Tag Archives: Manchester City

Arsenal need to spend big – but not waste money like Man City

For Arsenal, this summer is turning into a case of deja vu.

An early positive signing, followed by stalling on other targets caused by a lack of conviction or certainty. Meanwhile top players want to leave, or seemingly want to leave, and it all becomes a big spiral of negativity.

Whilst I am one of the first to shout “spend some f**king money” and become as frustrated as any other Arsenal fan with our incompetence in the transfer market over the last decade or so, I am also a realist.

I want the money spent, but it must be spent on quality. Players who improve the first team. Players who are better than what we have.

Sead Kolasinac and Alexandre Lacazette certainly full into this category. As does Thomas Lemar of Monaco. But there have been some big money players we have been linked with that are just not worth our time. The likes of Alvaro Morata would not have been an improvement on Olivier Giroud. I would not touch Kylian Mbappe at the reported £120m. And for the tenth year in a row, we have been linked with William Carvalho.

I always feel that when it comes to the transfer market, some fans are more concerned with what we spend, rather than who we buy. And some clubs also follow this philosophy.

This summer, Manchester City are set to break the £200m mark in players signed.

Of that £200m+, over £130m is set to be spent on full backs. I look at who they have signed , and it just feels like a case of spending a lot of money, and not getting a single decent player for it.

Firstly in was Bernardo Silva for £42.5m. A good player, but seems like a lot of money who was not even the best attacking midfielder in his team.

Whilst Bernardo Silva might be a decent player, I look at Manchester City’s options out in the 3 positions in behind a lone striker.

They already have Kevin de Bruyne, David Silva, Leroy Sane, Raheem Sterling and Samir Nasri. Bernardo Silva is better than Nasri, but is he any better than the other 4? Probably not. The fact that he is their best signing, and best value signing, is worrying for what is to come.

We then come to their full backs. £133m on full backs. A crazy amount.

In has come in Kyle Walker. Do their scouts just play FIFA? Beast on there, inconsistent in real life. Can’t cross, can’t tackle, positionally awful. Let’s spend £50m on him.

It is like they did not learn their lesson from John Stones last season.

Then to back him up, they are have splashed £26m on Real Madrid flop Danilo. £76m on two right backs, who are not as good as Hector Bellerin. At 3 at the back, I would rather Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain ahead of them too.

When you think they had Pablo Zabeletta and Bacary Sagna last season, they have gone from two right backs who can defend, to two right backs who can not defend.

I do not see anyone at Tottenham or Madrid upset that they have lost their respective right backs. And that sums it all up.

At left back, they are set to sign Mendy for £52m. Another incredible fee.

Mendy is a decent player, but again, last season Manchester City had the choice between Gael Clichy and Alex Kolarov. Mendy feels like a step back. No where near as good as Clichy at his peak. It certainly stinks of desperation.

Meanwhile Arsenal signed the best left back in the Bundesliga in Sead Kolasinac. At £52m less than Mendy, and as a superior player, it is clear which side have got the better deal.

We then come to goal keeper Ederson. 12 months ago, no one knew who he was. A Brazilian goal keeper (who is uncapped by Brazil), who had only just been promoted from the Benfica B side.

12 months and with less than 40 league appearances in his gloves for Benfica, City splash £34m on him. Baffling when they spent big on Claudio Bravo last year, and are happy to loan out Joe Hart to West Ham.

Lastly we come to the £10m youth signing.

A bloke called Douglas Luiz from Vasco da Gama. A 19 year old midfielder. It shows how silly the transfer market is at the moment that some no mark who has barely played costs £10m. Has he even got a work permit?

It certainly feels this summer that Manchester City are spending a lot of money on some very average players. But of course, no one will comment, because they will look at the £200m spent, not what it has been spent on.

It is like spending £1m on a flat in Central London ,and ending up with a garage. You boast to your mates it’s worth £1m, but essential it is a load of crap.

Another side set to break through the £200m mark are newly rich AC Milan. And like Manchester City, I am baffled how they have managed to breach that figure with what they have signed.

Leonardo Bonucci is a world class defender, and Ricardo Rodriguez is a player I was desperate for Arsenal to sign last year. £50m on the pair of them combined is good dealings. But the rest of their signings are a little meh.

Fabio Borini, Mateo Musacchio, Andre Silva, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Przemysław Bargiel, Andrea Conti, Antonio Donnarumma, Lucas Biglia and Franck Kessié have all come in for around £130m between them.

£145m for a bunch of players who, at best, are squad players, second string. None would be good enough to start for Arsenal, let alone Juventus.

When you see media outlets describe Fabio Borini as “the naturally gifted Italian” you have to laugh, This bloke scored 7 goals in his last two years.

£400m spent between Manchester City and AC Milan. And if you combined the 16 players they have signed, you would struggle to build a squad that would finish mid-table.

I want Arsenal to spend, and spend big, but it must be big on the right players. Not chucking £133m at 3 full backs, or £145m at a bunch of squad players.

Keenos

Note: Before some say maybe if Arsenal spent like City, they would win things, in the last 3 years, Arsenal have won 2 FA Cups against Man City’s 1 League Cup, and gained just 2 less league points over that period. Of course, Arsenal do not win a trophy for gaining 2 less points than City over a 3 year period, but likewise City won nothing for it either.

Some Alexis Sanchez thoughts…

The Alexis Sanchez saga is set to be an epic, likely to roll on for the entire summer as he tries to get himself the best deal possible.

Sanchez wants to win trophies, but he also realises he is perhaps set to sign the last big contract of his career, so money and duration is equally as important. Here are a few of my thoughts.

If Arsenal get a big offer – we are talking £50m+ – from abroad, we would sell. There is no point keeping a player who does not want to stay at the club, especially someone as openly emotional as Alexis Sanchez. Even if Arsene Wenger does not want to sell hi, his hand could be forced by the board – £50m is a lot of money to turn away.

The two problems are:

  1. Will a side be willing to offer Arsenal £50m?
  2. Will a side offer Sanchez the terms he wants?

On the first point, in the current market, £50m would be a steal for one of the best attacking talents in the world. On paper (yes, I have been watching a lot of Love Island) it is a no brainer.

But then Sanchez is 29 in December. His game relies on him being dynamic. He relies a lot on pace and acceleration. As he gets older, these attributes diminish quickly.

Players who rely a lot on explosiveness deteriorate quickly – Freddie Ljungberg the perfect example.

Ljungberg was a limited football, but was lightening over 10 metres. This made him so dangerous. But as soon as he lost this lightening spring, he was done as a football.

Sanchez has more to his game than Ljungberg, but will still deteriorate when his pace and explosiveness go’s. Think Thierry Henry or Fernando Torres.

Whilst Sanchez is an extremely skilful player, he does not have attributes to play Number 10 once his legs go. He does not have the first touch, vision or passing to play in the most congested position on the field. You only have to see how often he gives the ball away – more than any other player in the Premier League – to realise he would struggle in behind a striker. He does not have the technique of a Dennis Bergkamp or Mesut Ozil. Even the likes of Juan Mata and Jack Wilshere would be better suited to the tight spaces behind a striker than Alexis Sanchez.

So for £50m, a side would be buying an ageing, explosively talented who, at any point, could fall off the cliff. It is why the likes of Bayern Munich are not interested. He is not as technically good as Arjen Robben or Frank Ribeiry. It is doubtful if he will be able to adjust his game sufficiently to still be an asset once his legs go.

Of course, over the next 4 years, his legs might not go. And anyway, the likes of Manchester City can easily afford to sign a player for £50, just to get 2 years out of him at the top level. Look at how much they have wasted over the years. The £100s of millions they have written off on players mot good enough.

Reports are (and they are just reports) that Manchester City are willing to pay Alexis Sanchez £300k and offer him a 3 year deal. This would protect Manchester City against the potential drop off that Sanchez might suffer as he passes 30.

Sanchez is apparently holding demanding a 4 year deal, remembering that it is his last

Alongside a £50m transfer fee, Manchester City’s 3 year deal for Alexis Sanchez would cost them £96,800,000 in total – £50m in transfer fees, £46,800,000 in wages. This would amount to 8.2% of Manchester City’s yearly turnover across the next 3 years.

Were Manchester City to bow down to Alexis Sanchez’s 4 year demand, his contract would be worth £62,400,000. A total of £112,400,000 across a 4 year period. Affordable to Manchester City, yes, but a big chunk of cash that they would have little to no chance of recouping in a sale.

Arsenal meanwhile have an ace up their sleeve when it comes to contract offers.

Without having to pay a transfer fee, Arsenal could potentially give Alexis Sanchez the 4 year deal he is demanding.

We Arsenal to offer Sanchez a 4 year deal at £250,000 a week, the total payment to Sanchez would be £52m. That is £5.2m more than Sanchez would earn over a 3 year deal playing for Manchester City.

This is where Sanchez has to think about the long term.

Over the first 3 years of the deal, he would earn more at Manchester City. But once that contract comes to an end, Sanchez would be 32 years old. Would he be able to secure a deal elsewhere on £100,000 a week? And what if his legs go completely? He certainly would not earn that returning to Chile. So he might be better off signing a deal at a lower wage with Arsenal which last longer, and over the period of his contract, earns him more.

It would also give Arsenal an opportunity to move Sanchez on after 2 (or 3) years if he does begin to deteriorate. In 2 years time, he would still be able to make a big money move to China. Another last contract and Arsenal would be able to get a bit of cash in.

Were Arsenal to offer Sanchez a 4 year deal at £250k a week, the total cost to the club (excluding tax) would be £52m. Arsenal would look to spend that much on a transfer fee alone to replace Sanchez. Add wages on top, replacing Sanchez would cost Arsenal in the region of £80-90m, and we would be getting in a player who is probably not as good, and probably more of an unknown.

If Sanchez turns down a decent offer for Arsenal, he knows where the door is. Arsenal are capable of offering Sanchez a decent contract, a decent length, and trophies (3 FA Cups in 4 years remember – City have won 1 League Cup in 3 years).

I also think that Sanchez staying or going has no bearing on Thomas Lemar joining.

Thomas Lemar is just 21 years old. You can easily rotate him, Sanchez and Ozil in a two behind the striker, keeping all 3 happy, whilst giving all 3 a rest when needed. And if we return to 3 behind a striker, he would start every single time.

It would also allow Lemar to develop at his own pace, and hide in the shadows behind Ozil and Sanchez in the short term, before taking over from one (or both) of them in a couple of years time when, still lat just 23 year old, he would potentially be on of the best players in the world.

And unlike Sanchez, Lemar has the technique to play Number 10.

So my final thought of the day. Offer Sanchez 4 years at £250k. Sign Lemar. If Sanchez rejects the deal, with have his replacement in place. If he accepts it, we have squad depth and could then flog Sanchez in 2/3 years knowing we have a player ready to step up and be world class.

Keenos

Bacary Sagna warning for Alexis Sanchez

1 July 2014: Bacary Sagna joins Manchester City on a free transfer, leaving Arsenal, declaring he wanted to compete for major honours

10 July 2014: Alexis Sanchez joins Arsenal from Barcelona for £31.7m

Back in 2014, Manchester City had just been crowned Champions of England. They made it a double (although not the real double) by also winning the League Cup.

2 league titles in 3 years, 4 trophies in 4 years, Sagna was leaving a side who had just ended its trophy duck with an FA Cup to join the most upwardly mobile team in England. His desire to finish his career with more trophies was justified.

Meanwhile, Alexis Sanchez had left a trophy-laden Barcelona to join an Arsenal side who had just won their first trophy in 9 years. For Sanchez it was not about money (Sagna’s deal was reported to be £150k a week), nor about winning trophies whilst sitting on the bench, he wanted to win things.

Role on 3 years, Sagna has left Manchester City on a free transfer, and it seems Alexis Sanchez is set to join Manchester City from Arsenal.

He will put out the same lines as Bacary Sagna, and others, that they are moving to win trophies. And that they feel at Manchester City is the best place for that to happen.

The thing is, as Bacary Sagna has shown, Manchester City is not a top club where trophies flow easily.

In the 3 years at Manchester City, Bacary Sagna won just ONE LEAGUE CUP.

Had he stayed at Arsenal, he would have won another TWO FA Cups. That is what Sanchez has won in his 3 years at Arsenal.

Sagna left to win more trophies, but would have actually won more had he stayed, and that is the warning for Alexis Sanchez.

When Alexis left Barcelona, it was due to game time. If he leaves Arsenal for Manchester City, he will walk into the team.

But with the likes of Sergio Aguero, Gabriel Jesus, Kevin de Bruyne, David Silva, Raheem Sterling, Bernardo & Leroy Sane, Sanchez does not have the security at Manchester City that he has at Arsenal.

A couple of bad games and he will be out.

This is what Bacary Sagna found when he joined Manchester City.

This is what Sagna found at Manchester City. He went from first team starter at Arsenal, to playing just 46% of league games in his 3 years at Manchester City.

There is a big warning in the Bacary Sagna story for Alexis Sanchez.

Joining Manchester City does not guarantee the trophies, he will find himself on the bench a few times throughout the season and he will not be the number 1 star at the Etihad.

I wonder if, bank balance increasing aside, Sagna looks back with regret for joining Mancherster City.

Then again, the bank balance is so important to footballers…

Have a good Sunday

Keenos