Premier League football is back – 9 weekend predictions

None of the Arsenal players due to return from injury after the international break to actually return from injury. An update will come out ruling most out until the New Year.UntitledAlexis Sanchez to play and get injured. Arsene Wenger blames Chile for their mismanagement of him, questioning why he had to play in a key qualifier.Untitled

Unemployed fitness coach Raymond Verheijen will tweet about yet another Arsenal muscle injury. He will criticise Wenger, praising Manchester City (despite Delph being injured, again) and praise Manchester United (despite them having more injuries then us). He has a new book to sell.cid164630_VerheijdenVI02_1180Olivier Giroud will score. He will run over to the bench, hug Laurent Koscileny, and hold up the Tricolore.Untitled

Arsene Wenger will be wearing his coat. He still won’t be able to do up his zip.

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Spurs will win, proving their title credentials. The win will take them from their current position of 5th to 5th.715b31a4-ce83-43ac-aacc-773ae3c96f83-medium

Dele Alli to score a wonder goal, which justifies the presses recent praise of him. In 3 years time people will still be going on about THAT performance for England, even if he falls out of favour at Spurs after an argument with the physio._86502105_andros_townsend_rex

Diego Costa will cheat. Or stamp on someone. Everyone will agree, he is that type of player. Even his team mates.4221396001_4499029144001_cheat

Kieron Dyer will pull a hamstring muscle in the jungle. Raymond Verheijen will blame Arsene Wenger.Kieron-Dyer-MainKeenos

Debunking the myths of Arsenal v Spurs

Yes, I know the game was a few days ago now, and most people have since got over it and are looking forward to the pointless internationals this weekend (unless you are a plastic Paddy), but something has been bugging me for some time, and i have finally cracked.

After the weekends draw, the press seem to be spinning the game. The hyperboil of Tottenham’s performance has gone into over drive. To such an extent that they the amount of myths surrounding the game are piling up. It is time to bring some perspective.

Spurs dominated the North London Derby

Every paper screamed out the same headline. Arsenal got lucky. Spurs were the better side. They played Arsenal off the park. They dominated the match.

Tell me then, how a team can dominate the game by having just 45% possession? That is not exactly dominating.

Spurs had more shots – 14 to Arsenal’s 10 – but both had 4 on target. And as for chances, well Spurs had two. The Harry Kane goal and the header that Cech saved.  Arsenal had the better chances throughout the game – the goal, the Giroud miss, hit the woodwork, 2 late chances.

5 of Spurs 14 shots were from outside of the box. Against just 1 of Arsenal’s.

The way the press and Spurs fans have gone on, you would think Arsenal were backs to the wall for 89 minutes and snatched a winner. Not that by the end of the game it only looked like there would be one winner.

Yes, Spurs had the best of the first 30 minutes. I will happily admit that. They had 5 shots to Arsenal’s 0. The 15 minutes after their goal was even. And after half time it was all Arsenal.

Arsenal had more possession and completed 70 more passes.

A game lasts 90 minutes, not 31. Over the 90 minutes, it was a even game with a draw being the right result.

Considering our late chances, perhaps a fairer headline would have been Spurs hang on to draw North London Derby.

Dele Alli

I like Dele Alli. I rated him at MK Dons, and it is no surprise that he has taken to top flight football so easy. He is a talent. A talent I wanted Arsenal to sign.

But the way the press has gone on about his performance is typical. Hyping up a young English player for what was an average performance. It is a joke.

“It has been a long time since I’ve seen a 19-year-old kid totally dominate a top-flight match”.

That is how one pundit described the performance.

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Them statistics bring a lot of things into perspective.

If Ozil, or any Arsenal central midfielder, came out of a game with just a 67% pass completion and made just one tackle, everyone would be in their right mind to have a go at their performance. It would be unacceptable. It would be below par. Alli only completed 18 passes in the game. It is shocking statistics for a midfielder. Certainly not the type you would expect to win man of the match for.

Mesut Ozil is a world class performer, and he ran the game on Saturday once Arsenal got into their stride. It is perhaps unfair to compare young Alli to that sort of talent.

So instead, let’s compare him to Santi Cazorla.

The diminutive Spaniard had a torrid first half and was substituted at half time complaining of sickness and dizziness. He was off the pace big time.

In 45 minutes of shocking football, Cazorla completed 24 passes and made 1 tackle. That is more than what MOTM Dele Alli did in 82 minutes!

Alli’s passing statistics were only marginally better than Mathieu  Flamini. Also only on the field for 45 minutes. And not exactly know for his play making ability. With flamini winning 2 more tackles than Alli, surely it should have been him that the press were harping on about, and not Alli?

Alli was not even Spurs best midfielder. Christian Erikson,  Mousa Dembele and Eric Dier all had better games.

When you put it all together, Alli was the worst midfielder to start the game. He completed the least passes, at the lowest success rate. Made the least tackles. Did not create a chance. Had 1 shot. Blocked no shots. And made just 2 interceptions. In hindsight, he was useless.

But of course, he is English. The press loved him. The Spurs fans loved him. And it is that which marks a very poor performance.

Good player, but he was exposed at the weekend as not yet being good enough.

Arsenal need to show more aggression

An article by Spurs fan and former professional footballer Dave Kitson The Secret Football has really got my goat up. It is actually what pushed me over the edge to write this blog.er

In the article, on his own website (he no longer seems to be syndicated by The Guardian); he says that Arsenal lost drew the game as Spurs showed more aggression. And it is aggression that will let Arsenal down this season.

Now to some extent, I do agree. Arsenal have lacked for some years a dominating central midfielder in the Patrick Vieira role. A best of a player who can crush players defensively and drive the team forward with pace and power.

However, Francis Coquelin has come in and is filling that role. He might not have the physique of Vieira, but he is an aggressive little bugger. You do not need to be a man mountain to be aggressive.

Now about the weekend game, did Arsenal lose because they were not aggressive enough?

Clearly not.

The Secret Footballer tries to educate us on what aggression in football is:

“It’s when you play your passes more firmly, go shoulder to shoulder with a player and refuse to be beaten. It’s when you hit your shots harder, punch the ball with authority, win the 50-50 headers, don’t jump out of 50-50 block tackles, close opposition players down with meaning, not a half-hearted jog towards the ball… Arsenal did none of those things”

This makes me start to doubt if he watched the game.

70 more passes
88% more tackles
1 less interception
2 less blocked shots

So Arsenal failed were Spurs succeeded? Even though the statistics say otherwise?

The only ‘aggressive’ statistic where Spurs dominated was in the fouls category. They cheated more than Arsenal. Good job!

After describing to us what aggression is, he then go’s on to say that “Tottenham did all of those things and none more so than Lamela, Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli.”

I start to wonder if he actually watched the game.

Arsenal’s midfield trio out passed and out tackled, and also out ran the 3 he mentions.

It kind of makes you wonder, was The Secret Footballer attempting to make a sensible commentary on the game, or was he just making up an article in the hope of getting hits?

Perhaps it sums him up that it was him who provided me with the aforementioned quote about Alli dominating the game.

Dave, your first book was brilliant. The next 3 were awful. I thin kit is time to give up your journalistic career.

#PowerShift

So we come to the end of the analysis. The last myth to be debunked. The talk of the town that a 1-1 draw is proof that the power in North London is finally shifting.

It isn’t.

I was bored on Monday. And hungover. I decided to have a search through twitter. 2010 was the first time that the words “Spurs” & “Power Shift” were found together in a tweet. It must be the worlds slowest power shit.

Spurs have not won the league in 54 years. FACT.
Spurs have not won the FA Cup in 24 years. FACT.
Spurs have not finished above Arsenal in 20 years. FACT.

It will take a lot more than 1-1 draw for their to be a power shift. You do not overturn 50 years of dominance overnight. At some point Spurs will finish above Arsenal. It might not be in any of our life times. But even 1 season will not signify a power shift.

Over recent years, Man City have finished above Man Utd. Celtic above Rangers. Inter above AC. Everton above Liverpool. Atletico above Madrid. Torino above Juventus. I would be very surprised if there is an example of the smaller club not finishing above their bigger rival for longer than Spurs have failed to finish above Arsenal.

A brief look shows that in major clubs, in major league, it is only Espanyol’s struggles against Barcelona which out do Spurs failures to finish above Arsenal.

Yes, the gape has closed from the early 00’s to the early 10’s, but in that time Arsenal were severely restricted financially with the building of the new stadium.

Spurs new stadium still seems to be a year or so off. How far behind Arsenal will they end up?

A 1-1 draw being proof of a shift of power…it is almost as ludicrous as saying signing Soldado is proof, or signing Lamela, or signing Willian. Spurs fans have said all of this.

Spurs are 5 points behind Arsenal. There is not a power shift. Pipe down.

The media have written lies this week. Spurs fans have eaten up the lies. Some Arsenal fans even think they are true. But they are no more than lies made up by the Spurs loving media.

What sums it up is both clubs ambition.

Arsenal fans are talking about Top 1. Spurs fans about Top 4.

There has been no power shift.

Keenos

hats scarves

Gooner hats and Cashmere scarves

FA reject Arsenal’s FA Cup Final Proposal

It is not often we praise the club for sticking up for the rights of fans and doing the right thing. It is probably because the club almost never does it. More than happy to toe the Premier League / FA line and hide behind the ‘our hands are tied, it’s not our decision’ excuse. But over the last few months, the club has been fighting for fans rights. And today it has been rejected by the FA.

After back to back FA Cups where thousands of season ticket holders were unable to obtain tickets, the club petitioned the FA to make more available.

As it currently stands, each side in the final gets 23,000 tickets. The other 45,000 are set aside for Club Wembley holders (basically Wembley season ticket holders who get a ticket for every event). Also every club who entered the FA Cup gets tickets, as well as referees, sponsors and county football officials. Tickets to the so called ‘football family’.

Over the years, it is clear that the majority of the tickets for the football family end up being touted on twitter & Facebook. Last year we saw 18 year old girls with no interest in football selling pairs of tickets asking for over £1,000 for them. How did they get these tickets? Are they really members of the football family? Clearly they had been given them by a family member and have decided to fund their holiday to Ibiza by screwing football fans. It is not right.

It should not be hard for the FA to track down who supplied these tickets. And they should then punish whoever handed them over by ensuring they or their club never get tickets for the FA Cup Final again. But the FA choose not too.

Anyway, this morning we wake to some disappointing news.

Despite the campaigning by Arsenal, and backing by many other clubs, the proposal to get more tickets to real fans has been rejected by National Game (the amateur arm of the FA) directors on the FA board.

23,000 tickets go to the football family. Distributed by the National Game. According to their own study, 10% of these tickets were returned for the 2015 final. 25% of the FA councillor’s personal allocation was also handed back.

Whether these tickets were handed back by people as they wanted tickets to be redistributed to the clubs at the final, or whether it is because they just could not be bothered to go / sell their tickets online, it is clear that too many tickets go to non-supporters of the clubs in the final, only to end up in the hands of supporters at higher prices.

It is disappointing that peoples own greed have got in the way of getting a better deal for real fans. The game is screwed from the top down. It is clear that no one, from clubs to the authorities really care about the game. They care about what they can get out of the game.

An Arsenal spokesman said: “Whether or not we reach the FA Cup final, we feel strongly that as many supporters as possible of the two teams should enjoy the big day.”

In 2016, if Arsenal do not make the final, I would like to see us hand the tickets over that we get for the final to the clubs who have made the final. We need to do the right thing, even if those around us are not.

Keenos

hats scarves