Tag Archives: Unai Emery

So just what is going on at Arsenal?

Yesterday Unai Emery confirmed what we all knew. That Arsenal were primarily looking to complete loan deals in January.

The club do have money to spend on players, but it has to be the right players. Not a stop gap. Not a risk. But someone who Sven Mislintat and his team recommend as the right player, a long term option.

If this player is not available in January, it is important that we do not panic buy. Waste money on someone who no one really wants. A new player is for life, not just for January.

Clearly Mislintat, alongside Raul Sanllehi and Unai Emery have decided that the right players are not available. Hence the focus on loan deals.

We all know the club is not floating in money. We don’t have the sugar daddy of Manchester City or the commercial revenue of Manchester United. Liverpool have out bought us over the last 5 years due to some fantastic sales – even though it is Arsenal with the higher net spend.

The restrictions at the club at the moment are not due to the new guys, or even Stan Kroenke. It is due to what has happened before.

For the last 4 or 5 years, the club has been poorly run by Ivan Gazidis; assisted by Arsene Wenger. If Kroenke is guilty of anything, it is not getting rid of the pair years ago.

Go back to the summer of 2015 when we only bought Petr Cech.

The financial pressure from the stadium loan had been partly lifted due to refinancing. We had money to spend, and failed to spend any on an outfield player. It was a catastrophic summer. It not only cost us the league title that year, but has caused us damage that we are suffering now.

4 years on we are paying for the price.

Had we actually signed what we needed to that summer, they would be coming to the end of their 4 year deals this. Their transfer fees would no longer be amortised in the accounts, freeing up further budget to buy players.

Due to the lack of transfer activity that summer, very little will be falling off the accounts, available to spend this summer. Just the couple of millions for Cech. And we are still paying for players that we had to overspend on a year later due to this fiasco.

This will be propped up by Danny Welbeck’s transfer fee no longer being amortised (he signed a 5 year deal in 2014). It is incredible that that summer has cost us so much.

We then have the poor commercial deals by Gazidis.

Whilst he shouted about record deals” the truth was that a high tide rises all ships.

Arsenal were getting more money, from Puma, from Emirates. But the teams behind us (Chelsea and Liverpool) were closing the gap with every new deal. And Manchester United we’re pulling away with every new deal. This has cost us key commercial revenue.

Since 2009, Arsenal’s commercial revenue has risen by 88%. Liverpool, Manchester United and Chelsea have all increased theirs by over 100%

Then we have player sales.

My estimation is that Arsenal have missed out on over £200n in transfer fees due to poor player sales over recent years.

Liverpool have spent more than £200m on players than Arsenal in the last 5 years. Yet Arsenal have a net spend £50m higher. The Scousers have been better at selling – bringing in over £250m than Arsenal.

This figure is even more incredible when you consider how much they spent on Allison and Virgil van Dijk in the last 12 months.

We all knew that Arsenal had been run poorly over the last half a decade, and it is only becoming clear now just how poorly that was.

Sanllehi is not yet 12 months at the club, and barely 6 months in his new role. Mislintat has been here just over a year. It will take these guys time to fix us. They need to be given that time and our support.

Over the summer I held a simple opinion. That it would take 6 transfer windows from when Mislintat took over to change Arsenal. We have had 2 so far.

In the two we bought in some top signings.

Aubameyang. Torreira, Leno, Sokratis, Mkhitaryan, Guendouzi & Mavropanos.

This summer we will hopefully see a new left back, central defender and winger join the squad. Arsenal could have over £100m to spend, depending on player sales.

That will be 10 new players. 40% of the squad turned over in 18 months.

And it is not just about buying players. It is about selling.

Ramsey, Cech and Welbeck will all leave on a free transfer. Add in Lichsteiner and that is nearly £20m freed up.

Over the last 12 months we have seen Giroud, Walcott, Debuchy & Coquelin also leave. As well as Cazorla, Wilshere, Meetesacker, Perez and Campbell.

Add in Sanchez and that is 13 senior players sold in 3 transfer windows. Over 50% of Arsene Wenger’s 25 man squad.

That should highlight to you all how big a challenge it is at Arsenal. We have had a 50% turn around in playing staff, and are only 1/3 of the way through doing what we need to do.

A line in the sand has to be drawn. Let’s not blame what is happening now on those currently at the club. It is the fault of those who left.

Raul and Sven are having to undo a lot of poor work. They have pretty much having to rebuild the entire squad. The entire club.

I am positive about the future at Arsenal. It feels like some fans have now finally realised what a hole we were in.

Back the new lads.

Keenos

Half-way through: How is Unai Emery performing?

19 games in; we are half way through the season. Won 11, drawn 5, lost 3. So how is Unai Emery getting on?

“Very well” is my simple answer.

He has come in for some criticism in recent weeks after a couple of poor displays, but this is from fans who forget that this is a rebuilding season. We surely weren’t expecting him to build a title winning side in 6 months?

A 58% win ratio in the league is not to be sniffed at. It is the first 6 months of the new era.

There has been some brilliance. The 22 game unbeaten run. Some fabulous goals and attacking football.

There have also been some disappointments. The home game v Wolves. The away games against Southampton and Brighton. But in a rebuilding phase, you have to expect some poor results. Just look at Chelsea.

At times Emery has looked a bit muddled. A lot of chopping and changing.

It feels he does not know what his strongest XI is; or what formation he wants to play.

We have seen 433, 4231, 343, 3412 and 4222 this season. He is clearly a man still trying to work things out.

Emery was not helped by pre-season. Missing half his first team who were at the World Cup hampered the progress.

Injuries have then caused him to chop and change. Mainly injuries at the back.

The only time Emery was able to consistently play the same back 4 saw a huge chunk of that unbeaten run happen. Consistency is important at the back and Emery has not been able to have it.

We have played 11 different players in defence this season in a multitude of combinations. You build a team based on a solid foundation and Arsenal have not had that solid foundation this season.

I actually feel the defensive problems has caused Emery to become a little bit negative.

He realises that we are conceding too many, so make the decision the play Lucas Torreira, Granit Xhaka and Matteo Guendouzi against Brighton – hoping that they would give the side more defensive cover.

Against Liverpool maybe he should go the other way? Go all out attack. See if we can outscore the Premier league leaders.

Liverpool doing well is actually a positive for Arsenal.

Yes, if they win the league we will see the media go OTT, that Liverpool fan in the office who never go’s celebrating, and it will be annoying. But what it will show is that with good coaching, staying loyal to that coach, and good recruitment, you can build a title challenging team.

That is what Arsenal and the fans need to keep an eye on.

Jurgen Klopp finished 8th in his first season. Before this year, Liverpool’s highest finish under him was 4th. He has yet to win a trophy. But they trusted he was the right man.

It took him 3 seasons to build this team. Emery has had 6 months.

If we finish 4th this season – and 4th must be his minimum target – we will be ahead of where Liverpool were when they invested in Klopp.

Between now and the end of the season we will fail to win games we should win. Emery may continue the battle to find his strongest XI. But that is part of rebuilding.

It is going to take about 6 transfer windows and another £350m to fix our squad.

One reason Emery is struggling is there are so few players in the squad that he trusts. That he believes are the right quality. That will change.

We have already had 2 transfer windows since Sven Mislintat became Head of Recruitment.

In the time we have seen the club sign the likes of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Lucas Torreira, Berd Leno, Sokratis and Matteo Guendouzi. All have been fabulous signings.

If we sign similar level players over the next 2 transfer windows, that will be 40% of the squad turned over in 18 months. Emery needs that support.

In the second half of the season we have the Europa League, FA Cup and chasing Chelsea for 4th to look forward too.

Like when building the Shard, you will not see an instant change to London’s skyline. That does not mean work is not happening.

You have the enabling works and the groundwork’s. You can only see these up close. They are the beginning of a building project. And then the foundations go in. Without good foundations the building will collapse.

Arsenal is a bit like that at the moment. We might not see the huge change want straight away, but there is plenty changing.

Emery has got the players fitter, installed a team spirit not seen in a decade. Now he just needs to sort out the foundations of the team. The defence.

I would grade Emery’s first 6 months at Arsenal as an A- Most agreed that a good season would be a return to the top 4. 3rd place would have been an exceptional but realistic finish.

We are in a battle with Chelsea for 4th. We get that and it will be a solid A at the end of the season. Finish 5th and it is a B.

Keenos

Unai Emery leads 46% improvement in The Arsenal

Arsene Wenger announced he was leaving Arsenal on the 20th April 2018. This after a run that saw Arsenal win just 7 of their previous 19 Premier League games.

During that period, Arsenal’s full league record was:

P 19

W 7

D 5

L 7

Pts 26

It was the horrendous run that led the Arsenal board (wether it be Ivan Gazidis, Raul Sanllehi or the Kroenke’s) to decide enough was enough and that Wenger was to leave at the end of the season.

At the time of the announcement, Arsenal had averaged 1.36 points a game and fallen out of contention in the race for the Champions League. We were more worried that Burnley might pip us to 6th place.

Unai Emery has now managed Arsenal for his first half of a season. We are exactly 19 games into the new era.

Emery’s record in the first 19 games reads:

P 19

W 11

D 5

L 3

Pts 38

That is exactly 2 points per game. Or a 46% improvement on the 19 games before Wenger announced he was leaving.

Even if you take these statistics back to Wenger’s last 19 league games – to include the last 5 games of the season – Emery has led the team to 33% more points.

https://twitter.com/keenosafc/status/1078309681938997254?s=21

Anyone that denies that we have improved, and are improving, is clearly either deluded or agenda driven.

Arsenal are currently on course to get 76 points. Last year Tottenham finished 3rd with 77 points. Liverpool 4th with 75 points

We finished 6th with 63 points. Emery has clearly improved us from the 2nd half of last season.

It may not be a big an improvement some had hoped for; and it perhaps highlights just how far we had fallen under Wenger, but we are clearly recovering.

From finishing 37 points behind Manchester City and well off the pace for the race for 4th, we now sit just 6 points behind the big spenders, and just 2 points off 4th.

There is still plenty of room for improvement, but as Liverpool are

showing; it is important to keep the faith if you believe you have recruited the right manager.

Unai Emery is the right manager.

Keenos

https://twitter.com/shewore/status/1076795874225909760?s=21