Tag Archives: Transfers

Gunners look to shoot down Eagles

Shorter blog than normal today due to the 12:30 kick off. Still need to smash a couple more coffee’s and have a fry-up before I head out to todays game.

The early Saturday kick off is easily my least favourite over the weekend. It is just shit having to wake up, get dressed and head straight to the game. Will be lucky to get a couple of pints in before the game, which often explains why the atmosphere in these early games are subdued.

Mikel Arteta’s pre-match interview was a day later than normal due to the trip to Dubai, on which he said:

“We worked really hard on things that we wanted to do, and we recharged our batteries. The context and the change in environment in beautiful weather helped, and the togetherness and the moments that we shared together were great. We feel fully recharged.”

What is now important is that the fans also used it to reset their brains.

Before the break, some of the old boo boys and moaners had begin sharing their views again. Today we all need to get behind the team and allow our behaviour to positively impact the players. not negatively.

On injuries, Arteta said “we are touch and go with a few”. Those few will be Oleksandr Zinchenko and Gabriel Jesus. I would not be surprised to see both start.

One interesting quote to come out of the press conference was Arteta speaking about how it is important not to overreact after a run of defeats: “defeats cannot make you lose who you are because if you do that, then you were never who you said you were.”

He is spot on with this.

You can not keep chopping and changing tactics after a few poor results and expect to consistently perform. Liverpool are the perfect example of this.

Jurgen Klopp teams have played pretty much the same way throughout his management career. Even last season when times were tough, he stuck to his principals.

Football is becoming a lot more “formalised” on the pitch, with more set plays in open play. Players know where they need to be before the ball is passed, and this gives sides a huge competitve advantage. 7 tought games does not make Arteta a bad manager, nor does it mean that he should undo the great work he has done over the last 18-months.

In other news, we were approached yesterday by West Ham United for Emile Smith Rowe. Both player and club rejected the deal.

Arsenal would have rejected the deal because it was a loan offer. The door is open for Smith Rowe to leave on a permanent transfer. Probably anything north of £30m. We have learned from the Ainsley Maitland-Niles saga that loan deals only devalue a player.

West Ham fans have been up in arms saying “Smith Rowe thinks he is bigger than us” and then thrown abuse at the young England international. Lets get things right, ESR does not think he is bigger than West Ham, he just wants to have one more opportunity to resurrect his Arsenal career.

Smith Rowe joined Arsenal at the age of 10. He finally had his breakthrough season in 2021–22, and what has followed is 18 months of injuries. He clearly wants to give it another 6-months of trying to make it at Arsenal rather than be loaned out.

If Smith Rowe fails to make an impact in the 2nd half of the season, he will know his time at Arsenal has come to an end. Then I expect him to join someone like West Ham permanently in the summer.

We all know West Ham fans are a little fragile, but them abusing a player for trying to make it at a higher level, for the club he has been at since he was 10, just shows they are knuckle draggers.

Little over an hour before I need to get on the Central Line. Time for coffee number two and to stick some sausages and bacon in the air fryer.

UTA.

Keenos

Arsenal unlikely to sign anyone in January

This has probably been the quietest January transfer window in recent memory.

Just 7 teams have signed new players so far this window, with just 5 of those teams making a permanent signing.

Less than £30m has been spent by Premier League clubs this window, with 84% spent by Tottenham on just a single player that no-one had heard of.

No top club has yet to dip their foot into the market, and it is highly unlikely that anyone will.

So why is spending so low this winter?

Teams overspent in the summer

Last summer, more money was spent across the globe on football players than any in history. More than £6.5bn was spent on new recruits, with the Premier League and Saudi Pro League leading the way.

The Premier League alone account for £2.36bn of this spending, and it was not just driven by the big boys – 10 clubs spent more than £100m, including the likes of Nottingham Forest, Bournemouth and West Ham.

Clubs maximised their spending last summer. Very few (if any) kept their powder dry to make a transfer or 2 in January. Most do not have a pot to piss in until TV and sponsorship money comes in at the end of this season.

Profit and Sustainability Rules (PSR)

In recent days, PSR has become the most used word in football following Nottingham Forest and Everton’s charges for breaching the rules.

These rules are in place to protect clubs from overspending to get out of trouble (or gain success), and then hitting financial issues if they can not spend their way out of trouble.

Whilst fans of some clubs are claiming that PSR is stopping their club spending, it is actually the way their club has been run for the last 3 or 4 years that is restricting them.

I have read West Ham United fans saying PSR is the reason they have not spent this winter – the same fans who blame their owners every window. Which is it? Likewise, Everton have lost nearly half a billion pounds in recent years, but apparently it is PSR stopping them buy.

Whilst I do understand that PSR is having an impact, the main reason clubs are not signing anyone (yet) is because they spent all their money in the summer. What PSR is doing is stopping them spend money they do not have.

Foreign clubs are broke

Nearly half of the total global spend in 2023 was spent by the Premier League and Saudi Pro League. Whilst the global total was up, spending in the top 5 leagues excluding the Premier League was down from the previous record year (2019).

The above graphic highlights why teams in Spain and Italy are pushing for a European Super League. Due to their own leagues being run in such a poor (and corrupt) manner, they no longer generate anywhere near close to what they did back 5 or 6 years ago. As a result, their clubs recieve less income and they have less to spend on transfer.

Bottle neck of transfers

Transfers are often like a line of dominoes; when one piece topples, a myriad follow in a ripple effect. The issue is right now, with money so tight, no pieces are falling.

Lets say Arsenal spend £80m on Ivan Toney. That then gives £80 to Brentford to spend on maybe 4 or 5 players, which in turn gives those clubs £15-20m to spend on players.

A couple of those clubs then spend that £20m on some Manchester United fringe players, which gives them a funds boost and they can then make a single big purchase, which triggers the next load of dominoes to fall.

The problem is the big clubs do not have the big funds to make the dominoes fall.

Lower clubs can also start the chain by purchasing players from bigger clubs.

So lets use Emile Smith Rowe and Eddie Nketiah as an example. You might get Everton spend £40m on Smith Rowe and West Ham spend £30m on Nketiah. That then gives Arsenal £70m in incoming funds, which we can then use on Toney, and it triggers the scenario above.

But clubs like West Ham, Everton, Wolves, Brentford and more do not have the funds (this window) to buy the fringe players which could trigger the domino effect.

And there is also little income coming in from abroad that could kick start deals – Real Madrid, Barcelona, Juventus and more are broke. They are not looking to buy players from the Premier League, they are only looking to sell.

There is a standstill in the market right now, and whilst it might only take one transfer to pump life into it, I just can not see where that transfer is coming from.

Lack of available quality players

From Arsenal’s point of view, I feel there is a lack of available players that we would actually want to buy.

Before Christmas, there was speculation that we would be in the market for a new left back. But that player would need to be better than Olexsandr Zinchenko, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Jurrien Timber. That sort of of player is often not available in January.

That would leave Arsenal buying someone who is not as good as those mentioned. We would be recruiting someone for the sake of getting an additional body in.

As for a striker, Ivan Toney has spoken recently on potentially leaving Brentford, but I imagine most clubs will want to see how he returns to top flight football following 8 months off.

The likes of Dusan Vlahovic and Victor Osimhen are also on our radar, but these are probably summer targets – Osimhen specifically would not be available to play until mid-February, and players notoriously return from the African Cup of Nations unfit.

The reality is, January transfers very rarely win you the league, so we would be better off not taking money out of our summer budget unless a primary target does come onto the market.


I see a lot of chatter amongst Arsenal fans stating that by not making moves we are throwing away the league title. I am not sure that is true.

The truth is no team is making moves in January, and this is due to a combination of a lack of funds, being unable to sell players to generate funds, and a lack of available quality players.

Personally, I would rather wait for the summer and sign a top striker, rather than overpay now for someone who is mid.

Stay warm.

Keenos

10 Rule’s to help you become an Arsenal ITK

#ITK Rule 1

Say 100 different things in a transfer window & hope one of them sticks.

Then tell the world “I told you so.”

#ITK Rule 2

When your imaginary deal falls through tell the world that either the fee or wages could not be agreed.

#ITK Rule 3

Always use the phrase:

“My Source tell me”

This guarantees you are genuine, and if the deal fails, it is not you that got it wrong, but your source.

#ITK Rule 4

If possible, find a tweet in a foreign language to support your claim.

Because reading it in another language helps.

#ITK Rule 5

Even better than a foreign language tweet is pretending to be from abroad yourself.

Nothing says ‘reliable’ more than a Venezuelan living in America tweeting about a French player playing in Spain joining an English club.

#ITK Rule 6

Be authentic & let everyone know when he is coming, but have an excuse ready when he does not.

#ITK Rule 7

At some point, say the deal will not happen, but it is not completely dead.

That way, you are right if the deal happens, right if it does not.

#ITK Rule 8

The delete button is your friend.

People will forget the 99 deals you got wrong for the one deal you got right.

#ITK Rule 9

Chuck in a few obscure tweets where not much is mentioned.

Use the terms “big transfer” and “deal of the summer”

No matter who we sign, claim that is who you were talking about.

#ITK Rule 10

If and when you do get exposed as a fraud. Shut your twitter account down.

Then create a new one and start again.

And remember, you have not made it as an ITK until your tweets are quoted by The Metro

For a full list of players ITK’s have linked to Arsenal this summer (over 70 in total) CLICK HERE

Glen