Tag Archives: She Wore

Lucas Torreira set to cost Arsenal nothing

Arsenal are on the verge of agreeing the €30million deal of Lucas Torreira to Sampdoria. Most reports indicate that the deal is agreed between the clubs and the players representatives have agreed a contract in the region of €3million a year on a 5 year deal.

That means the total cost of the Torreira deal is €45million.

Due to the amortisation of the transfer fee over his 5 year contract, his transfer fee will increase club expenditure by €6million a year. Add this to his wages and the yearly increase in our accounts is €9million.

So how is he set to cost us nothing?

Let’s start with a quick conversion so that we do not have to deal in Euro’s (Brexit means Brexit). In pound sterling, the Torreira deal will cost £7.8m a year.

This summer, Arsenal have lost both Santi Cazorla and Jack Wilshere on a free transfer. The lack of fee for both is a frustration, but in terms of the accounts, they have no transfer fee being amortised.

According to Total Sportek, both Wilshere and Cazorla were on around £90,000 per week each. This works out at a combined £180,000 a week. You multiply this by 52 (how many weeks in a year) and it gives you £9.36million.

So having Wilshere and Cazorla on our books costs £1.56million a year more than the annual salary and amortised transfer fee of Lucas Torreira.

So it is not even costing the club nothing. Having Torreira instead of Wilshere and Cazorla actually saves the club money.

But we now have 1 player instead of two you complain.

That would be a valid argument if Santi Cazorla had played a game last year.

The Spaniard failed to make an appearance last season, and made just 8 league appearances before that. In 2016/17 it was just 15 league games. So 23 league appearances in 3 seasons.

In that same time, Wilshere has made just 13 league starts for Arsenal – 12 last season and 1 2 seasons prior with a loan spell at Bournemouth sandwiched in between. In fact, Wilshere has started just 22 games in the last 4 seasons at Arsenal.

So in Lucas Torreira, we are getting a player who has played in 71 Seira A games in the last 2 seasons. That is just 5 games missed. We are getting a player who will contribute more than the two departing players, for £1.56million less.

Of course, there are a couple of other factors to be considered, agents fees and signing on fees, but that would have bee the same with Jack Wilshere anyway.

How this majorly affects the club is that is free’s up a lot of money for further transfer.

In our last accounts, we showed a profit of nearly £50m. This means that we could have spent an additional £50m on amortised transfer fees, wages, etc and still be a well run football business.

By offsetting the costs of Torreira against the departing Cazorla and Wilshere, the result, as seen is, no change in Arsenal. That means that the surplus we currently have between revenue and expenditure remains the same. Therefore our budget is unaffected and Torreira costs us nothing.

That in turn leaves us more money in the pot to push forward for more players.

By my bag-of-a-fag-packet maths, bringing in Bernd Leno, Sokratis and Stephan Lichtsteiner have increased our yearly costs be ~£20-25m a year. That leaves us about £20m in the pot

We are heavily linked with Ever Banega. He would add further depth to the midfield and ensure we are well stocked in the middle of the park.

At 29 I imagine it would be a 3 year deal he is offered. This would cost us around £10m in wages and amortised transfer fee.

The remaining £10m could be spent on an attacking midfielder. Someone for £30m on a 5-year-£100k a week deal would cost us £11m.

Losing Wilshere and Carola and gaining Torreira free’s up the extra money within the budget to move for a 5th and 6th signing.

Some great things are happening at Arsenal.

Keenos

 

Arsenal’s incredible squad turnover

RAUL SANLLEHI was appointed as Arsenal’s new Head of Football relations in November 2017 – officially joining the club from Barcelona at the beginning of 2018.

On his appointment, Ivan Gazidis said “Raul’s appointment is another important step in developing the infrastructure we need at the club to take everything we do to the next level”.

The appointment followed the announcement of Sven Mislintat to head our player recruitment operations.

Sanllehi and Mislintat were bought in to spearhead Arsenal’s revival. To address the slide in on-pitch performances that saw Arsenal finish 5th in 2017 and ultimately 6th in 2018.

What the pair have done is walk into London with the world biggest brush and swept a lot of rubbish away.

It started in January 2017 when the club sold Francis Coquelin, Theo Walcott and Olivier Giroud. They also released Mathieu Debuchy on a free transfer.

They also made a clinical decision when it came to Alexis Sanchez, moving him on to Manchester United and getting Henrikh Mkhitaryan in return. 5 out in January. It was the beginning of a massive cull.

It then hit April, and the biggest decision in the last 22 years of Arsenal was made. Arsene Wenger was told his services were no longer required at the club. Sacked. Encouraged to walk away. Mutual decision. Call it what you want to call, Arsenal would be going into the 2018/19 season with their first new manager this Millennium.

Before a new manager was appointed, the back room firings continued.

The season not over, and barely a week after Arsene Wenger’s big goodbye at the Emirates, Sanllehi and Mislintat informed a lot if his backroom staff that there time at Arsenal was over.

First team coaches Neil Banfield, Tony Colbert, , Gerry Peyton and Boro Primorac were let go; Head of Medical Services, Colin Lewin; Physiotherapists Andy Rolls and Ben Ashworth; Osteopath Dr Philippe Boixel and Travel Manager Paul Johnson also all left the club, with Vic Akers also retiring.

Most Recently, Jens Lehmann was told that his services will no longer be required.

And then the Premier Leaguer “released” players was, well, released.

On it contained Per Mertesacker and Santi Cazorla. Both expected departures. One playing missing on the list was Jack Wilshere, who was on the “retained” list.

It did not take long for Wilshere to announce he was leaving the club, announcing that after a meeting with new manager Unai Emery, both parties had felt it was time to go separate ways.

What is coming next will be one of the biggest turnovers of players that the club has seen in recent years.

Pretty much every senior player who was out on loan last season will be allowed to go.

This includes Lucas Perez, Joel Campbell, Carl Jenkinson, Chuba Akpom, Julio Pleguezuelo, Cohen Bramall and Ben Sheaf will all find their time at Arsenal is over.

With Bernd Leno coming in, one of Petr Cech or David Ospina will be gone, as well reserve goal keeper Emiliano Martínez.

Rumours are that Calum Chambers will be allowed to go to Fulham, whilst the axe is certainly floating above Danny Welbeck’s head.

You could actually make a very good Starting XI with the players who have left us over the last 12 months. One which would have probably played at least one game together in the Premier League.

What is for certain is those now leading the transformation of Arsenal have a plan.

Out has gone underperforming, injury prone players, in are coming players who can return us back to a competitive level.

https://twitter.com/keenosafc/status/1009180248188096515?s=21

 

Keenos

 

 

Arsenal can not risk a repeat of Sebastien Squillaci

I have long held the opinion that Arsenal will only sign one centre back this summer.

With Shkodran Mustafi, Laurent Koscielny, Calum Chambers, Rob  Holding and Konstantinos Mavropanos set to be joined in Islington by Sokratis Papastathopoulos, 7 into 2 does not go.

There is an argument that we should sell to buy. That Shkodran Mustafi will leave the club and be replaced, but this does not make me comfortable.

The two names heavily linked are Caglar Soyuncu and Benjamin Pavard, both 22.

With Laurent Koscielny out injured until 2019, it would be very risky to try and integrate a new first choice centre back pairing without having senior back up.

Buying from a new country is always uncertain, even somewhere like Germany where the style and quality of football is very similar to the Premier League.

If Arsenal made the decision to try and integrate Sokratis alongside either Soyuncu or Pavard, without having a senior back up, the risks would be great.

If one struggles to settle – like when Sebastien Squillaci flopped upon moving from Spain (he was just 30-years-old at the time), we need to ensure we have adequate back up. Holding, Chambers and Mavropanos are not adequate back up.

The summer we signed Squillaci, we also secured the services of Laurent Koscielny.

The French pair were added to a squad that contained Thomas Vermaalen and Johan Djourou.

The Belgian had been at the club for a year (and had not yet broken down) and Djourou at 23 was showing himself to be one of the best young centre backs in the league.

In Squillaci we secured an experienced French international. Laurent Koscielny a bit of a risk – 24-years-old with just a single year of top flight football to his name.

However we could take that risk as we had Vermaalen in the squad.

Low-and-behold, Vermaalen broke down – playing just 5 games, and Squillaci failed to keep up with the pace of the game. This left us relying on Koscielny and Djoruou. The pair playing 80 games between them.

Now picture the scene.

Koscielny is out injured until 2019. Sokratis comes in and his Arsenal career replicates that of Squillaci. He flops.

We have sold Mustafi to make room for the new lad – lets say Soyuncu – and all of a sudden we are playing a 22 year old in his first season in England alongside Calum Chambers. And what happens if we get hit by the double wammy? That Soyuncu (or Pavard) also struggles?

At least with Mustafi, we know what we have. We might not be 100% sure on him, but he has been in England for 2 years, and would provide some sort of consistency.

And with Hector Bellerin, Mustafi, Sokratis and Saed Kolasinac not at the World Cup, they will get a full 8 weeks with Unai emery being coached, organised, and taught how to defend.

However, whilst watching France v Australia, and seeing Pavard play for the first team, a solution came to mind.

With both Pavard and Soyuncu being 22, they would not be getting signed for now, but also with one eye on the future – the next 8 – 10 years.

Last season Arsenal played 60 games. This season I imagine it will be similar.

That means there is plenty of game time to justify paying the money for a new, young centre back.

Instead of coming in to partner Sokratis, they will be coming in to compete with Mustafi to partner him.

They struggle to settle straight away, it means the senior partnership of Mustafi and Sokratis starts. If they come in and fly, it would mean that Mustafi is relegate to that second choice.

But this would still leave us with 7 centre backs for 2 positions.

We can write off Koscielny. January 2019 is the earliest he will be back to fitness. And that is if there are no complications with his Achilles injury. It would not be too much of a surprise to me if we never see him in an Arsenal shirt again – with his contract expiring in 2020.

That means we still need to shed one. Either Chambers, Holding or Mavropanos.

Reports are that Fulham are interested in Calum Chambers, with prices mooted about of £20m.

Watching Pavard play, out of position at right back, he certainly looks like an upgrade on the Englishman. Soyuncu is as well.

By trading in Chambers for £20m, and signing one of the others for £35m seems like a good deal. An additional £15m spent on a better player.

We would then have Mustafi and Sokratis as first choice centre backs, and Soyuncu / Pavard alongside Rob Holding as the second string players, getting game time in the League Cup and Europa League.

A lot of people will now be moaning about Mavropanos.

Let’s remember he is still just 20-years-old and people calling for him to be considered after just 3 games need to give him the chance.

I would rather Mavropanos remain in and around the squad for the first 6 months, giving us a 5th centre back option. Then if Koscielny does return in 2019, Mavropanos perhaps go’s out on loan for the rest of the season.

That will then leave us with 5 options going into 2019/21.

Sokratis (who will then be 31), Soyuncu / Pavard (23), Mustafi (27), Holding (23) & Mavropanos (21)

A decision could then be made next summer on the future of Mustafi.

If he steps up to the plate and improves alongside a consistent leader like Sokratis, he stays. If he shows himself adequate enough (and is happy being) 3rd choice centre back, that is fine as well.

If he fails to improve, and Arsenal decide to cash in, they at least then know about Sokratis and the new guy, and if one hasn’t fully settled, look to buy another centre back next summer.

Whilst I am still not comfortable someone coming in this summer to replace Mustafi in the summer, I am certainly not against bringing in someone who will bridge the skills gap between Holding / Chambers / Mavropanos and Sokratis, even if that means that one of the 3 youngsters ends up making way.

Keenos