some smart betting, and the odds might pay well.

Another perspective will be to expect an Arsene Wegner winner speech in the dressing room remembering their players they are still on track for the Premier, and they need to proof diehard fans they are the mighty Gunners of old. This is the prediction we are betting on, Arsenal will play like the Gods March 18th and hole that WBA goal with 3+ goals. To see the Gunners seek out glory and view all their matches on different types of competitions, you can enjoy football coupons at William Hill page to make a killing at the bookies.


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