Tag Archives: Champions League

Who are Arsenal’s potential Champions League Play-off opponents?

On Friday at 11am, Arsenal will know their fate in the Champions League. Potential opponents are Athletic Bilbao, Lille, Standard Liege, FC Copenhagen and Besiktas. But who exactly are they and what threat to they pose?

Athletic Bilbao

Finished a distant 4th in Spain, 20 points behind the winners Atletico Madrid, Athletic Bilbao would be a tricky tie for Arsenal. Famous for a transfer policy which involved only signing Basque players, they have plenty of exciting talent, with their star man being Iker Muniain. Despite having lost midfield general Ander Herrera to Manchester United, Bilbao will be a trick proposition.

Just a short low cost (until they hyke the prices up) flight, Bilbao is a nice easy journey. And who wouldn’t fancy a few days in Northern Spain?

Lille

Between me writing this and you reading this, I could have got a Eurostar to Lille and be sitting in the Northern French city drinking coffee. That is what will appeal to Arsenal fans. Little time off work. Cheap train, there and back in a day. Brilliant!

Lille finished 3rd in France behind the money bags of Europe PSG and Monaco. Since winning the title in 2011, they have regularly sold of there stars, including Gervinho, Eden Hazard, Florian Thauvin, Lucas Digna, Dimitri Payet and most recently Divock Origi to Liverpool – although they have loaned him back. Their main threat is Solomon Kalou. A good side, but should not cause Arsenal any problems.

Standard Liege

The Belgium city of Liege is around a 260 mile drive (and ferry) from London, making it easily commutable by car or mini bus. Getting a train via Brussels is also a realistic option.

Standard Liege would have been a threat 10 years ago, with Kanu and Stam in their side. Unfortunatly for them, they are Brazilian defender Kanu (Full name António Eduardo Pereira dos Santos) and former Wigan centre back Ronnie Stam. When your captain could barely get a game for Wolves, your star midfielder failed to make the grade at Spurs, and your big summer signing so far is 20 year old Tony Watt (who?) from Celtic, you can perhaps understand the challenge, or lack of, that Arsenal will face.

FC Copenhagen

In a similar vein to Standard Liege, FC Copenhagen have a numeorus players who once ‘starred’ in England. Andreas Cornelius signed for Cardiff last summer for £8million, played 8 games, did not score, and was sold back to FC Copenhagen for less than £2million in January. Steve De Ridder includes Southampton and Bolton as his previous clubs. Once managed by Roy Hodgson, they are a side who Arsenal really should beat.

Copenhagen is a wonderful city, but do you really want to be forking out for a flight to Denmark, considering the other destination on offer? Probably not.

Besiktas

The furthest journey of them all. Flights will cost over £500, so unless you already have a holiday booked in Turkey, it is a big chunk of cash to fork out.

With former Croatia manager Slavan Bilic in charge, Besiktas will not be an easy game. It is always tough playing away to a Turkish side, with their passionate and hostile fans creating an intimidation atmosphere. As usual with many Turkish sides, the majority of their squad is made up of Turkish players. Former Arsenal trainee Oguzhan Ozyakup runs the midfield, whilst former Fulham wonderkid Karim Frei (now Karim Koyunlu) provies a threat on the wing.

Their undoubted star money is Demba Ba, recently signed from Chelsea. With him upfront mixed with the Turkish crowd, they are one to avoid.

So who do I want?

1) Standard Liege
2) Lille
3) FC Copenhagen
4) Athletic Bilbao
5) Besiktas

Keenos

Arsenal drop to 9th in UEFA ranking’s (but it makes no difference)

The latest UEFA rankings have come out this afternoon and Arsenal have dropped to 9th place, being leap frogged by both Atletico Madrid and Valencia.

It is the first time that Arsenal, under Arsene Wenger, have dropped out of the top 8. ‘CATASTROPHE’ is what all the doom mongers are shouting. But in reality, it is not.UEFA

With Manchester United and Valencia unlikely to qualify for next years Champions League, Arsenal’s real position is 7th. With Porto on their way out and AC Milan not only out but sitting 11th in Serie A, Arsenal will not have a problem.

A few thoughts however come to mind. With PSG and Dortmund rising, Arsenal need a big season sooner rather than later where they reach the semi-finals. Or a few seasons of consistently getting into the quarter finals. Failure to do so would see Arsenal in the second seed of teams.

Is being in the second seed a problem though? If all league’s finished now, the second pot of the Champions league next season would look like:

Schalke
Dortmund
PSG
Juventus
Shakhtar
Basel
Zenith
Manchester City

Not exactly ‘easy’. Meanwhile, you could drop out of the top 8 and draw Benfica or Porto. Porto/Benfica, or Dortmund/PSG/Juventus?

Yes, being top seeds is favourable, but considering the strength in depth in European football this season, it does not make a massive difference.

You only have to look at some statistics from this years competition to see how little difference it makes:

  • Of the 16 teams who qualified for the knock out stages, 6 came from Pot 1, 4 from Pot 2, 6 from Pot 3.
  • Just 5 of the 8 top seeded teams won their group
  • The split in the QF was 5 from the top seed pot, 3 not

Like Atletico have shown this year, and Dortmund in previous years, if you are good enough ,you will progress, no matter who you play.

The second noticeable aspect is with regards to the Europa League. Benfica have leapfrogged Arsenal in the rankings. This despite being knocked out of the Champions League. Arsenal made the knock out stages, and played Bayern Munich.

Benfica got knocked out, and have since gained points by playing PAOK, Tottenham and AZ Alkmaar. In UEFA’s attempt to encourage teams to take the Europa League seriously (by offering a high number of coefficient points  for the next years Champions League) they have created a scenario where failure is rewarded. Benfica get to play easier teams, and have extra games (Europa League has 5 knock out rounds v CL’s 4) by virtue of being failures in the Champions League. Surely for it to be fair, those sides knocked out in the Champions League should receive no more coefficient points?

Finally, when looking through the list, you notice how insignificant the furore is made on twitter about Arsenal’s drop to 9th;

AC Milan – 11th
Inter Milan – 13th
Juventus – 17th
Ajax – 30th
Liverpool – 32nd

These are massive sides.

So we are down to 9th. Not only does it make little difference to next years Champions League draw, being potentially in the 2nd pot makes little difference in future draw.s

Keenos

Money the big winner in the Champions League

The round of 16 Champions League ties are over and there is one big winner. Money.

Recently Deloitte produced it’s yearly Football Money League for 2014. It makes interesting reading as to which clubs around Europe generates the highest revenue:

Real Madrid 518.9
Barcelona 482.6
Bayern Munich 431.2
Manchester United 423.8
Paris Saint-Germain 398.8
Manchester City 316.2
Chelsea 303.4
Arsenal 284.3
Juventus 272.4
AC Milan 263.5
Borussia Dortmund 256.2
Liverpool 240.6
Schalke 04 198.2
Tottenham Hotspur 172
Inter Milan 168.8
Galatasaray 157
Hamburg 135.4
Fenerbahçe 126.4
Roma 124.4
Atlético de Madrid 120

What it further highlights is just how important money is in football these days. The mantra “He who earns the most tends to achieve the most” certainly applies in the modern game. On simple terms, all 8 sides in the Quarter Final’s of this years Champions League are members of the top 20 richest clubs in Europe. But it go’s further then that. Only one side in this years last 16 progressed against a side who has a bigger revenue then it, Atletico Madrid…

Bayern Munich (€431.2m) beat Arsenal (€284.3m)
Barcelona (€482.6m) beat Manchester City (€316.2m)
PSG (€398.8m) beat Bayern Leverkuson (unranked)
Atletico Madrid (€120m) beat AC Milan (€263.5)
Chelsea (€303.4m) beat Galatasary (€157m)
Real Madrid (€518.9m) beat Schalke 04 (€198.2m)
Dortmund (€256.2m) beat Zenith (unranked)
Manchester United (€423.8m) beat Olympiakos (unranked)

It is a clear indicator of the affect money has on the game. It will be interesting to see if the semi-final’s follow the same pattern.

They say football is an unpredictable game, where anyone can beat anyone. Whilst this is true (Wigan beating Manchester City for example) it is clear that money is making the game more predictable.

Keenos