Tag Archives: She Wore

Arsenal lose £200m due to poor player sales

In recent weeks, one thing that has come to mind more often than not when discussing Arsenal finances is how we have criminally undersold players.

There has been a lot of talk about how Stan Kroenke needs to invest in the team – pumping in his own money. Many people are pointing to Liverpool, claiming that they have owners who are bank rolling the club to success.

This is completely fictional. The Liverpool owners are no different to Stan Kroenke. They believe in a self-sufficient model, making the money that the side brings in available for transfers.

The four main sources of income for all clubs are TV revenue, gate receipts, commercial revenue and player sales.

Due to the expansion of their new stadium, Liverpool’s match day revenue would have closed up on Arsenal. Arsenal’s lack of Champions League football would also mean that the TV figure is reversed. Ultimately, over the last 18 months, Liverpool and Arsenal have bought in similar revenue.

So how have Liverpool bank rolled the signings of the likes of Virgil van Dijk and Alisson?

The simple answer is through buying and selling well.

Over the last 5 years, Liverpool have spent nearly £200m more than Arsenal. the total expenditure of both clubs is:

Liverpool: £633m
Arsenal: £434m

It is the net spend which is interesting though, as Arsenal have actually outspent Liverpool:

Arsenal: £255m
Liverpool: £211m

The high spend for Liverpool has been driven by player sales – they have raised £422m over the last 5 years. This is against Arsenal who have raised just £179m.

Liverpool have sold very well. But Arsenal have also sold very poorly.

Selling poorly is not a new thing for Arsenal. It has been going on for over a decade.

Think back to Partick Vieira. We only received £13,700,000 for the club captain when selling him to Juventus. A year later we sold Thierry Henry to Barcelona for just £16,100,000.

We allowed both player to enter the last year of their contract. Both were sold a year too late, reducing their transfer fees from close to £40m to less than £20m.

Then you have Robin van Persie. The Premier League top scorer sold for just £22,000,000 to Manchester United. Again, he was 12 months away from his contract running out.

We then have the likes of Wojciech Szczęsny and Serge Gnabry. We got less than £15,000,000 combined for the pair. Like those before them, both were allowed to leave on the cheap due to their contract situation. Had they not had 12 months left on their contract, we probably could have commanded closer to £50million for the pair (Szczęsny £30m; Gnabry £20m).

We then have even more recent deals.

The club lost Jack Wilshere on a free transfer and are set to lose Aaron Ramsey on the same. We also had to let Alexis Sanchez go to Manchester United last January.

Wilshere, Ramsey and Sanchez gone, and all we got in exchange was Henrikh Mkhitaryan.

That trio is around £100m worth of talent. Lost had they been sold a year earlier. Add in Danny Welbeck and you are talking about over £100m in players over a 12 month period.

There are two main issues the club face. and need to change.

The first is the wage bill.

The total that we spend on wages is not to dissimilar to Liverpool – they spend £210m a year on wage; Arsenal £199m.

Arsenal have the 5th highest wage bill in the league, so reducing it is not really up for discussion if we want to compete.

The problem Arsenal have is that over the last 5-or-so years we have given some very average players a high salary.

Arsene Wenger and Ivan Gazidis had a fairly socialist outlook when it came to the wage bill. They believed that the lowest and highest earners should not differ by too much.

This led to us underpaying the top players (prior to Mesut Ozil) and overpaying poor players – the likes of Carl Jenkinson on £45,000 a week.

This mean that when it came to selling the likes of Lucas Perez, Kieran Gibbs and Francis Coquelin, we were not able to command big transfer fees.

Those players did not want to take a wage drop (for obvious reasons) when leaving the club. This results in the buying club offering Arsenal less in transfer fees so that they can cover the cost of higher wages.

If Arsenal are going to compete again, they need to start making more money from player sales. This can only be done if we have better control over the wage bill.

The second factor is we have let too many players enter the last year of their contract.

From van Persie to Ramsey, allowing a player to enter his last 12 months either means we have to take a reduced fee (in van Persie’s case) or no fee at all (Ramsey, Welbeck, Wilshere).

Poor player sales has cost us big in the last 5 years.

Gnabry, Sanchez, Szczęsny, Wilshere, Welbeck and Ramsey have all left (or are set to leave) the club. Between them we have received less than £15million and Mkhitaryan.

Close to £200m has walked out of the door.

Had we sold a year earlier, got a market-rate transfer fee, we could have gone out and bought Virgil van Dijk, Alisson and Mo Salah.

We did not sell a year earlier, and it has led to an underfunded squad.

It is clearly not good enough.

Back in October Raul Sanllehi spoke about the situation:

“In general, I do believe that a player’s contract should never go to the last year, as a policy,” said Sanllehi in a wide-ranging interview with the Sunday Telegraph. “But I don’t think I am inventing the wheel. Anybody could agree on that. Normally, the contracts of the players are for five years. You need to have a clear idea of what you want to do with that player when he is in the third year, at the latest.”

It is clear that Arsenal are changing, but the damage in the short term has already been done. A lot of these contracts, a lot of the deals, were prior to Sven Mislintat and Raul Sanllehi coming in. But it is time to draw a line in the sand.

We have seen the likes of Bernd Leno and Lucas Torreira come in on fairly low wages. Matteo Guendouzi is reportedly only on £15,000 a week.

It will take a while for Arsenal to turnover the playing staff. We need to cut our losses on the likes of Jenkinson, Welbeck and Petr Cech, and replace them with cheaper, better options.

Moving forward I back Mislintat and Sanllehi to sort out the state of our squad – to stop losing players on the cheap or for free. To sell high and reinvest.

Like Liverpool selling Coutinho and Saurez, we might have to sell a star player or two – the likes of Lucas Torriera – to fund further transfers. To reinvest again.

Poor transfer dealings have led to Arsenal losing up to £200m in revenue over the last 5 years. The past is the past and there is no point dwelling on the mistakes made too much.

Back the new management team to get things right.

Keenos

The substitution that changed the world

As Alexandre Lacazette’s number appeared in the board, boos filled the air in North London as Arsenal fans showed their disapproval of the decision.

The decision by Unai Emery to take off the Frenchman for Aaron Ramsey was not a popular one. Fans felts Lacazette was still contributing. Far more than Alex Iwobi or Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

They had been influenced by the media – who had highlighted how often Lacazette gets taken off. They felt it was unfair. That he should finish 90 minutes. The frustration was that he was also the first man to be hooked off.

What the emotional response highlighted was why fans are fans and the manager is in the dugout.

A football manager can not let his emotions, the crowd around him, or the media affect his decision making.

Emery felt Lacazette for Ramsey was the right decision; and Arsenal took the game from 2-1 to 4-1 with Ramsey scoring the 3rd. Aubameyang – who many felt should have been the man to be taken off – scored the 4th.

When the substitution was made, the chap next to me muttered “why are we going negative and defensive”. That comment really summed up the lack of understanding of fans. Ramsey has never been a negative, defensive substation.

Emery fully explained the logic of the change:

“Tactically we thought in that moment we needed to change for more balance. Above all we know Fulham midfielder Jean Michael Seri is coming on and we need a player close to him, not to let him play easily with the ball.

“Ramsey can do that and also help us in attack, and he scored. The reason is this. I need to do my work. And not maybe because every supporter can have a different opinion, tactically.”

By bringing on Ramsey, it meant a formation switch from 433 to 4321.

Ramsey could both press high onto Seri whilst still maintaining an attacking threat. A negative substation would have been bringing Mo Elneny on rather than Ramsey.

Some fans have also moaned that it should have been Iwobi or Aubameyang to come off rather than Lacazette. Again, there are logical reasons why they remained on the pitch.

Emery went to 4321 with Iwobi and Ramsey in behind Aubameyang. Lacazette can not play behind a striker. It is not his game. Neither can Aubameyang. So if you want to switch to that formation, Iwobi must stay on.

There is also logic behind keeping Aubameyang on ahead of Lacazette and it is all about speed.

Aubameyang is quicker than Lacazette. If the game is tight and the opponents are coming on to you, you need to be able to counter punch. Aubameyang on the counter attack ensured that if Arsenal didn’t get that quick 3rd from Ramsey, they would have a threat up top. They would be able to hit Fulham on the break.

It used to infuriate me back in the day when Theo Walcott was taken off when Arsenal had a one goal lead. You want to keep your quickest forward on as the likelihood is the 2 goal lead will come from a break.

Aubameyang moved into the middle, was then a threat with the ball over the top and Ramsey and Iwobi presses high behind him disrupting Fulham’s passing.

Ramsey scored the 3rd. Aubameyang the 4th. Emery’s decision justified.

But still last night, after seeing their side win 4-1, some fans were still moaning about the substitution.

Keenos

Match Report: Arsenal 4 – 1 Fulham

Arsenal (1) 4 Fulham (0) 1
Premier League
Emirates Stadium, Drayton Park, London N5 1BU
Tuesday, 1st January 2019. Kick-off time: 3.00pm

(4-2-3-1) Leno; Sokratis, Koscielny, Mustafi, Maitland-Niles; Guendouzi, Xhaka; Kolašinac, Iwobi, Aubameyang; Lacazette.
Substitutes: Čech, Elneny, Ramsey, Torreira, Lichtsteiner, Nketiah, Saka.
Scorers: Xhaka, Lacazette, Ramsey, Aubameyang
Referee: Graham Scott
Attendance: 59,887

After the debacle of the match at Anfield three days ago, a win today is imperative; nothing less will do. Hopefully Mr. Emery will have used the time wisely to speak to the players and stress to them that their performance in the last match is not acceptable for a club such as Arsenal – it is now obvious that the funds must be made available for the January transfer window in order to bring new blood into the club, and quickly too. Thirty days and counting.

Unfortunately Mesut Özil is missing from the squad today, due to a knee injury; it would be interesting to see how he would perform against Fulham, who at the moment look like relegation candidates, but he joins the ever-growing injury list that includes Nacho Monreal, Rob Holding, Henrikh Mkhitaryan and Danny Welbeck. By taking a quick glance at the line-up today, it is indeed rare that both Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette take their respective places at the very start of the match, but desperate measures lead to a different throw of the dice somehow. We started the match quite nervously, but under the circumstnaces, it it to be understood these days. Ryan Sessegnon (for the visitors) came dangerously close to opening the scoring, but all doubts and nerves were dispelled on the 25th minute, when Granit Xhaka opened our account with a well-taken finish after some great work by Alex Iwobi, who is continually evolving into a fine professional footballer. What a difference a goal makes! Unlike the match at Anfield, we not only opened the scoring, but today we were determined to hold on to it as well. Our first half play was confident, and before the break, Granit Xhaka almost grabbed his second goal of the day, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette also coming close to scoring as the minutes of the first half ebbed away.

Shkodran Mustafi was substituted for Lucas Torreira, and so the second half began again in earnest. Arsenal’s pressure was impressive, and as such they were rewarded with a goal ten minutes after the restart. Again, young Alex Iwobi was involved, and after some clever inter-play between Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Sead Kolašinac, Alexandre Lacazette moved into position and ensured that the ball found the back of the net. Amazingly, after referee Graham Scott denied a clear-cut penalty for the home side when Alexandre Lacazette was brought down inside the 18-yard box, Fulham counter-attacked and were indeed fortunate to grab one back when Aboubakar Kamara scored for the visitors. With fifteen minutes left on the clock, Alexandre Lacazette was substituted for Aaron Ramsey and within minutes had scored the third of the day after a shot from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang had hit the post, but fortunately Aaron Ramsey capitalised on the rebound. Of course by now we were in total command, and as soon as Alex Iwobi was substituted for Bukayo Saka, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored his 14th goal of the season, having collected an inch-perfect pass from Sokratis. Three points won, fifth place in the table attained, all in all a good New Year’s Day for everyone associated with the club.

Okay, we got three points, but there were some pretty hairy moments along the way, particularly in the first half. The defence still looks wobbly and Mr. Emery desperately needs top class players to shore up the noticeable gaps at the back; since Rob Holding has been absent with his long-term injury, the defence is extremely porous indeed. Still, January is now here and let’s hope beyond hope that we can sign new players  at some point in the next thirty days. Remember everyone, keep the faith, get behind the team and the manager, as these early days are going to be crucial for our future success in all competitions. Stick with the winners. Victoria Concordia Crescit.

Steve

Too Dearly Loved To Be Forgotten: Arsenal v Racing Club de Paris 1930-1962 by Steve Ingless (Rangemore Publications, ISBN 978-1-5272-0135-4) is now available on Amazon.